PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 87-84
21-21 20-23 24-16 22-24
Position#3
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game84.6
AustraliaNBLRound 6· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
54avg 82
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 82
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
80avg 82
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 82
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
99avg 82
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 82
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
51avg 82
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
66avg 82
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
74avg 82
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 82
A19/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
10-25
16-17
24-22
24-24
22-19
16-15
27-23
29-21
23-26
21-27
21-28
19-21
24-31
21-25
20-23
29-17
24-27
27-21
26-33
11-27
29-16
18-24
29-21
22-31
19-33
13-19
14-14
23-9
13-21
17-17
18-24
29-23
19-18
27-26
15-20
18-24
21-17
19-27
27-21
176.6Avg total
85.4Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.890.5176.3-4.733%
Season at home (3)87.094.3181.3-7.333%
Season away (3)84.786.7171.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)85.491.2176.6-5.830%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)91.395.4186.7-4.144%
vs Weaker (12)96.986.0182.9+10.983%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 86
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 86
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 86
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
91avg 86
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 86
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 86
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 86
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 86
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-73
99
73
+26
95avg 86
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
27-28
24-20
19-27
32-19
27-11
16-29
24-18
21-29
15-27
32-21
20-27
22-21
22-17
25-10
28-28
16-27
22-26
15-23
25-19
17-21
28-18
25-21
23-18
23-16
13-21
20-24
16-8
31-18
176.9Avg total
92.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.784.6174.3+5.171%
Season at home (2)94.084.5178.5+9.550%
Season away (5)88.084.6172.6+3.480%
Last 10 (10)92.184.8176.9+7.360%
Last 5 (5)87.682.2169.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.096.0185.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.993.9187.8-0.143%
vs Weaker (15)92.687.5180.1+5.153%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
NBL
88.2Avg total
43.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.146.893.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.147.394.3-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)47.146.493.5+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.288.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)45.750.195.8-4.433%-
vs Weaker (12)49.141.991.0+7.275%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A05/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/10
NBL
89.9Avg total
46.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.044.892.9+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.146.696.7+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)46.243.289.5+3.062%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.289.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.048.095.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.844.094.8+6.879%-
vs Weaker (15)45.545.490.9+0.147%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.2
49.3%
52.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.7
28.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
74.7%17.1
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.0
54.2%
52.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.4
33.1%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
74.7%13.1
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLLLWLLWL
Sydney
WWLWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#4
-6.9
Net rating
+9.1
103.9
Offensive rating
113.5
110.7
Defensive rating
104.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.8%
3-point %
33.1%
51.2%
Assist %
61.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.5Defence110.7 · 104.4Shooting47.1% · 52.1%3-point %28.8% · 33.1%Ball care14.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.6% · 35.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
30/01/22Sydney v Perth96-81
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-89
10/10/24ACairns Taipans90-87
06/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers79-84 OT
04/10/24HMelbourne United68-97
27/09/24HSydney87-88
20/09/24HSouth East Melbourne106-98
13/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers84-100
11/03/24ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
08/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers89-81
17/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-86
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers80-71
13/10/24HCairns Taipans99-73
11/10/24AAdelaide79-89
05/10/24ABrisbane Bullets91-82
29/09/24HIllawarra Hawks89-96
27/09/24APerth88-87
22/09/24AAdelaide102-94
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game85.887.084.7
Allowed / game90.594.386.7
Point differential-4.7-7.3-2.0
Avg total176.3181.3171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game89.794.088.0
Allowed / game84.684.584.6
Point differential+5.1+9.5+3.4
Avg total174.3178.5172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks75271%99.187.1+12.0
2 Sydney75271%89.784.6+5.1
3 Melbourne United85362%90.484.0+6.4
4 Adelaide85362%91.292.1-0.9
5 New Zealand Breakers53260%79.284.6-5.4
6 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.290.6-2.4
7 Cairns Taipans83538%86.992.5-5.6
8 Perth62433%85.890.5-4.7
9 South East Melbourne72529%87.187.0+0.1
10 Tasmania JackJumpers72529%77.485.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2120242287
Sydney2123162484
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.