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Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 87-88
11-27 29-16 18-24 29-21
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game98.0
Perth
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game94.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
63avg 83
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 83
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
71avg 83
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 83
H10/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
74avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
54avg 83
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 83
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
80avg 83
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 83
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
99avg 83
H20/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
14-27
20-16
22-24
29-17
30-29
20-23
24-22
16-21
23-25
24-25
15-18
30-30
27-27
22-15
38-16
26-24
24-32
21-28
21-24
22-22
10-25
16-17
24-22
24-24
22-19
16-15
27-23
29-21
23-26
21-27
21-28
19-21
24-31
21-25
20-23
29-17
24-27
27-21
26-33
185.0Avg total
91.2Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.098.0204.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)106.098.0204.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.293.8185.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)89.093.4182.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)91.995.5187.4-3.644%
vs Weaker (12)95.785.0180.7+10.783%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 89
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 89
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 89
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 89
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 89
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 89
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 89
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 89
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 89
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
91avg 89
A22/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
27-28
24-20
19-27
32-19
185.4Avg total
95.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.094.0196.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.094.0196.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)95.490.0185.4+5.440%
Last 5 (5)94.687.0181.6+7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)93.492.9186.4+0.541%
vs Weaker (13)97.192.2189.3+4.854%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H10/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H20/09
NBL
95.9Avg total
46.6Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.293.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.244.690.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)47.548.195.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)46.649.395.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.691.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)45.549.194.6-3.633%-
vs Weaker (12)48.841.990.8+6.975%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A22/09
NBL
96.6Avg total
50.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.345.895.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.247.597.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)48.544.092.5+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)50.745.996.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)49.644.293.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.244.895.1+5.471%-
vs Weaker (13)48.247.095.2+1.254%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.225.6
52.0%
52.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.8
28.8%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.718.8
76.1%
74.7%18.8
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
52.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.0
32.9%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.517.6
78.2%
74.7%17.6
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLLWLLWLWL
Sydney
WLWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#4
-2.7
Net rating
+6.9
109.5
Offensive rating
116.9
112.1
Defensive rating
110.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.8%
3-point %
32.9%
51.2%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 116.9Defence112.1 · 110.0Shooting49.2% · 52.6%3-point %28.8% · 32.9%Ball care12.8% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 35.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
30/01/22Sydney v Perth96-81
27/05/21Perth v Sydney81-67
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/24HSouth East Melbourne106-98
13/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers84-100
11/03/24ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
08/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers89-81
17/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-86
15/02/24AIllawarra Hawks92-108
10/02/24HCairns Taipans117-88
04/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers78-89
27/01/24ASouth East Melbourne103-91
25/01/24HIllawarra Hawks77-95
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24AAdelaide102-94
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game98.098.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total204.0204.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total196.0-196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks220100%107.588.0+19.5
2 Melbourne United220100%92.081.5+10.5
3 Perth110100%106.098.0+8.0
4 Sydney110100%102.094.0+8.0
5 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
6 Adelaide1010%94.0102.0-8.0
7 Brisbane Bullets2020%94.0102.0-8.0
8 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
9 South East Melbourne2020%91.0101.0-10.0
10 Cairns Taipans1010%75.0102.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1129182987
Sydney2716242188
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