Pesaro vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 82-88

26-24 18-17 20-28 18-19

Position#12

Record5-10

FormWWWLL

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game78.5

Pesaro

Avellino 🏆

Position#3

Record7-8

FormWLLWW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game76.4

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

74-81

-7

A08/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

75-70

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

80-106

106

-26

A23/11

Lega A

Cremona

74-86

-12

H30/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

69-73

-4

A06/12

Lega A

Venezia

82-75

H13/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

72-69

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

69-66

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

65-90

-25

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

69-76

-7

H04/01

Lega A

19-21

18-20

21-16

16-24

14-22

21-17

16-17

24-14

24-23

24-34

16-24

16-25

18-23

14-22

19-18

23-23

16-15

17-18

17-24

19-16

18-18

16-20

32-12

16-25

23-19

22-11

15-25

12-14

19-18

11-16

16-19

23-13

14-21

13-25

18-24

20-20

22-15

13-19

14-22

152.1Avg total

72.9Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	72.7	78.5	151.1	-5.8	33%
Season at home (7)	72.9	72.9	145.7	+0.0	57%
Season away (8)	72.5	83.4	155.9	-10.9	12%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	79.2	152.1	-6.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	75.2	146.6	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	74.1	79.2	153.3	-5.2	37%
vs Similar (11)	72.7	79.6	152.4	-6.9	27%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

88-90

-2

H09/11

Lega A

Cantu

#11

82-84

-2

A15/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

83-81 OT

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

66-81

-15

A28/11

Lega A

Varese

93-81

+12

A07/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

86-79

H13/12

Lega A

Cremona

58-64

-6

A20/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

62-70

-8

H23/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

73-55

+18

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

88-76

+12

H03/01

Lega A

22-23

28-25

25-21

13-21

26-20

16-24

28-19

12-21

19-13

21-22

17-16

16-22

11-19

20-26

20-15

15-21

31-22

24-24

20-13

18-22

20-14

21-19

20-23

25-23

16-15

15-13

11-21

24-10

20-13

9-29

9-18

12-16

20-16

15-14

26-9

18-14

20-26

21-17

29-19

154.0Avg total

77.9Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	75.5	76.4	151.9	-0.9	47%
Season at home (8)	77.9	77.2	155.1	+0.6	62%
Season away (7)	72.9	75.4	148.3	-2.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	76.1	154.0	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	68.8	142.2	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.3	91.3	164.7	-18.0	0%
vs Similar (17)	75.5	77.9	153.5	-2.4	35%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	76.3	73.1	149.4	+3.2	67%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.6	36.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	13.8	31.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	23.3	45.3	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	19.6	39.2	-0.1	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.1	16.3	36.4	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.3	36.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.3	18.8	36.1	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	22.3	36.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	33%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

37-41

-4

A08/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

35-39

-4

H15/11

Lega A

Sassari

48-57

-9

A23/11

Lega A

Cremona

32-45

-13

H30/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

33-33

A06/12

Lega A

Venezia

34-38

-4

H13/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

45-30

+15

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-34

-4

H23/12

Lega A

Cantu

#11

27-46

-19

A27/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

42-35

H04/01

Lega A

76.1Avg total

36.3Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	38.9	74.3	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	39.9	76.2	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	39.8	76.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	36.6	72.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.2	39.9	75.1	-4.8	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.9	38.5	75.5	-1.6	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

50-48

H09/11

Lega A

Cantu

#11

42-44

-2

A15/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

40-35

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

31-45

-14

A28/11

Lega A

Varese

55-46

A07/12

Lega A

Torino

#15

41-33

H13/12

Lega A

Cremona

32-30

A20/12

Lega A

Caserta

#13

44-23

+21

H23/12

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

32-32

A27/12

Lega A

Venezia

38-40

-2

H03/01

Lega A

78.1Avg total

40.5Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.4	76.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	36.9	75.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.8	76.7	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	31.6	69.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	45.7	82.0	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	38.1	38.6	76.8	-0.5	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	38.7	36.1	74.8	+2.6	56%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	65%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.3	16.4	34.8	+1.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	23.0	40.3	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.9	21.6	39.5	-3.7	24%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.4	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.9	77.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	38.8	77.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	41.1	78.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.4	76.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.9	39.3	78.2	-0.4	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.8	41.1	76.9	-5.3	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.6	75.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	37.6	73.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.7	74.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	45.7	82.7	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	36.6	36.1	72.7	+0.4	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
04/10/15	Avellino v Pesaro	77-73
08/02/15	Pesaro v Avellino	62-77
26/10/14	Avellino v Pesaro	69-60
19/01/14	Pesaro v Avellino	88-82
13/10/13	Avellino v Pesaro	77-80
05/05/13	Pesaro v Avellino	80-95
13/01/13	Avellino v Pesaro	71-78
17/03/12	Avellino v Pesaro	81-89
27/11/11	Pesaro v Avellino	72-82
12/05/11	Avellino v Pesaro	89-76

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/16	H	Torino	69-76
27/12/15	A	Cantu	65-90
23/12/15	H	Olimpia Milano	69-66
20/12/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	72-69
13/12/15	H	Venezia	82-75
06/12/15	A	Caserta	69-73
30/11/15	H	Cremona	74-86
23/11/15	A	Sassari	80-106
15/11/15	H	Brindisi	75-70
08/11/15	A	Trento	74-81

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/16	H	Venezia	88-76
27/12/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	73-55
23/12/15	H	Caserta	62-70
20/12/15	A	Cremona	58-64
13/12/15	H	Torino	86-79
07/12/15	A	Varese	93-81
28/11/15	A	Virtus Bologna	66-81
22/11/15	H	Brindisi	83-81 OT
15/11/15	A	Cantu	82-84
09/11/15	H	Sassari	88-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	33%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	33%	57%	12%
Points / game	72.7	72.9	72.5
Allowed / game	78.5	72.9	83.4
Point differential	-5.8	+0.0	-10.9
Avg total	151.1	145.7	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	75% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	47%
Home	LWWLW	62%
Away	LLWLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	62%	29%
Points / game	75.5	77.9	72.9
Allowed / game	76.4	77.2	75.4
Point differential	-0.9	+0.6	-2.6
Avg total	151.9	155.1	148.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	16	12	4	75%	81.9	69.6	+12.3
2	Reggiana	16	12	4	75%	79.2	72.0	+7.2
3	Pistoia	16	11	5	69%	78.6	76.1	+2.5
4	Cremona	16	11	5	69%	75.9	73.8	+2.2
5	Trento	16	10	6	62%	76.7	73.7	+3.0
6	Venezia	16	9	7	56%	76.9	73.8	+3.1
7	Sassari	16	9	7	56%	82.2	79.4	+2.8
8	Avellino	15	7	8	47%	75.5	76.4	-0.9
9	Cantu	16	7	9	44%	81.9	80.9	+1.0
10	Brindisi	16	7	9	44%	77.3	77.8	-0.5
11	Varese	16	7	9	44%	72.8	77.9	-5.2
12	Caserta	16	6	10	38%	70.2	73.4	-3.2
13	Pesaro	15	5	10	33%	72.7	78.5	-5.8
14	Virtus Bologna	16	5	11	31%	71.9	76.8	-4.9
15	Torino	16	5	11	31%	75.6	81.2	-5.6
16	Capo d'Orlando	16	4	12	25%	66.1	74.6	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	26	18	20	18	82
Avellino	24	17	28	19	88

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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