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Pesaro vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 78-83
8-29 25-14 27-20 18-20
Position#15
Record3-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.1
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino
31 Mar 2019
PES91
AVE89
17 Dec 2017
PES78
AVE83
23 Oct 2016
PES55
AVE60
18 Jan 2016
PES82
AVE88
08 Feb 2015
PES62
AVE77
19 Jan 2014
PES88
AVE82
05 May 2013
PES80
AVE95
27 Nov 2011
PES72
AVE82
09 Jan 2011
PES69
AVE80
31 Jan 2010
PES94
AVE86
25 Apr 2009
PES89
AVE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
A08/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
14-19
15-16
15-21
22-26
29-27
21-21
30-21
20-21
17-24
22-18
16-18
30-17
16-24
16-26
17-21
15-22
17-26
21-12
15-19
18-15
11-21
9-16
18-21
17-25
20-19
25-18
18-13
17-26
19-21
25-23
13-21
22-15
18-12
16-19
18-25
25-22
26-23
21-18
11-23
157.3Avg total
76.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.181.2157.3-5.130%
Season at home (5)73.475.8149.2-2.440%
Season away (5)78.886.6165.4-7.820%
Last 10 (10)76.181.2157.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)73.479.2152.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.783.8162.6-5.128%
vs Similar (11)76.680.0156.6-3.445%
vs Weaker (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#36
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A31/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A05/11
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
87-77 OT
87
77
+10
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H13/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
17-23
15-22
26-26
22-27
21-20
11-17
25-15
23-14
19-22
19-14
19-13
10-16
17-14
20-11
18-20
12-12
15-13
17-14
12-20
23-17
17-13
18-20
19-27
22-16
17-14
15-19
16-21
13-20
19-19
15-15
14-15
19-21
21-27
11-22
22-16
22-14
18-16
22-18
28-26
153.6Avg total
77.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.277.1156.3+2.170%
Season at home (5)75.266.8142.0+8.4100%
Season away (5)83.287.4170.6-4.240%
Last 10 (10)77.376.3153.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.079.6160.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)79.377.3156.6+1.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.272.2147.4+3.064%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
PesaroAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A08/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H29/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H12/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A19/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A09/12
Lega A
82.1Avg total
39.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.679.2-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.536.572.0-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.786.4-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.282.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.341.080.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (11)38.340.478.6-2.136%-
vs Weaker (1)29.036.065.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#36
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A31/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/11
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
72.5Avg total
36.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.774.4-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.535.572.1+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)36.839.976.7-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.835.772.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)36.838.675.4-1.832%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.536.372.7+0.255%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.6
50.0%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.6
72.6%
73.0%15.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.1
55.4%
51.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
73.0%12.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWLLLLWL
Avellino
WLLWWLWWLL
#15
League position
#4
-6.4
Net rating
+0.0
103.4
Offensive rating
104.9
109.8
Defensive rating
104.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.0%
3-point %
32.9%
45.1%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 104.9Defence109.8 · 104.9Shooting48.2% · 52.9%3-point %30.0% · 32.9%Ball care17.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
12/02/17Avellino v Pesaro79-62
23/10/16Pesaro v Avellino55-60
18/01/16Pesaro v Avellino82-88
04/10/15Avellino v Pesaro77-73
08/02/15Pesaro v Avellino62-77
26/10/14Avellino v Pesaro69-60
19/01/14Pesaro v Avellino88-82
13/10/13Avellino v Pesaro77-80
05/05/13Pesaro v Avellino80-95
13/01/13Avellino v Pesaro71-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/17APistoia83-86
03/12/17HVarese74-71
19/11/17ATrento74-91
12/11/17HBrindisi80-75
05/11/17ACapo d'Orlando56-73
29/10/17HCremona68-79
22/10/17ATorino79-88
14/10/17HVirtus Bologna75-81
08/10/17AReggiana102-95
01/10/17HBrescia70-73
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/17HBesiktas90-74
10/12/17ACremona73-86
06/12/17HBonn61-69
02/12/17HVenezia87-77 OT
19/11/17AOlimpia Milano94-92 OT
14/11/17AAris56-59
12/11/17HVarese65-61
08/11/17HNymburk80-63
05/11/17ABrindisi88-92 OT
31/10/17AZielona Gora79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game76.173.478.8
Allowed / game81.275.886.6
Point differential-5.1-2.4-7.8
Avg total157.3149.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game79.275.283.2
Allowed / game77.166.887.4
Point differential+2.1+8.4-4.2
Avg total156.3142.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %30%20%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia109190%79.469.5+9.9
2 Olimpia Milano118373%76.571.8+4.7
3 Venezia107370%82.780.5+2.2
4 Avellino107370%79.277.1+2.1
5 Sassari117464%84.279.3+4.9
6 Torino117464%79.878.9+0.9
7 Virtus Bologna115645%80.276.4+3.8
8 Cantu115645%84.987.9-3.0
9 Capo d'Orlando115645%67.074.8-7.8
10 Cremona104640%80.080.2-0.2
11 Trento104640%75.277.1-1.9
12 Varese114736%73.871.4+2.5
13 Reggiana114736%73.373.1+0.2
14 Pistoia114736%75.381.5-6.2
15 Pesaro103730%76.181.2-5.1
16 Brindisi112918%73.680.0-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro825271878
Avellino2914202083
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