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Pesaro vs Blu Basket Bergamo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-68
25-14 19-8 15-26 20-20
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record10-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game81.6
ItalySerie A2Round 22
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Blu Basket Bergamo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 79
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 79
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 79
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 79
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 79
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 79
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
82avg 79
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 79
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
67avg 79
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 79
A11/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
18-13
25-19
25-19
23-22
20-19
16-20
20-13
23-36
31-22
14-23
14-17
14-6
27-15
26-25
22-27
20-23
159.7Avg total
81.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.477.5159.9+4.971%
Season at home (11)79.774.8154.5+4.973%
Season away (10)85.380.4165.7+4.970%
Last 10 (10)81.578.2159.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.677.0160.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.480.1160.5+0.347%
vs Weaker (10)87.476.7164.1+10.7100%
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blu Basket BergamoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBergamo
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
91avg 75
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 75
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 75
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
65-56
65
56
+9
59avg 75
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
92avg 75
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-99
66
99
-33
54avg 75
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 75
H28/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
59-78
59
78
-19
44avg 75
A04/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
67avg 75
H10/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
A15/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
24-13
19-25
23-25
16-19
19-26
22-20
9-13
25-17
19-25
23-21
16-22
14-12
15-15
15-15
21-14
28-26
19-21
22-19
26-14
12-23
13-36
22-23
19-17
26-22
24-22
27-17
16-18
12-18
16-23
24-17
7-20
12-18
18-15
23-21
15-22
18-15
19-23
18-26
35-21
158.9Avg total
78.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.781.6162.3-1.048%
Season at home (10)82.878.9161.7+3.970%
Season away (11)78.784.1162.8-5.427%
Last 10 (10)78.080.9158.9-2.950%
Last 5 (5)75.283.4158.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.876.0146.8-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.482.9166.3+0.555%
vs Weaker (4)88.086.5174.5+1.550%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
PesaroBlu Basket Bergamo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A11/01
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
40.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.480.7+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.037.578.5+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.383.0+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.879.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.480.4+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.739.679.3+0.137%-
vs Weaker (10)43.839.182.9+4.760%-
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Blu Basket BergamoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H10/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H14/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
25-59
25
59
-34
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A04/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H10/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A15/01
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
36.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)39.540.780.2-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.239.379.5+0.950%-
Last 30 away (11)38.842.080.8-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.278.1-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.077.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.735.870.5-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.242.382.5-2.136%-
vs Weaker (4)44.843.888.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.7
55.7%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.4
74.4%
74.4%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Blu Basket Bergamotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blu Basket Bergamo: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.1
54.0%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.1
31.5%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
74.4%13.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLWWLLWLW
Blu Basket Bergamo
WLLWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#11
+4.8
Net rating
-2.2
110.4
Offensive rating
103.4
105.6
Defensive rating
105.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
31.5%
63.6%
Assist %
64.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 103.4Defence105.6 · 105.6Shooting54.6% · 50.9%3-point %35.5% · 31.5%Ball care14.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds23.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Blu Basket Bergamo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
0
Blu Basket Bergamo wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Blu Basket Bergamo v Pesaro83-101
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-90
04/01/26HUrania Milano73-68
28/12/25AVerona79-88
21/12/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
14/12/25HCento80-66
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AMestre90-85
10/01/26HLibertas Livorno68-76
04/01/26AScafati59-78
28/12/25HForli93-79
21/12/25ABasket Torino66-99
14/12/25HBrindisi95-80
10/12/25HFortitudo Bologna65-56
05/12/25ACividale83-85
21/11/25AVerona66-78
16/11/25HScafati95-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game82.479.785.3
Allowed / game77.574.880.4
Point differential+4.9+4.9+4.9
Avg total159.9154.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Blu Basket Bergamo
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%70%27%
Points / game80.782.878.7
Allowed / game81.678.984.1
Point differential-1.0+3.9-5.4
Avg total162.3161.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2115671%82.375.0+7.3
2 Pesaro2115671%82.477.5+4.9
3 Brindisi2215768%77.071.4+5.6
4 Verona2114767%77.273.3+4.0
5 Cividale2214864%77.576.1+1.4
6 Libertas Livorno2113862%78.073.1+4.9
7 Scafati2113862%81.877.3+4.5
8 Fortitudo Bologna2213959%75.872.4+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%79.877.1+2.7
10 Avellino Basket2112957%81.278.2+3.0
11 Basket Torino21111052%74.072.9+1.1
12 Blu Basket Bergamo21101148%80.781.6-1.0
13 Cento2291341%78.580.8-2.2
14 Mestre2291341%76.781.0-4.2
15 JuVi Cremona2181338%74.078.9-4.8
16 Forli2271532%76.580.6-4.1
17 Urania Milano2271532%76.883.0-6.2
18 Pistoia2161529%78.583.0-4.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2161529%75.485.4-10.0
20 Roseto2141719%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2519152079
Blu Basket Bergamo148262068
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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