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Pesaro vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 76-68
22-21 20-18 13-15 21-14
Position#5
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game80.2
ItalySerie A2Round 5· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Cividale
21 Oct 2026
PES76
CIVI68
23 Nov 2025
PES68
CIVI79
08 Feb 2025
PES91
CIVI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
75-84
75
84
-9
71avg 77
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
80avg 77
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 77
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 77
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 77
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 77
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 77
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 77
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 77
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 77
A18/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
14-18
27-20
19-25
24-11
23-30
13-31
29-27
22-16
35-27
15-25
22-11
15-26
28-26
18-27
14-14
21-26
33-19
17-31
25-18
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
171.7Avg total
85.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.079.5167.5+8.5100%
Season at home (2)85.080.5165.5+4.5100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.985.8171.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)83.685.9169.5-2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.477.5162.9+7.9100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 68
A13/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 68
A15/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 68
H21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-69
85
69
+16
79avg 68
H23/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
54avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 68
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
6avg 68
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
16avg 68
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
51avg 68
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
64avg 68
H17/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-21
14-12
25-24
24-16
27-18
13-21
26-23
16-25
21-23
18-16
14-20
19-18
13-17
33-18
20-16
19-22
14-27
23-19
10-15
25-21
22-24
12-24
17-18
15-27
8-21
23-16
22-21
23-19
19-23
18-22
26-19
25-23
10-15
17-19
7-19
13-31
16-20
14-14
19-12
153.8Avg total
74.3Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.880.2149.0-11.525%
Season at home (2)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Season away (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)74.379.5153.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)70.281.6151.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.079.3142.3-16.30%
vs Similar (18)77.277.2154.3+0.056%
vs Weaker (9)82.468.3150.8+14.178%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
PesaroCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A26/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H11/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
87.8Avg total
44.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.383.4+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.782.0+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.9+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.287.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.485.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)41.841.182.9+0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.139.284.2+5.983%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A13/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A15/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H17/10
Serie A2
79.9Avg total
37.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.176.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.635.873.4+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)39.140.879.9-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.779.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.880.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.045.774.7-16.70%-
vs Similar (18)38.138.876.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (9)41.734.275.9+7.478%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.0
51.1%
51.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.6
44.2%
34.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
70.9%16.8
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.813.6
52.7%
51.5%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
34.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.1
73.3%
70.9%12.1
They take 48.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWWWLWLWLL
Cividale
LLWLLLWLWW
#5
League position
#13
-3.0
Net rating
-14.8
103.7
Offensive rating
87.4
106.7
Defensive rating
102.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
44.2%
3-point %
33.0%
52.3%
Assist %
69.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 87.4Defence106.7 · 102.1Shooting57.1% · 51.2%3-point %44.2% · 33.0%Ball care12.4% · 15.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
2
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Cividale v Pesaro82-83
23/11/25Pesaro v Cividale68-79
08/02/25Pesaro v Cividale91-77
05/01/25Cividale v Pesaro97-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
16/05/26ARimini96-94
14/05/26ARimini75-93
11/05/26HRimini94-79
09/05/26HRimini89-99
26/04/26ALibertas Livorno75-84
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HAvellino Basket62-77
11/10/26ABasket Torino59-76
04/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-83
26/09/26HForli68-85
28/05/26ARimini76-87
26/05/26ARimini66-83
23/05/26HRimini85-69
21/05/26HRimini69-84
15/05/26ASebastiani Rieti90-78
13/05/26ASebastiani Rieti82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.085.091.0
Allowed / game79.580.578.5
Point differential+8.5+4.5+12.5
Avg total167.5165.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game68.865.072.5
Allowed / game80.281.079.5
Point differential-11.5-16.0-7.0
Avg total149.0146.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%86.071.5+14.5
2 Libertas Livorno440100%78.264.0+14.2
3 Avellino Basket440100%82.871.0+11.8
4 Pesaro440100%88.079.5+8.5
5 Forli43175%84.876.5+8.2
6 Brindisi43175%81.875.8+6.0
7 Sassari43175%77.273.2+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.275.0+2.2
9 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
10 Rimini42250%78.271.5+6.8
11 Pistoia41325%74.573.8+0.8
12 Caserta41325%81.884.0-2.2
13 Cento41325%80.586.0-5.5
14 Ruvo Di Puglia41325%81.288.0-6.8
15 Mestre41325%69.580.8-11.2
16 Cividale41325%68.880.2-11.5
17 Montecatini41325%71.885.8-14.0
18 JuVi Cremona4040%76.281.0-4.8
19 Urania Milano4040%77.284.2-7.0
20 Vigevano4040%72.888.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2220132176
Cividale2118151468
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