Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.9	82.3	158.2	-6.4	22%
Season at home (4)	78.2	82.5	160.8	-4.2	25%
Season away (5)	74.0	82.2	156.2	-8.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	82.4	155.8	-9.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	85.6	163.4	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	73.5	85.3	158.8	-11.8	8%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	82.5	85.7	168.1	-3.2	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVarese

Date

Competition

Sassari

61-77

-16

no box

A14/09

Lega A - Super Cup

Brescia

75-72

61avg 68

H26/09

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

56-97

-41

41avg 68

A03/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-82

-3

70avg 68

H10/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

78-94

-16

65avg 68

A17/10

Lega A

Reggiana

67-106

106

-39

45avg 68

H24/10

Lega A

Treviso

#11

78-96

-18

66avg 68

A31/10

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

71-84

-13

55avg 68

H07/11

Lega A

Trieste

86-70

+16

74avg 68

A14/11

Lega A

Tortona

85-76

86avg 68

H20/11

Lega A

18-17

17-23

9-20

17-17

27-12

11-25

21-21

16-14

17-21

18-23

15-28

6-25

19-21

21-19

24-20

15-22

18-29

15-14

20-29

25-22

19-25

11-24

20-27

17-30

30-24

14-20

15-27

19-25

18-18

19-25

16-19

18-22

22-15

21-21

16-23

27-11

25-20

18-18

23-14

19-24

159.0Avg total

73.6Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	75.0	86.3	161.3	-11.3	33%
Season at home (5)	75.4	84.0	159.4	-8.6	40%
Season away (4)	74.5	89.2	163.8	-14.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	73.6	85.4	159.0	-11.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	86.4	163.8	-9.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	77.9	86.0	163.9	-8.1	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	80.9	85.7	166.7	-4.8	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.7	42.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.7	41.2	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.5	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.0	39.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.2	37.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	22.7	41.0	-4.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

14-45

-31

H18/09

Lega A - Super Cup

Sassari

38-36

A26/09

Lega A

Trieste

34-29

H06/10

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

30-37

-7

A10/10

Lega A

Tortona

39-52

-13

H17/10

Lega A

Venezia

40-30

+10

A23/10

Lega A

Trento

#14

27-40

-13

H31/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

41-48

-7

A06/11

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#13

45-53

-8

H13/11

Lega A

Cremona

#16

38-38

A21/11

Lega A

75.4Avg total

34.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.9	80.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.5	41.7	78.2	-5.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.8	42.1	81.9	-2.2	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	40.8	75.4	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.8	80.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.6	40.4	78.0	-2.8	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.2	42.3	82.5	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

35-40

-5

A14/09

Lega A - Super Cup

Brescia

38-37

H26/09

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-44

-9

A03/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-40

H10/10

Lega A

Cremona

#16

33-43

-10

A17/10

Lega A

Reggiana

30-49

-19

H24/10

Lega A

Treviso

#11

44-44

A31/10

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

37-43

-6

H07/11

Lega A

Trieste

43-36

A14/11

Lega A

Tortona

43-38

H20/11

Lega A

79.2Avg total

37.8Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.0	81.9	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	39.7	79.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	44.6	84.3	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	41.4	79.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.0	81.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.8	41.0	81.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.4	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.8	20.5	37.4	-3.7	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	24.3	43.6	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.8	40.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.3	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.8	42.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.0	24.4	43.4	-5.4	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	22.9	43.9	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.1	39.9	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.2	39.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	44.0	83.5	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.5	42.3	83.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.3	45.1	83.3	-6.8	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.8	83.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.8	44.9	80.8	-9.1	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.3	43.4	85.7	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	43.3	82.0	-4.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	40.2	78.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	46.8	85.7	-7.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	44.0	79.8	-8.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.4	82.4	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.4	41.8	79.2	-4.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.1	44.7	84.9	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.1	51.3%	51.1%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.3	33.9%	35.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.6	70.7%	74.7%	10.6

They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.6	52.0%	51.1%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	7.2	30.5%	35.4%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	18.5	12.3	66.5%	74.7%	12.3

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.5	52.8%	51.1%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	10.0	39.2%	35.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	10.9	68.1%	74.7%	10.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.9	56.8%	51.1%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	35.4%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.4	72.9%	74.7%	12.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.8	50.6%	51.1%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.6	35.3%	35.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.2	75.3%	74.7%	12.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.0	51.9%	51.1%	36.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.6	34.1%	35.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.5	71.5%	74.7%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	19.9	54.5%	51.1%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	10.1	41.5%	35.4%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.2%	74.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	21.6	53.9%	51.1%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.7	37.7%	35.4%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	16.7	12.7	75.9%	74.7%	12.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pesaro

WLLLLLLWLL

Varese

WWLLLLLLWL

League position

#12

-8.3

Net rating

-16.6

101.5

Offensive rating

100.4

109.8

Defensive rating

117.0

51.1%

Effective FG%

49.7%

55.2%

Opp. effective FG%

56.3%

19.0%

Turnover %

18.2%

27.7%

Off. rebound %

27.5%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.29

33.9%

3-point %

30.5%

53.9%

Assist %

47.1%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Pesaro ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
14/03/21	Varese v Pesaro	81-68
08/11/20	Pesaro v Varese	85-78
15/12/19	Varese v Pesaro	103-87
28/04/19	Varese v Pesaro	81-75
30/12/18	Pesaro v Varese	78-98
31/03/18	Varese v Pesaro	88-68
03/12/17	Pesaro v Varese	74-71
12/03/17	Varese v Pesaro	93-78
13/11/16	Pesaro v Varese	83-87
31/01/16	Pesaro v Varese	76-71

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/21	A	Cremona	88-84
13/11/21	H	Basket Napoli	83-100
06/11/21	A	Virtus Bologna	75-88
31/10/21	H	Trento	75-79
23/10/21	A	Venezia	68-77
17/10/21	H	Tortona	81-90
10/10/21	A	Fortitudo Bologna	66-87
06/10/21	H	Trieste	74-61
26/09/21	A	Sassari	73-75
18/09/21	H	Venezia	51-83

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/21	H	Tortona	85-76
14/11/21	A	Trieste	86-70
07/11/21	H	Brindisi	71-84
31/10/21	A	Treviso	78-96
24/10/21	H	Reggiana	67-106
17/10/21	A	Cremona	78-94
10/10/21	H	Olimpia Milano	79-82
03/10/21	A	Virtus Bologna	56-97
26/09/21	H	Brescia	75-72
14/09/21	A	Sassari	61-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2021-22

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	22%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	25%	20%
Points / game	75.9	78.2	74.0
Allowed / game	82.3	82.5	82.2
Point differential	-6.4	-4.2	-8.2
Avg total	158.2	160.8	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	33%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	40%	25%
Points / game	75.0	75.4	74.5
Allowed / game	86.3	84.0	89.2
Point differential	-11.3	-8.6	-14.8
Avg total	161.3	159.4	163.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	10	10	0	100%	84.7	67.5	+17.2
2	Virtus Bologna	10	8	2	80%	92.5	80.4	+12.1
3	Brindisi	10	6	4	60%	82.1	80.8	+1.3
4	Treviso	10	6	4	60%	78.8	78.6	+0.2
5	Trieste	10	6	4	60%	76.9	76.7	+0.2
6	Trento	10	6	4	60%	78.7	78.8	-0.1
7	Basket Napoli	9	5	4	56%	83.0	82.8	+0.2
8	Venezia	10	5	5	50%	79.2	78.5	+0.7
9	Tortona	9	4	5	44%	80.4	84.1	-3.7
10	Reggiana	10	4	6	40%	81.8	80.0	+1.8
11	Brescia	10	4	6	40%	77.9	79.8	-1.9
12	Cremona	9	3	6	33%	79.7	82.6	-2.9
13	Varese	9	3	6	33%	75.0	86.3	-11.3
14	Sassari	10	3	7	30%	77.4	82.9	-5.5
15	Fortitudo Bologna	9	2	7	22%	81.2	86.0	-4.8
16	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	75.9	82.3	-6.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	25	28	23	18	94
Varese	19	18	22	16	75

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Pesaro vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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