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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-79
17-15 10-25 26-21 22-18
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#14
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.2
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
44avg 73
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 73
A18/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 73
H25/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 73
A10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
51-83
51
83
-32
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
74-61
74
61
+13
70avg 73
H06/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
66-87
66
87
-21
58avg 73
A10/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 73
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 73
A23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
19-18
13-21
17-22
15-33
34-19
19-28
20-21
31-14
10-22
20-26
20-26
16-26
31-16
29-22
8-22
11-20
3-25
22-23
15-15
20-18
18-18
18-16
17-23
16-14
18-15
20-18
20-14
15-20
15-17
16-21
20-29
19-26
20-26
12-12
30-26
19-14
21-16
19-21
9-26
156.2Avg total
72.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.478.0150.4-5.620%
Season at home (2)77.575.5153.0+2.050%
Season away (3)69.079.7148.7-10.70%
Last 10 (10)72.883.4156.2-10.610%
Last 5 (5)72.478.0150.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.884.8159.5-10.015%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.784.3166.1-2.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Tortona
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
88-102
88
102
-14
76avg 63
H26/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
59avg 63
A03/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 63
H09/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 63
A16/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
56-86
56
86
-30
37avg 63
H19/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
61avg 63
H24/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
53avg 63
A27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
14-23
19-20
16-17
18-19
16-21
22-18
26-25
4-16
22-23
19-18
19-18
17-30
26-26
21-28
24-18
21-28
11-19
19-19
21-27
18-22
22-18
23-21
21-7
25-18
15-19
21-20
17-17
14-17
14-23
9-22
19-24
21-26
16-10
18-18
20-25
10-21
20-25
24-16
19-23
157.0Avg total
74.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.483.2162.6-3.840%
Season at home (3)82.383.0165.3-0.733%
Season away (2)75.083.5158.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)74.482.6157.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.584.7159.3-10.227%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.576.9154.5+0.647%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
14-45
14
45
-31
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H06/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/10
Lega A
76.6Avg total
36.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.5-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.240.577.7-3.350%-
Last 30 away (18)40.441.982.3-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.276.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.339.577.8-1.254%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.941.982.8-1.147%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Tortona
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H26/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A03/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A16/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#9
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A27/10
Eurocup
77.2Avg total
34.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.576.7-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.038.074.0-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)36.443.479.8-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.742.577.2-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.943.978.7-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.537.274.7+0.347%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.6
51.8%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.410.9
75.7%
74.7%10.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.217.7
45.2%
51.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.9
36.2%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.110.1
62.7%
74.7%10.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
Trento
LLLWWLLLLL
#9
League position
#14
-9.9
Net rating
-15.5
103.2
Offensive rating
98.1
113.1
Defensive rating
113.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
36.2%
54.5%
Assist %
48.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 98.1Defence113.1 · 113.6Shooting51.9% · 48.7%3-point %34.6% · 36.2%Ball care19.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Trento wins
DateGameScore
07/02/21Trento v Pesaro70-81
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21AVenezia68-77
17/10/21HTortona81-90
10/10/21AFortitudo Bologna66-87
06/10/21HTrieste74-61
26/09/21ASassari73-75
18/09/21HVenezia51-83
10/05/21ABrescia84-86
25/04/21HOlimpia Milano81-88
18/04/21ATrieste88-101
14/04/21HBrindisi62-86
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/21AMoraBanc Andorra73-85
24/10/21HTreviso75-79
19/10/21HJoventut Badalona56-86
16/10/21AReggiana78-74
09/10/21HCremona84-68
03/10/21AOlimpia Milano72-93
26/09/21HVirtus Bologna88-102
14/09/21HTortona64-75
10/09/21ATrieste82-83
08/09/21ATortona72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game72.477.569.0
Allowed / game78.075.579.7
Point differential-5.6+2.0-10.7
Avg total150.4153.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.482.375.0
Allowed / game83.283.083.5
Point differential-3.8-0.7-8.5
Avg total162.6165.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%84.367.8+16.5
2 Brindisi65183%87.381.3+6.0
3 Virtus Bologna64267%90.378.8+11.5
4 Trieste64267%78.275.7+2.5
5 Treviso53260%77.076.2+0.8
6 Reggiana63350%85.779.2+6.5
7 Brescia63350%82.078.0+4.0
8 Cremona63350%77.377.7-0.3
9 Tortona63350%79.083.5-4.5
10 Sassari63350%72.879.0-6.2
11 Trento52340%79.483.2-3.8
12 Basket Napoli62433%81.784.8-3.2
13 Venezia62433%75.779.5-3.8
14 Pesaro51420%72.478.0-5.6
15 Varese51420%71.090.2-19.2
16 Fortitudo Bologna61517%82.388.2-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1710262275
Trento1525211879
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