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Pesaro vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 73-100
12-24 19-25 16-25 26-26
Position#15
Record7-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#14
Record7-21
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game83.5
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Reggiana
24 Mar 2024
PES69
REG87
05 Feb 2023
PES85
REG74
19 Dec 2021
PES69
REG72
22 Nov 2020
PES84
REG63
27 Oct 2019
PES65
REG90
05 May 2019
PES73
REG100
27 Jan 2018
PES96
REG104
19 Mar 2017
PES81
REG91
14 Feb 2016
PES90
REG80
15 Feb 2015
PES75
REG74
26 Dec 2013
PES66
REG99
03 Mar 2013
PES65
REG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-111
74
111
-37
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
68-105
68
105
-37
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
10-30
21-21
25-31
26-17
25-26
17-26
18-23
21-16
8-30
20-29
19-30
22-20
14-20
23-15
13-25
11-22
26-23
10-16
23-17
8-28
32-20
25-23
26-18
18-33
12-20
20-25
14-19
20-14
21-21
23-19
12-27
16-22
17-22
16-15
32-29
22-19
8-19
28-19
17-24
165.9Avg total
75.7Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.991.5171.4-11.525%
Season at home (14)86.090.8176.8-4.836%
Season away (14)73.992.1166.0-18.314%
Last 10 (10)75.790.2165.9-14.510%
Last 5 (5)77.487.2164.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)79.792.6172.3-12.921%
vs Similar (2)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A03/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H11/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
59-91
59
91
-32
A17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A24/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H31/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H20/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-24
24-31
29-23
24-23
18-19
16-28
22-22
18-17
15-17
18-24
16-13
17-24
14-19
15-29
13-19
22-17
18-22
23-24
17-13
22-12
22-30
20-18
18-16
16-22
19-22
24-19
21-21
16-26
22-34
20-26
30-18
15-19
17-27
27-22
22-21
19-20
21-23
14-18
17-15
163.5Avg total
77.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.983.5161.4-5.625%
Season at home (14)81.481.6163.1-0.236%
Season away (14)74.485.4159.8-11.114%
Last 10 (10)77.785.8163.5-8.120%
Last 5 (5)80.485.8166.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.783.4159.1-7.733%
vs Similar (12)79.286.3165.6-7.18%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.075.3165.3+14.767%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +2.4+2.4
PesaroReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-59
28
59
-31
A10/02
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A23/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/04
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/04
Lega A
80.6Avg total
35.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.847.185.8-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.846.388.1-4.527%-
Last 30 away (15)35.747.983.6-12.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.545.180.6-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.678.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.547.285.8-8.825%-
vs Similar (2)42.544.587.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A03/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/03
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A17/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H31/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A14/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/04
Lega A
80.9Avg total
37.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.180.5-3.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.640.879.4-2.227%-
Last 30 away (15)38.143.481.5-5.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.880.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.084.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.342.980.2-5.520%-
vs Similar (12)38.542.781.2-4.28%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.036.079.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.416.9
42.9%
51.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
72.3%12.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.9
48.1%
51.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.8
76.1%
72.3%11.8
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWLLLLL
Reggiana
LLLLWWLLLL
#15
League position
#14
-19.7
Net rating
-10.3
98.7
Offensive rating
100.7
118.5
Defensive rating
111.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.8%
3-point %
32.4%
38.2%
Assist %
52.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 100.7Defence118.5 · 111.0Shooting46.1% · 48.3%3-point %33.8% · 32.4%Ball care18.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Pesaro   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
06/01/19Reggiana v Pesaro108-66
27/01/18Pesaro v Reggiana96-104
08/10/17Reggiana v Pesaro95-102
19/03/17Pesaro v Reggiana81-91
20/11/16Reggiana v Pesaro87-80
14/02/16Pesaro v Reggiana90-80
01/11/15Reggiana v Pesaro83-66
15/02/15Pesaro v Reggiana75-74
01/11/14Reggiana v Pesaro91-73
19/04/14Reggiana v Pesaro92-61
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19AVarese75-81
20/04/19HSassari81-88
14/04/19ATrento76-81
07/04/19ACremona64-97
31/03/19HAvellino91-89
23/03/19AVirtus Bologna70-78
17/03/19HCantu72-80
09/03/19ATrieste68-105
03/03/19HBrescia86-92
10/02/19AOlimpia Milano74-111
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19AVenezia71-76
20/04/19HVirtus Bologna81-89
14/04/19ATrieste88-104
07/04/19HTrento80-84
31/03/19HBrindisi82-76
24/03/19APistoia80-76
17/03/19AAvellino59-91
11/03/19HOlimpia Milano67-71
03/03/19AVarese80-92
09/02/19HCantu89-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLLWL36%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game79.986.073.9
Allowed / game91.590.892.1
Point differential-11.5-4.8-18.3
Avg total171.4176.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game77.981.474.4
Allowed / game83.581.685.4
Point differential-5.6-0.2-11.1
Avg total161.4163.1159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2821775%87.079.5+7.5
2 Venezia2819968%81.875.2+6.5
3 Cremona2819968%83.779.0+4.6
4 Brindisi28171161%81.878.8+3.0
5 Trieste28161257%88.683.9+4.8
6 Sassari28161257%86.481.8+4.6
7 Trento28161257%79.580.5-1.1
8 Varese28151354%79.176.1+3.0
9 Avellino28151354%82.182.0+0.1
10 Cantu28151354%84.286.0-1.8
11 Brescia29141548%80.681.3-0.7
12 Virtus Bologna29141548%79.480.6-1.2
13 Torino2882029%83.087.6-4.7
14 Reggiana2872125%77.983.5-5.6
15 Pesaro2872125%79.991.5-11.5
16 Pistoia2862221%75.483.0-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1219162673
Reggiana24252526100
← all games of the day
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