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Pesaro vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-74
24-15 15-21 18-19 28-19
Position#10
Record10-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.8
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record5-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Reggiana
24 Mar 2024
PES69
REG87
05 Feb 2023
PES85
REG74
19 Dec 2021
PES69
REG72
22 Nov 2020
PES84
REG63
27 Oct 2019
PES65
REG90
05 May 2019
PES73
REG100
27 Jan 2018
PES96
REG104
19 Mar 2017
PES81
REG91
14 Feb 2016
PES90
REG80
15 Feb 2015
PES75
REG74
26 Dec 2013
PES66
REG99
03 Mar 2013
PES65
REG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 74
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 74
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
101-93
101
93
+8
90avg 74
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 74
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 74
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 74
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
64avg 74
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 74
A29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-18
17-20
22-17
24-18
15-20
19-17
17-24
27-27
32-17
23-30
19-19
25-23
22-25
22-21
25-21
18-25
22-14
19-20
14-14
18-16
21-26
23-25
14-28
21-27
20-13
32-14
28-18
15-13
26-18
11-24
29-14
18-20
23-19
10-20
25-14
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
168.4Avg total
84.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.684.8171.4+1.859%
Season at home (8)87.484.1171.5+3.262%
Season away (9)85.985.4171.3+0.456%
Last 10 (10)84.184.3168.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)81.683.8165.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.484.1163.5-4.741%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.881.8168.7+5.077%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
L
59-68
59
68
-9
54avg 68
A07/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-81
63
81
-18
54avg 68
A11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
101-115 OT
101
115
-14
no box
H18/12
Lega A
Bonn
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
59avg 68
H21/12
Champions League
Brescia
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
73avg 68
A26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
101avg 68
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
64avg 68
H08/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
88avg 68
A15/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 68
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 68
A29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-16
11-18
9-21
13-21
20-22
17-25
13-13
23-34
23-16
19-26
24-13
15-23
25-21
15-19
11-27
18-21
15-24
19-20
25-19
16-18
26-21
25-23
28-14
16-20
24-32
18-24
16-23
23-13
24-20
17-16
20-19
18-15
21-23
26-17
8-13
15-13
22-24
23-13
14-31
159.6Avg total
76.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.677.9153.6-2.329%
Season at home (9)79.982.2162.1-2.333%
Season away (8)70.973.1144.0-2.225%
Last 10 (10)76.683.0159.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)80.078.4158.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.281.8151.0-12.717%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.578.9157.5-0.440%
vs Weaker (3)74.070.7144.7+3.333%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
PesaroReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/11
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A04/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
84.5Avg total
42.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.582.2+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.783.5+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.280.9+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.084.5+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.682.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.440.882.2+0.647%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.140.082.1+2.169%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A07/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/12
Lega A
Bonn
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H21/12
Champions League
Brescia
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H08/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A15/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/01
Lega A
80.6Avg total
39.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.077.6-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.541.377.9-4.833%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.677.3-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.843.880.6-6.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.440.678.0-3.233%-
vs Weaker (3)31.731.763.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.3
52.6%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
36.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
76.1%16.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.6
50.3%
51.3%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
36.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.715.5
74.9%
76.1%15.5
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWWLLWWLW
Reggiana
LWWLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#14
+3.7
Net rating
-8.0
113.3
Offensive rating
102.9
109.6
Defensive rating
110.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.8%
3-point %
34.1%
56.1%
Assist %
74.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 102.9Defence109.6 · 110.8Shooting53.8% · 50.7%3-point %36.8% · 34.1%Ball care15.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Reggiana v Pesaro95-76
06/03/22Reggiana v Pesaro86-77
19/12/21Pesaro v Reggiana69-72
29/03/21Reggiana v Pesaro91-79
22/11/20Pesaro v Reggiana84-63
27/10/19Pesaro v Reggiana65-90
05/05/19Pesaro v Reggiana73-100
06/01/19Reggiana v Pesaro108-66
27/01/18Pesaro v Reggiana96-104
08/10/17Reggiana v Pesaro95-102
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23ASassari74-110
21/01/23HVerona76-73
15/01/23AScafati81-69
08/01/23HTreviso101-72
30/12/22AReggiana76-95
26/12/22HVirtus Bologna82-87 OT
18/12/22AVerona94-90
11/12/22HVarese101-93
04/12/22ATrento75-79
27/11/22HSassari81-75
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23ABrindisi74-81
22/01/23HOlimpia Milano73-68
15/01/23ATrento84-68
08/01/23HSassari74-99
30/12/22HPesaro95-76
26/12/22ABrescia77-84
21/12/22HBonn66-90
18/12/22HVenezia101-115 OT
11/12/22AOlimpia Milano63-81
07/12/22AAEK Athens59-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game86.687.485.9
Allowed / game84.884.185.4
Point differential+1.8+3.2+0.4
Avg total171.4171.5171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game75.679.970.9
Allowed / game77.982.273.1
Point differential-2.3-2.3-2.2
Avg total153.6162.1144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1814478%81.772.0+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna1713476%84.577.6+6.9
3 Tortona1813572%82.477.0+5.4
4 Pesaro1710759%86.684.8+1.8
5 Varese1810856%92.190.6+1.5
6 Sassari189950%85.081.0+4.0
7 Trento189950%74.376.8-2.5
8 Brindisi189950%79.883.2-3.4
9 Venezia1881044%81.979.6+2.3
10 Trieste1881044%78.681.8-3.3
11 Brescia1771041%83.683.0+0.6
12 Scafati1871139%76.877.6-0.8
13 Treviso1871139%79.384.7-5.3
14 Basket Napoli1871139%76.883.4-6.7
15 Verona1861233%78.886.3-7.5
16 Reggiana1751229%75.677.9-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2415182885
Reggiana1521191974
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