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Crvena zvezda vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-67
36-22 16-12 25-15 11-18
Position#1
Record22-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game67.5
Crvena zvezda 🏆
vs
Petrol Olimpija
Position#10
Record10-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24
Domestic2016
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija
02 Feb 2019
CZV89
POL61
21 Sep 2018
CZV86
POL60
02 Jan 2018
CZV80
POL76
27 Feb 2017
CZV88
POL67
18 Oct 2015
CZV73
POL77
11 Oct 2014
CZV73
POL65
19 Jan 2014
CZV87
POL62
07 Oct 2012
CZV87
POL76
15 Oct 2011
CZV93
POL101
13 Mar 2011
CZV92
POL70
20 Jan 2010
CZV71
POL72
11 Oct 2008
CZV84
POL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H30/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A05/02
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H12/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
98-61
98
61
+37
A14/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#8
W
99-47
99
47
+52
H16/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H19/02
Korac cup
Galatasaray
#12
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
27-20
21-13
25-15
20-16
16-31
16-14
20-25
17-21
29-25
26-21
9-19
26-33
20-25
18-19
16-25
22-13
18-16
15-17
14-10
23-24
26-13
21-12
28-12
30-7
27-10
24-15
18-15
27-14
21-18
19-13
9-15
23-23
13-11
16-13
22-17
20-17
28-12
16-13
13-16
149.9Avg total
80.8Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.767.5153.3+18.296%
Season at home (11)86.666.6153.3+20.0100%
Season away (12)84.968.3153.2+16.692%
Last 10 (10)80.869.1149.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)84.858.0142.8+26.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.079.7159.7+0.367%
vs Similar (8)74.975.4150.2-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.666.2149.8+17.394%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#8
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A18/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H22/02
ABA League
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A24/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
29-27
31-14
15-18
12-16
21-26
15-23
24-26
18-18
19-19
29-17
13-17
21-20
20-20
15-14
23-35
26-19
24-19
21-16
16-16
19-8
21-23
12-10
16-22
23-11
7-19
23-9
14-10
17-12
17-18
23-23
16-20
23-19
22-21
19-22
17-17
31-23
11-24
20-20
23-13
156.5Avg total
80.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.581.7161.3-2.243%
Season at home (12)78.979.7158.6-0.858%
Season away (11)80.284.0164.2-3.827%
Last 10 (10)80.076.5156.5+3.580%
Last 5 (5)77.470.4147.8+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.681.0157.6-4.440%
vs Similar (12)77.278.8156.0-1.742%
vs Weaker (13)83.972.0155.9+11.9100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Crvena zvezdaPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H30/01
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/02
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A09/02
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H12/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A14/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#8
W
57-17
57
17
+40
H16/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/02
Korac cup
Galatasaray
#12
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H23/02
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
44.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.634.878.4+8.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.932.977.9+12.087%-
Last 30 away (15)42.336.678.9+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.281.4+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.629.877.4+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.742.388.0+3.367%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.478.0+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.833.377.2+10.583%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A18/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/02
ABA League
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/02
Liga Nova KBM
79.7Avg total
40.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.278.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.280.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)36.539.175.6-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.579.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.673.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.044.083.0-5.040%-
vs Similar (12)35.539.975.4-4.433%-
vs Weaker (13)42.836.679.4+6.269%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.3
55.2%
51.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.0
31.4%
34.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
73.3%15.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.5
50.0%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.413.8
64.5%
73.3%13.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWLLLW
Petrol Olimpija
WWWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
-2.0
105.5
Offensive rating
102.7
95.6
Defensive rating
104.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.4%
3-point %
31.8%
73.5%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 102.7Defence95.6 · 104.7Shooting52.2% · 49.1%3-point %31.4% · 31.8%Ball care15.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
28/11/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda67-85
11/01/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda69-77
18/10/15Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-77
04/01/15Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda81-91
11/10/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-65
19/01/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-62
20/10/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda61-62
05/01/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda56-70
07/10/12Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-76
15/01/12Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda74-73
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/17HGalatasaray77-58
19/02/17HPartizan74-64
18/02/17AFMP Beograd76-60
16/02/17HVrsac99-47
14/02/17AKarpos98-61
12/02/17HCibona69-56
09/02/17ACSKA Moscow80-102
05/02/17APartizan81-86
03/02/17HAnadolu Efes72-86
30/01/17HMornar Bar82-71
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/17ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek85-80
22/02/17HBuducnost81-79
19/02/17HKK Krka Novo mesto86-81 OT
18/02/17AZlatorog Lasko67-49
15/02/17AHelios Domzale68-63
14/02/17HHelios Domzale87-70
11/02/17AFMP Beograd79-89
08/02/17HHelios Domzale79-71
05/02/17HMZT Skopje72-91
01/02/17HSencur96-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %96%100%92%
Points / game85.786.684.9
Allowed / game67.566.668.3
Point differential+18.2+20.0+16.6
Avg total153.3153.3153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%91%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game79.578.980.2
Allowed / game81.779.784.0
Point differential-2.2-0.8-3.8
Avg total161.3158.6164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2322196%85.767.5+18.2
2 Cedevita2418675%88.580.2+8.4
3 Partizan2317674%79.874.7+5.1
4 Buducnost2417771%82.476.0+6.4
5 Cibona23111248%79.980.0-0.2
6 Igokea23111248%75.378.4-3.0
7 Petrol Olimpija23101343%79.581.7-2.2
8 FMP Beograd24101442%78.380.4-2.1
9 Mega Bemax2391439%81.682.7-1.1
10 Karpos2491538%74.980.6-5.8
11 MZT Skopje2381535%78.482.8-4.4
12 Mornar Bar2481633%77.178.0-0.9
13 Zadar2371630%78.287.4-9.2
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2471729%71.480.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda3616251188
Petrol Olimpija2212151867
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