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Philippines vs Iran Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 68-56
7-18 29-16 13-13 19-9
Position#45
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#28
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game67.7
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Philippines v Iran
30 Aug 2026
PHIL68
IRAN56
03 Dec 2018
PHIL70
IRAN78
28 Sep 2015
PHIL87
IRAN73
18 Jul 2014
PHIL55
IRAN76
11 Aug 2013
PHIL71
IRAN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iran winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
66-93
66
93
-27
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
49-92
49
92
-43
A06/07
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
21-25
16-12
9-20
20-12
13-14
20-24
20-30
13-25
17-23
22-21
25-19
19-20
14-33
13-8
10-22
12-29
14-28
25-16
15-14
18-14
155.5Avg total
76.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.179.7157.9-1.643%
Season at home (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
Season away (4)80.081.2161.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)76.878.7155.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)73.088.2161.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.184.7158.8-10.631%
vs Similar (6)91.882.0173.8+9.850%
vs Weaker (8)86.458.2144.6+28.1100%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
91-93 OT
91
93
-2
H28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
15-18
26-22
26-11
20-27
9-24
8-29
11-12
28-20
19-13
19-21
13-19
24-19
25-8
27-19
18-22
21-25
21-13
19-12
25-21
14-17
11-12
18-17
17-27
21-12
17-19
12-25
22-12
17-11
12-11
23-8
15-19
17-5
14-15
23-10
19-22
19-21
20-17
22-28
19-14
146.2Avg total
74.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.667.7145.3+9.971%
Season at home (4)79.275.5154.8+3.850%
Season away (3)75.357.3132.7+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.871.4146.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)72.667.0139.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.280.7145.9-15.411%
vs Similar (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.260.6140.9+19.690%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
PhilippinesIran
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H01/03
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A03/07
World Cup
Australia
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A06/07
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/08
World Cup
75.3Avg total
36.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.879.0-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.538.581.0+3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)36.640.877.4-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.775.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.875.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.543.278.7-7.76%-
vs Similar (6)41.540.381.8+1.233%-
vs Weaker (8)44.832.677.4+12.188%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H13/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A16/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#90
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/11
World Cup
Iraq
#90
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/11
World Cup
Jordan
#26
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H29/06
World Cup
Jordan
#26
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Syria
#76
W
31-20
31
20
+11
A05/07
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H28/08
World Cup
68.6Avg total
35.5Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.434.170.5+2.259%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.137.274.4-0.147%-
Last 30 away (12)35.329.865.1+5.675%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.168.6+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.040.071.0-9.022%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.431.469.8+6.974%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.2
52.1%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.4
36.1%
-31.2
🏀 Free throws17.911.8
65.9%
-11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philippines
WLLLLWWLWW
Iran
LWWWLWWWLW
#45
League position
#28
+6.1
Net rating
+22.6
110.9
Offensive rating
108.2
104.8
Defensive rating
85.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
12.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
36.1%
64.5%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Philippines   ■ Iran
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Philippines wins
8
Iran wins
DateGameScore
03/10/23Iran v Philippines83-84
08/09/19Iran v Philippines95-75
03/12/18Philippines v Iran70-78
13/09/18Iran v Philippines81-73
28/09/15Philippines v Iran87-73
25/09/14Iran v Philippines68-63
18/07/14Philippines v Iran55-76
11/08/13Philippines v Iran71-85
21/09/12Iran v Philippines77-60
16/11/10Iran v Philippines65-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26AJordan82-81 OT
06/07/26AAustralia49-92
03/07/26ANew Zealand102-106 OT
01/03/26HAustralia66-93
26/02/26HNew Zealand66-69
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26HNew Zealand91-93 OT
05/07/26ASyria73-52
02/07/26AJordan67-49
29/06/26HSyria72-68
27/02/26HJordan60-73
30/11/25AIraq86-71
27/11/25HIraq94-68
17/08/25HNew Zealand79-73
16/08/25AAustralia48-92
13/08/25HChinese Taipei78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game78.175.780.0
Allowed / game79.777.781.2
Point differential-1.6-2.0-1.2
Avg total157.9153.3161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%0%50%
Iran
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game77.679.275.3
Allowed / game67.775.557.3
Point differential+9.9+3.8+18.0
Avg total145.3154.8132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Ivory Coast87188%90.574.2+16.2
8 Cameroon87188%77.669.2+8.4
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
13 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
14 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
15 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
16 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
17 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
18 Senegal86275%85.070.5+14.5
19 Mali86275%82.875.6+7.1
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
24 Iran75271%77.667.7+9.9
25 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
26 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
27 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
28 Angola85362%86.273.4+12.9
29 Guinea85362%73.466.0+7.4
30 Tunisia85362%71.268.8+2.5
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Egypt84450%76.072.6+3.4
42 Nigeria84450%77.476.0+1.4
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
48 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
50 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
51 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Philippines73443%78.179.7-1.6
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
61 Cape Verde83538%74.579.0-4.5
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
75 D.R. Congo82625%67.887.0-19.2
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines729131968
Iran181613956
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