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Pinheiros vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-77
21-20 12-28 27-11 23-18
Position#2
Record23-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#19
Record6-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game87.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pinheiros v Cearense
07 Mar 2026
PINH83
CEAR77
14 Dec 2024
PINH76
CEAR74
09 Mar 2024
PINH72
CEAR61
13 Dec 2022
PINH95
CEAR73
08 Nov 2021
PINH81
CEAR60
28 Feb 2021
PINH46
CEAR92
27 Nov 2019
PINH83
CEAR70
10 Nov 2018
PINH88
CEAR86
08 Apr 2018
PINH62
CEAR75
06 Apr 2018
PINH60
CEAR64
19 Nov 2017
PINH92
CEAR79
09 Nov 2016
PINH80
CEAR74
23 Mar 2016
PINH93
CEAR81
19 Nov 2014
PINH97
CEAR81
08 Feb 2014
PINH93
CEAR73
23 Mar 2013
PINH87
CEAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
94-67
94
67
+27
87avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
63avg 76
A10/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
94-101
94
101
-7
99avg 76
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 76
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
95-73
95
73
+22
94avg 76
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
69-62
69
62
+7
65avg 76
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
47avg 76
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 76
H19/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
66avg 76
A05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
25-15
21-16
21-18
19-26
14-26
21-20
27-23
33-29
15-30
18-16
28-26
24-13
24-17
27-13
18-22
21-17
18-12
18-30
13-5
30-19
23-14
22-16
20-24
15-19
17-14
21-13
16-16
17-18
18-24
11-19
24-16
26-11
15-25
20-14
19-18
21-25
22-20
27-11
10-17
157.1Avg total
82.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.874.4160.1+11.482%
Season at home (14)86.171.1157.1+15.093%
Season away (14)85.477.7163.1+7.771%
Last 10 (10)82.674.5157.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.870.6149.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.074.5139.5-9.550%
vs Similar (6)75.576.2151.7-0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.573.9162.5+14.686%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 66
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 66
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 66
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
82-97
82
97
-15
70avg 66
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
76-96
76
96
-20
71avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 66
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
52avg 66
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 66
A05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
12-21
19-16
23-30
11-21
20-23
27-20
23-24
20-10
18-25
24-14
11-29
26-22
24-21
15-20
21-19
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
28-25
13-25
22-25
19-22
19-26
18-16
18-28
21-26
20-27
12-19
20-22
24-20
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
160.4Avg total
75.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.887.6164.4-10.821%
Season at home (15)76.884.7161.5-7.927%
Season away (13)76.890.8167.6-14.115%
Last 10 (10)75.285.2160.4-10.020%
Last 5 (5)73.689.4163.0-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.789.8165.5-14.19%
vs Similar (7)80.477.3157.7+3.171%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
PinheirosCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A29/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A10/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H17/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H21/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A04/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A05/03
NBB
81.6Avg total
42.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.181.6+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.280.9+8.593%-
Last 30 away (15)42.439.982.3+2.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.281.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.878.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.033.566.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (6)38.339.077.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.938.284.1+7.773%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
80.2Avg total
36.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.7-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.442.981.3-4.629%-
Last 30 away (13)38.346.384.6-8.023%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.480.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.047.083.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.845.783.5-7.917%-
vs Similar (7)40.040.180.1-0.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.9
53.4%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.2
28.5%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
72.8%15.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.2
46.3%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.1
28.6%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
72.8%15.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WWLWWWWLLW
Cearense
LWLLLLWLLL
#2
League position
#19
+7.7
Net rating
-13.9
94.0
Offensive rating
84.9
86.4
Defensive rating
98.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
45.0%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
28.6%
64.1%
Assist %
62.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 84.9Defence86.4 · 98.8Shooting48.3% · 45.0%3-point %28.5% · 28.6%Ball care15.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds38.0% · 20.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Pinheiros wins
2
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Cearense v Pinheiros61-108
10/04/25Cearense v Pinheiros73-82
14/12/24Pinheiros v Cearense76-74
09/03/24Pinheiros v Cearense72-61
21/11/23Cearense v Pinheiros87-84
24/03/23Cearense v Pinheiros78-92
13/12/22Pinheiros v Cearense95-73
11/02/22Cearense v Pinheiros65-81
08/11/21Pinheiros v Cearense81-60
28/02/21Pinheiros v Cearense46-92
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AMogi80-73
19/02/26HPaulistano80-68
13/02/26AUniao Corinthians70-77
11/02/26ACaxias do Sul69-62
04/02/26AOsasco95-73
21/01/26HBrasilia70-64
17/01/26HRio Claro93-65
12/01/26ABauru94-101
10/01/26AFranca81-95
29/12/25APato94-67
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59
09/02/26AMogi76-88
07/02/26ACorinthians Paulista76-96
04/02/26ASao Jose82-97
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71
16/01/26HBotafogo86-82
13/01/26HVasco73-78
10/01/26HFlamengo81-88
29/12/25HCruzeiro78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%93%71%
Points / game85.886.185.4
Allowed / game74.471.177.7
Point differential+11.4+15.0+7.7
Avg total160.1157.1163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%86%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLLWLW27%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %21%27%15%
Points / game76.876.876.8
Allowed / game87.684.790.8
Point differential-10.8-7.9-14.1
Avg total164.4161.5167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2823582%85.874.4+11.4
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2921872%82.172.7+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Paulistano29181162%82.077.8+4.2
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians28151354%79.581.4-1.9
11 Mogi29151452%75.870.1+5.6
12 Unifacisa28141450%80.980.2+0.6
13 Caxias do Sul28121643%72.877.3-4.5
14 Cruzeiro28101836%79.785.1-5.5
15 Rio Claro2992031%77.686.8-9.2
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Cearense2862221%76.887.6-10.8
18 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
19 Vasco2942514%69.879.5-9.7
20 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2112272383
Cearense2028111877
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