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Pinheiros vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-61
22-13 18-13 14-10 18-25
Position#13
Record12-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#8
Record15-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pinheiros v Cearense
07 Mar 2026
PINH83
CEAR77
14 Dec 2024
PINH76
CEAR74
09 Mar 2024
PINH72
CEAR61
13 Dec 2022
PINH95
CEAR73
08 Nov 2021
PINH81
CEAR60
28 Feb 2021
PINH46
CEAR92
27 Nov 2019
PINH83
CEAR70
10 Nov 2018
PINH88
CEAR86
08 Apr 2018
PINH62
CEAR75
06 Apr 2018
PINH60
CEAR64
19 Nov 2017
PINH92
CEAR79
09 Nov 2016
PINH80
CEAR74
23 Mar 2016
PINH93
CEAR81
19 Nov 2014
PINH97
CEAR81
08 Feb 2014
PINH93
CEAR73
23 Mar 2013
PINH87
CEAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
74avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
76-75
76
75
+1
78avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 70
A15/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 70
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 70
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 70
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 70
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 70
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 70
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
82avg 70
H05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-23
18-21
26-26
19-16
25-18
23-14
9-27
20-17
17-18
19-14
17-22
29-12
18-14
15-14
22-21
21-24
29-26
20-18
18-24
23-21
15-15
18-19
28-21
14-23
17-15
21-28
9-16
17-26
13-19
12-19
9-16
30-23
17-20
14-14
13-22
14-13
20-21
17-11
29-18
152.2Avg total
75.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.877.9153.6-2.144%
Season at home (14)77.177.0154.1+0.150%
Season away (13)74.378.8153.1-4.538%
Last 10 (10)75.576.7152.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)70.076.0146.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.280.2154.4-6.036%
vs Similar (10)79.277.3156.5+1.960%
vs Weaker (6)77.279.2156.3-2.033%
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
67avg 73
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
no box
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
no box
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 73
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 73
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 73
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 73
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 73
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 73
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-12
22-22
15-23
21-17
15-21
20-24
20-14
15-19
14-18
25-17
22-22
23-19
24-20
22-19
24-17
20-31
15-15
14-12
20-15
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
161.1Avg total
81.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.477.6157.0+1.854%
Season at home (15)79.574.5153.9+5.067%
Season away (13)79.281.2160.5-2.038%
Last 10 (10)81.180.0161.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.476.6154.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.883.8160.6-7.00%
vs Similar (15)79.577.9157.3+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.175.2155.3+4.967%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
PinheirosCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H29/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H22/01
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H05/03
NBB
78.0Avg total
39.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.080.0+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.079.6-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.080.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.278.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.275.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.741.781.4-2.043%-
vs Similar (10)40.737.778.4+3.060%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.879.5-0.217%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A18/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/01
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/01
NBB
Minas
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
75.7Avg total
37.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.177.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.136.975.0+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.241.379.5-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.675.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.242.678.8-6.440%-
vs Similar (15)38.238.676.8-0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.437.276.7+2.256%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
72.6%12.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.1
56.9%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.8
72.9%
72.6%14.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WLLLWLWWWL
Cearense
LWWLWLWWLL
#13
League position
#8
-0.4
Net rating
+0.7
105.6
Offensive rating
104.8
106.1
Defensive rating
104.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
30.0%
73.1%
Assist %
52.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 104.8Defence106.1 · 104.1Shooting50.2% · 52.1%3-point %34.4% · 30.0%Ball care17.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Pinheiros wins
3
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
21/11/23Cearense v Pinheiros87-84
24/03/23Cearense v Pinheiros78-92
13/12/22Pinheiros v Cearense95-73
11/02/22Cearense v Pinheiros65-81
08/11/21Pinheiros v Cearense81-60
28/02/21Pinheiros v Cearense46-92
19/12/20Cearense v Pinheiros79-62
15/01/20Cearense v Pinheiros57-77
27/11/19Pinheiros v Cearense83-70
14/03/19Cearense v Pinheiros79-81
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HCaxias do Sul80-63
29/02/24ASao Paulo74-79
16/02/24APaulistano51-80
12/02/24HFranca61-82
08/02/24HBauru84-76
24/01/24HBrasilia88-92
22/01/24HCerrado84-61
15/01/24ASao Jose73-71
09/01/24AMogi76-75
29/12/23HBotafogo84-88
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
27/01/24AMinas69-73
24/01/24HMogi93-75
22/01/24HSao Jose99-95 OT
18/01/24ABauru88-93 OT
16/01/24AFranca75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game75.877.174.3
Allowed / game77.977.078.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.5
Avg total153.6154.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%67%38%
Points / game79.479.579.2
Allowed / game77.674.581.2
Point differential+1.8+5.0-2.0
Avg total157.0153.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2721678%87.173.9+13.2
4 Vasco2821775%76.871.8+4.9
5 Paulistano2617965%74.371.0+3.2
6 Bauru28181064%80.678.8+1.8
7 Unifacisa29181162%83.379.1+4.3
8 Sao Jose27151256%80.777.4+3.2
9 Cearense28151354%79.477.6+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista27141352%80.278.4+1.8
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros27121544%75.877.9-2.1
13 Pato29111838%76.580.2-3.7
14 Uniao Corinthians28101836%75.383.1-7.8
15 Cerrado2781930%75.476.6-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul2882029%72.079.9-7.9
17 Botafogo3072323%77.786.5-8.8
18 Mogi2852318%72.981.2-8.3
19 Brasilia2742315%71.385.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2218141872
Cearense1313102561
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