PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cearense vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-88
11-21 20-23 27-20 23-24
Position#19
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#4
Record17-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game75.2
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Flamengo
22 Nov 2026
CEAR v FLAM
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
CEAR81
FLAM88
29 Oct 2024
CEAR56
FLAM78
09 May 2024
CEAR68
FLAM83
07 May 2024
CEAR66
FLAM86
02 Apr 2024
CEAR73
FLAM93
31 Jan 2023
CEAR64
FLAM99
29 Mar 2022
CEAR91
FLAM94
12 Nov 2020
CEAR69
FLAM82
08 Nov 2019
CEAR71
FLAM88
13 Oct 2018
CEAR54
FLAM73
14 Jan 2018
CEAR75
FLAM92
22 Mar 2017
CEAR81
FLAM94
01 Dec 2015
CEAR67
FLAM85
19 Mar 2015
CEAR63
FLAM89
03 Apr 2014
CEAR81
FLAM88
23 Feb 2013
CEAR82
FLAM101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 68
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 68
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
64avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
18-24
28-16
18-33
17-26
24-19
12-21
19-16
23-30
167.8Avg total
75.5Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.788.7166.4-11.121%
Season at home (10)78.289.3167.5-11.120%
Season away (9)77.188.1165.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)75.592.3167.8-16.810%
Last 5 (5)66.891.2158.0-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.387.0163.3-10.617%
vs Similar (6)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 82
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 82
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 82
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 82
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 82
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 82
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 82
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 82
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
102avg 82
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 82
A08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
16-21
32-13
27-20
29-17
17-27
27-19
22-31
22-12
163.5Avg total
86.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.175.2164.2+13.985%
Season at home (8)90.970.6161.5+20.288%
Season away (12)87.978.2166.1+9.883%
Last 10 (10)86.177.4163.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)94.881.0175.8+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar (12)87.885.7173.4+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.473.4163.8+17.093%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +6.6+6.6
CearenseFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/12
NBB
85.2Avg total
38.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.581.1-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.442.280.6-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)38.742.981.6-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.685.2-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.047.882.8-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.142.882.0-3.729%-
vs Similar (6)36.341.377.7-5.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/01
NBB
81.0Avg total
43.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.680.6+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.736.779.3+6.075%-
Last 30 away (18)43.338.281.5+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.081.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.687.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar (12)43.440.483.8+3.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.636.280.8+8.487%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.2
48.1%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.2
27.9%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
72.8%13.4
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.7
53.6%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.412.1
35.2%
32.5%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
72.8%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLLWLLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWWLWL
#19
League position
#4
-19.9
Net rating
+11.0
95.6
Offensive rating
110.4
115.6
Defensive rating
99.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.9%
3-point %
35.2%
54.7%
Assist %
62.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 110.4Defence115.6 · 99.4Shooting45.7% · 53.2%3-point %27.9% · 35.2%Ball care19.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Cearense   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cearense wins
10
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
23/10/25Flamengo v Cearense102-73
13/02/25Flamengo v Cearense84-79
29/10/24Cearense v Flamengo56-78
09/05/24Cearense v Flamengo68-83
07/05/24Cearense v Flamengo66-86
03/05/24Flamengo v Cearense79-71
02/04/24Cearense v Flamengo73-93
22/12/23Flamengo v Cearense77-74
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
25/10/22Flamengo v Cearense80-60
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HCruzeiro78-86
27/12/25HMinas81-99
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AUnifacisa88-89
29/12/25HBotafogo104-71
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%20%22%
Points / game77.778.277.1
Allowed / game88.789.388.1
Point differential-11.1-11.1-11.0
Avg total166.4167.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %85%88%83%
Points / game89.190.987.9
Allowed / game75.270.678.2
Point differential+13.9+20.2+9.8
Avg total164.2161.5166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%88%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros1917289%87.873.9+13.9
2 Franca2017385%87.973.2+14.7
3 Flamengo2017385%89.175.2+13.9
4 Minas2017385%87.278.0+9.2
5 Brasilia2015575%81.472.5+8.9
6 Corinthians Paulista2013765%82.777.3+5.3
7 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
8 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
9 Mogi1910953%76.168.9+7.2
10 Unifacisa20101050%82.081.3+0.7
11 Caxias do Sul20101050%72.877.2-4.3
12 Bauru1991047%73.775.1-1.4
13 Uniao Corinthians1991047%78.581.0-2.5
14 Cruzeiro1961332%77.984.7-6.8
15 Pato2051525%72.881.5-8.8
16 Cearense1941521%77.788.7-11.1
17 Osasco2041620%75.287.0-11.8
18 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
19 Botafogo1931616%71.183.7-12.6
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1120272381
Flamengo2123202488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.