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Pinheiros vs Minas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Projected 80-81
Projected total 161.2
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.1
Pinheiros
Brazil
Vs
48%
52%
■ PINH 48%■ MINA 52%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Minas
Brazil
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pinheiros v Minas
21 Nov 2026
PINH v MINA
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
PINH91
MINA85
29 Oct 2024
PINH67
MINA77
16 Dec 2023
PINH61
MINA91
18 Oct 2022
PINH81
MINA72
14 Apr 2022
PINH83
MINA93
21 Dec 2020
PINH76
MINA84
16 Mar 2020
PINH v MINA
upcoming
10 Jan 2019
PINH87
MINA75
10 Mar 2018
PINH62
MINA64
24 Feb 2017
PINH95
MINA92
15 Apr 2016
PINH74
MINA66
09 Apr 2016
PINH70
MINA67
07 Apr 2016
PINH70
MINA77
04 Nov 2015
PINH75
MINA63
08 Jan 2015
PINH89
MINA78
01 Apr 2014
PINH90
MINA82
15 Dec 2012
PINH91
MINA77
17 Dec 2011
PINH97
MINA90
27 Feb 2011
PINH87
MINA77
30 Jan 2009
PINH80
MINA81
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Pinheiros host Minas in the NBB. Pythia makes Minas the favourite at 52% and projects 80-81, about 161 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Pinheiros are 6-2 this season (85.2 scored, 73.1 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Minas are 8-0 this season (85.1 scored, 65.4 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros win
48.4%fair 2.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minas win
51.6%fair 1.94
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 77
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 77
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 77
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 77
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 77
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 77
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-53
91
53
+38
no box
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
25-6
20-15
23-14
23-18
22-21
28-19
30-16
23-31
14-22
20-15
24-23
12-25
16-22
21-17
37-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.273.1158.4+12.175%
Season at home (4)84.872.0156.8+12.875%
Season away (4)85.874.2160.0+11.575%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)79.183.9163.0-4.729%
vs Weaker (23)86.474.4160.9+12.083%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 84
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 84
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 84
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 84
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 84
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 84
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
70.9%
Under 152
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
59.4%
Under 157
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
47.1%
Under 162
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Pinheiros total 76
Over 76
66.7%
Under 76
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pinheiros total 80
Over 80
51.2%
Under 80
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pinheiros total 84
Over 84
35.5%
Under 84
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 73
Over 73
78.2%
Under 73
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 77
Over 77
64.7%
Under 77
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minas total 81
Over 81
49.0%
Under 81
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Pinheiros -3
PINH -3
39.3%
MINA +3
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
PINH
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Pinheiros 0
PINH 0
48.4%
MINA 0
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
PINH
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.
Spread Pinheiros +3
PINH +3
57.6%
MINA -3
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
PINH
No market prices yet.
MINA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
PinheirosMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.637.181.7+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.081.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.678.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (7)42.643.986.4-1.357%-
vs Weaker (23)43.137.280.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WLWWWWWLLW
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+13.2
94.5
Offensive rating
100.9
88.4
Defensive rating
87.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.9%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.4%
3-point %
34.6%
53.2%
Assist %
71.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 100.9Defence88.4 · 87.7Shooting51.6% · 55.9%3-point %34.4% · 34.6%Ball care15.6% · 16.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pinheiros wins
7
Minas wins
DateGameScore
24/03/26Pinheiros v Minas91-85
21/11/25Minas v Pinheiros77-81
15/02/25Minas v Pinheiros70-59
29/10/24Pinheiros v Minas67-77
27/03/24Minas v Pinheiros81-51
16/12/23Pinheiros v Minas61-91
12/01/23Minas v Pinheiros74-67
18/10/22Pinheiros v Minas81-72
14/04/22Pinheiros v Minas83-93
11/01/22Minas v Pinheiros91-84
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACorinthians Paulista91-79
09/11/26HMogi70-85
07/11/26HSao Jose103-87
02/11/26HCaxias do Sul91-53
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.284.885.8
Allowed / game73.172.074.2
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.5
Avg total158.4156.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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