PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 87-83
20-22 22-17 22-19 23-25
Position#7
Record13-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.9
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#15
Record9-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.9
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
77-64
77
64
+13
113avg 102
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
96avg 102
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
104avg 102
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
97avg 102
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
85-74
85
74
+11
117avg 102
H26/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
75-59
75
59
+16
106avg 102
H09/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
94avg 102
A15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
29-22
11-18
18-11
19-13
11-15
14-20
22-21
23-19
12-21
30-19
10-18
23-23
17-19
24-17
17-28
13-14
21-30
22-31
31-16
17-22
22-20
20-20
18-13
25-21
13-20
19-23
18-9
28-26
14-17
25-15
18-13
18-14
21-21
14-12
18-21
18-19
153.0Avg total
77.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.576.9153.4-0.448%
Season at home (13)80.470.5150.8+9.985%
Season away (14)72.982.9155.7-10.014%
Last 10 (10)77.775.3153.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)83.479.2162.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.989.0169.9-8.129%
vs Similar (20)75.575.2150.8+0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)74.772.3147.0+2.367%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
W
78-73
78
73
+5
103avg 98
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
85avg 98
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
95avg 98
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
61-85
61
85
-24
83avg 98
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
104avg 98
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
106avg 98
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
114avg 98
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
63-73
63
73
-10
90avg 98
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
A09/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
109avg 98
H15/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
12-26
23-15
21-17
21-16
15-25
11-17
15-21
10-23
20-11
22-21
24-16
22-22
14-20
14-18
11-25
22-23
29-19
18-25
9-26
23-27
22-17
15-29
21-18
24-21
29-29
15-20
23-27
17-14
16-16
14-20
16-23
22-25
22-20
9-20
28-16
31-14
20-19
15-16
17-18
158.9Avg total
76.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.079.9154.8-4.933%
Season at home (14)74.374.0148.3+0.343%
Season away (13)75.786.2161.8-10.523%
Last 10 (10)76.782.2158.9-5.540%
Last 5 (5)82.484.2166.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.482.4157.8-7.020%
vs Similar (15)75.578.3153.9-2.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A18/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H26/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/04
Lega A
76.1Avg total
36.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.276.0-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.936.974.7+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.941.377.2-5.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.576.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.647.787.3-8.129%-
vs Similar (20)36.537.273.7-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)32.333.065.3-0.767%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A12/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/04
Lega A
81.5Avg total
41.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.477.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.035.171.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.783.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.281.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.140.178.2-2.140%-
vs Similar (15)37.938.676.5-0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.8
48.9%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.2
33.6%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws14.110.7
75.9%
74.0%10.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.9
50.0%
51.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
74.0%15.9
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWWWLLLLWW
Pesaro
WWLLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#15
+1.7
Net rating
-6.8
100.9
Offensive rating
102.5
99.1
Defensive rating
109.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.6%
3-point %
34.8%
60.3%
Assist %
47.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 102.5Defence99.1 · 109.4Shooting49.4% · 50.9%3-point %33.6% · 34.8%Ball care18.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pistoia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
24/11/13Pistoia v Pesaro115-110 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17ACantu71-73
09/04/17HCapo d'Orlando75-59
02/04/17ATorino95-91 OT
26/03/17HOlimpia Milano85-74
18/03/17ATrento91-99
12/03/17HVenezia71-78
04/03/17ASassari75-81
27/02/17AVarese70-75
13/02/17HCaserta77-64
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/17HCaserta83-67
09/04/17ABrindisi94-93 OT
02/04/17HCremona63-73
26/03/17ATrento91-97
19/03/17HReggiana81-91
12/03/17AVarese78-93
05/03/17AVenezia61-85
26/02/17HSassari76-71
12/02/17AAvellino62-79
05/02/17HCantu78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%85%14%
Points / game76.580.472.9
Allowed / game76.970.582.9
Point differential-0.4+9.9-10.0
Avg total153.4150.8155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%43%23%
Points / game75.074.375.7
Allowed / game79.974.086.2
Point differential-4.9+0.3-10.5
Avg total154.8148.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)38% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2718967%80.977.7+3.2
3 Avellino28181064%79.976.2+3.8
4 Sassari27161159%76.373.1+3.2
5 Reggiana27161159%81.980.6+1.3
6 Trento27151256%77.273.7+3.5
7 Capo d'Orlando28141450%75.676.4-0.8
8 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
9 Pistoia27131448%76.576.9-0.4
10 Brescia27121544%79.480.7-1.3
11 Varese27121544%77.279.7-2.5
12 Torino27121544%81.484.9-3.5
13 Cantu27111641%78.081.6-3.6
14 Caserta27101737%77.781.4-3.7
15 Pesaro2791833%75.079.9-4.9
16 Cremona2772026%77.880.2-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2022222387
Pesaro2217192583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.