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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 64-60
14-17 20-15 13-20 17-8
Position#10
Record7-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.6
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
78-72
78
72
+6
68avg 72
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 72
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 72
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 72
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
71avg 72
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 72
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 72
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
59avg 72
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 72
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-18
23-20
18-16
25-17
18-19
22-24
20-17
30-29
18-19
10-21
24-26
24-17
18-17
10-15
16-14
19-28
20-25
29-10
18-18
19-21
20-19
14-18
28-18
28-25
27-23
21-23
24-26
23-17
15-30
14-17
21-10
16-28
12-23
20-16
22-24
23-19
21-23
21-18
24-26
162.4Avg total
81.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.781.6161.3-1.950%
Season at home (7)74.677.6152.1-3.043%
Season away (7)84.985.6170.4-0.757%
Last 10 (10)81.281.2162.4+0.070%
Last 5 (5)82.684.8167.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)82.686.0168.6-3.460%
vs Similar (21)74.175.4149.5-1.357%
vs Weaker (4)88.280.0168.2+8.275%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
W
122-112 OT
122
112
+10
no box
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
94avg 74
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
70avg 74
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 74
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 74
A26/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 74
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 74
H10/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 74
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
51-74
51
74
-23
38avg 74
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
75-58
75
58
+17
76avg 74
H30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-28
31-11
21-23
21-23
25-14
25-15
22-31
13-25
22-15
25-25
15-19
26-17
27-16
20-23
23-13
18-12
16-23
15-14
21-31
18-16
12-16
26-22
19-14
13-24
26-7
13-21
18-24
18-18
22-13
22-22
21-14
11-16
11-16
25-22
4-20
18-13
22-12
15-22
20-11
158.1Avg total
81.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.979.3161.2+2.650%
Season at home (7)84.974.6159.4+10.371%
Season away (7)79.084.0163.0-5.029%
Last 10 (10)81.077.1158.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.868.6139.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.080.3153.3-7.333%
vs Similar (14)78.576.1154.6+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.875.5160.3+9.277%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H17/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H23/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/12
Lega A
84.8Avg total
41.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.080.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.837.475.2+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.184.4-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.584.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.245.284.4-6.040%-
vs Similar (21)38.939.778.6-0.848%-
vs Weaker (4)40.242.582.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#14
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A29/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H05/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H19/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A26/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H17/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A24/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H30/12
Lega A
72.3Avg total
37.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.175.9+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.177.9+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)35.738.173.8-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.972.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.264.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.370.7-2.033%-
vs Similar (14)39.638.277.8+1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.936.175.0+2.862%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.7
51.8%
53.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.7
38.9%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
76.3%12.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.8
57.5%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws13.510.1
74.8%
76.3%10.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLWWWWLWW
Cremona
WLWLWLWLWW
#10
League position
#11
+0.0
Net rating
+4.1
109.1
Offensive rating
109.1
109.1
Defensive rating
105.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.9%
3-point %
35.6%
51.4%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 109.1Defence109.1 · 105.0Shooting54.7% · 55.6%3-point %38.9% · 35.6%Ball care16.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
30/04/23Pistoia v Cremona73-68
08/04/23Cremona v Pistoia85-80
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ATreviso89-86
23/12/23HVirtus Bologna70-91
17/12/23HPesaro73-74
09/12/23ATortona100-97
02/12/23HBasket Napoli81-76
26/11/23AOlimpia Milano86-81
19/11/23HSassari68-63
12/11/23AReggiana82-95
05/11/23HVenezia85-77
29/10/23ABrindisi78-72
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HBrindisi75-58
24/12/23AOlimpia Milano51-74
17/12/23HTortona83-67
10/12/23HTreviso70-76
03/12/23AVarese75-68
26/11/23ABasket Napoli70-80
19/11/23HPesaro96-69
12/11/23ABrescia75-84
05/11/23HVirtus Bologna93-83
29/10/23AScafati122-112 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%43%57%
Points / game79.774.684.9
Allowed / game81.677.685.6
Point differential-1.9-3.0-0.7
Avg total161.3152.1170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game81.984.979.0
Allowed / game79.374.684.0
Point differential+2.6+10.3-5.0
Avg total161.2159.4163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%71%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
2 Brescia1511473%85.875.6+10.2
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%87.776.9+10.8
4 Olimpia Milano159660%78.774.5+4.2
5 Trento159660%83.981.5+2.5
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
12 Varese156940%86.390.3-4.0
13 Sassari156940%74.983.1-8.3
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1531220%73.082.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1420131764
Cremona171520860
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