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Pistoia vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-81
20-21 16-13 20-26 11-21
Position#19
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.0
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Verona 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record14-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game73.3
ItalySerie A2Round 22
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Verona
18 Jan 2026
PIS67
VER81
29 May 2022
PIS69
VER61
27 May 2022
PIS86
VER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 67
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 67
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 67
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 67
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 67
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 67
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 67
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
56avg 67
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
89avg 67
A11/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
19-17
23-18
24-17
9-30
22-13
18-15
22-19
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
22-20
21-10
15-19
10-27
20-25
14-20
23-27
12-23
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
19-23
19-25
24-28
23-9
159.4Avg total
76.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.583.0161.6-4.529%
Season at home (10)79.582.8162.3-3.330%
Season away (11)77.683.3160.9-5.627%
Last 10 (10)76.882.6159.4-5.820%
Last 5 (5)77.686.6164.2-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.285.6160.8-10.417%
vs Similar (7)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 71
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 71
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
94avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 71
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 71
H07/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 71
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
78avg 71
H28/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A04/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
H10/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-22
24-17
18-18
19-16
26-19
20-22
13-9
19-14
32-25
34-20
12-19
16-11
22-25
10-29
20-11
29-15
18-24
17-23
25-25
20-21
26-15
16-16
10-22
20-16
21-16
21-13
14-24
19-20
20-16
13-20
36-23
15-15
9-24
10-21
21-14
20-15
20-17
17-12
21-16
152.3Avg total
78.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.273.3150.5+4.067%
Season at home (11)83.575.5159.0+8.191%
Season away (10)70.370.9141.2-0.640%
Last 10 (10)78.673.7152.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)73.871.2145.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)76.676.2152.8+0.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.575.3156.8+6.173%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
PistoiaVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/01
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
38.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.378.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.541.177.6-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.479.9-3.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.480.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.541.077.4-4.535%-
vs Similar (7)41.042.483.4-1.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H28/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A04/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H10/01
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
41.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.577.9+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.481.4+4.775%-
Last 30 away (14)37.436.473.9+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.377.7+5.190%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.073.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)37.537.074.5+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.437.981.3+5.580%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.7
50.7%
50.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.8
82.6%
74.4%13.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.2
54.3%
50.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.8
75.2%
74.4%11.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLWLLW
Verona
WLWWLWLWWW
#19
League position
#2
-8.0
Net rating
+7.1
104.7
Offensive rating
113.7
112.7
Defensive rating
106.5
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
35.1%
50.2%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 113.7Defence112.7 · 106.5Shooting50.6% · 53.5%3-point %33.6% · 35.1%Ball care16.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 33.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
5
Verona wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Verona v Pistoia74-69
01/06/22Verona v Pistoia79-53
29/05/22Pistoia v Verona69-61
27/05/22Pistoia v Verona86-77
24/05/22Verona v Pistoia84-76
22/05/22Verona v Pistoia65-63
24/04/22Verona v Pistoia74-46
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AAvellino Basket94-99 OT
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
28/12/25ARimini69-95
21/12/25ABrindisi68-76
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
23/11/25AScafati71-77
16/11/25HRoseto81-73
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HFortitudo Bologna78-60
04/01/26ABrindisi55-74
28/12/25HPesaro88-79
21/12/25ACento76-69
13/12/25AMestre72-74
07/12/25HRoseto89-87
30/11/25ALibertas Livorno68-76
26/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia97-78
21/11/25HBlu Basket Bergamo78-66
16/11/25AForli85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%30%27%
Points / game78.579.577.6
Allowed / game83.082.883.3
Point differential-4.5-3.3-5.6
Avg total161.6162.3160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%91%40%
Points / game77.283.570.3
Allowed / game73.375.570.9
Point differential+4.0+8.1-0.6
Avg total150.5159.0141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2115671%82.375.0+7.3
2 Pesaro2115671%82.477.5+4.9
3 Brindisi2215768%77.071.4+5.6
4 Verona2114767%77.273.3+4.0
5 Cividale2214864%77.576.1+1.4
6 Libertas Livorno2113862%78.073.1+4.9
7 Scafati2113862%81.877.3+4.5
8 Fortitudo Bologna2213959%75.872.4+3.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%79.877.1+2.7
10 Avellino Basket2112957%81.278.2+3.0
11 Basket Torino21111052%74.072.9+1.1
12 Blu Basket Bergamo21101148%80.781.6-1.0
13 Cento2291341%78.580.8-2.2
14 Mestre2291341%76.781.0-4.2
15 JuVi Cremona2181338%74.078.9-4.8
16 Forli2271532%76.580.6-4.1
17 Urania Milano2271532%76.883.0-6.2
18 Pistoia2161529%78.583.0-4.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2161529%75.485.4-10.0
20 Roseto2141719%78.984.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2016201167
Verona2113262181
← all games of the day
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