Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 May 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 88-78

17-15 22-25 24-13 25-25

Position#1

Record27-7

FormWWWLL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game71.4

Olimpia Milano 🏆

Pistoia

Position#9

Record17-17

FormWLLWW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game77.5

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

63-75

-12

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

66-86

-20

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

94-92 OT

A01/05

Lega A

Sassari

88-78

+10

H04/05

Lega A

Cremona

#14

81-68

+13

A07/05

Lega A

Siena

85-74

+11

A11/05

Lega A

Pistoia

73-59

+14

H19/05

Lega A

Pistoia

87-67

+20

H21/05

Lega A

Pistoia

71-82

-11

A23/05

Lega A

Pistoia

82-84

-2

A25/05

Lega A

16-15

13-24

16-22

18-14

21-19

22-16

13-19

10-32

23-20

17-23

20-14

19-22

16-28

32-16

24-13

16-21

19-13

17-11

19-24

26-20

18-24

26-13

22-22

19-15

20-14

15-14

18-20

20-11

22-21

17-17

24-17

24-12

15-19

30-16

11-25

15-22

18-19

24-7

17-36

23-22

155.5Avg total

79.0Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	81.3	71.4	152.7	+10.0	79%
Season at home (17)	82.8	64.7	147.5	+18.1	100%
Season away (17)	79.8	78.0	157.8	+1.8	59%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	76.5	155.5	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	73.2	152.8	+6.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	71.5	152.0	+9.0	50%
vs Similar (12)	81.4	78.7	160.1	+2.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	83.9	73.2	157.1	+10.7	87%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

65-75

-10

H30/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

74-70

A06/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

85-66

+19

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

87-75

+12

A26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

77-70

A04/05

Lega A

Caserta

73-68

H11/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-73

-14

A19/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

67-87

-20

A21/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-71

+11

H23/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-82

H25/05

Lega A

21-16

14-17

14-25

16-17

18-12

17-15

12-25

27-18

21-21

20-17

21-12

23-16

21-18

18-14

23-13

25-30

19-8

23-28

23-14

12-20

17-13

10-16

30-18

16-21

14-20

14-15

20-18

11-20

21-22

17-17

17-24

12-24

19-15

16-30

25-11

22-15

19-18

7-24

36-17

22-23

149.0Avg total

75.3Scored

73.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	76.1	77.5	153.6	-1.4	50%
Season at home (17)	80.2	76.1	156.2	+4.1	76%
Season away (17)	72.1	79.0	151.1	-6.9	24%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	73.7	149.0	+1.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	76.2	149.2	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.4	76.8	150.2	-3.5	55%
vs Similar (13)	75.3	74.4	149.7	+0.9	54%
vs Weaker (6)	84.7	79.8	164.5	+4.8	67%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Olimpia MilanoPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.5	17.7	37.1	+1.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.1	35.2	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	77%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	17.4	40.1	+5.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	18.0	41.3	+5.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	13.4	35.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.1	17.3	40.3	+5.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	19.3	34.9	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	20.4	33.2	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	20.1	36.5	-3.6	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	67%	-

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

29-39

-10

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

43-35

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

40-43

-3

A01/05

Lega A

Sassari

48-44

H04/05

Lega A

Cremona

#14

36-24

+12

A07/05

Lega A

Siena

44-37

A11/05

Lega A

Pistoia

35-28

H19/05

Lega A

Pistoia

39-38

H21/05

Lega A

Pistoia

45-35

+10

A23/05

Lega A

Pistoia

42-26

+16

A25/05

Lega A

75.0Avg total

40.1Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	35.6	78.0	+6.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	34.3	76.9	+8.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.2	36.8	79.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	34.9	75.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	32.8	73.8	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	34.5	74.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.0	37.0	80.0	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.5	34.9	77.5	+7.6	80%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

35-33

H30/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

35-27

A06/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

41-38

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

39-32

A26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

42-36

A04/05

Lega A

Caserta

27-29

-2

H11/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-35

-7

A19/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-39

-1

A21/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-45

-10

H23/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

26-42

-16

H25/05

Lega A

70.2Avg total

34.6Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	36.8	73.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	36.5	73.8	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	37.2	72.3	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	35.6	70.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	38.0	68.8	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.4	38.7	73.1	-4.4	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.1	34.6	71.7	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	33%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.1	39.8	-4.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	10.0	30.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	19.8	39.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.7	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.6	43.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	64%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	14.5	36.7	+7.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.3	38.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.1	17.5	38.5	+3.6	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.9	37.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	20.4	36.9	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	36.3	77.5	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	41.9	79.2	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.3	77.7	-2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.3	37.4	77.7	+2.9	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	36.7	76.8	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.1	78.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.2	80.4	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.8	37.4	75.2	+0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	36.5	77.2	+4.2	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olimpia Milano wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
25/05/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	84-82
23/05/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	82-71
21/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	87-67
19/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	73-59
17/02/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	79-88
04/11/13	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	75-55

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/14	A	Pistoia	82-84
23/05/14	A	Pistoia	71-82
21/05/14	H	Pistoia	87-67
19/05/14	H	Pistoia	73-59
11/05/14	A	Siena	85-74
07/05/14	A	Cremona	81-68
04/05/14	H	Sassari	88-78
01/05/14	A	Avellino	94-92 OT
23/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	66-86
21/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	63-75

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	84-82
23/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	82-71
21/05/14	A	Olimpia Milano	67-87
19/05/14	A	Olimpia Milano	59-73
11/05/14	H	Caserta	73-68
04/05/14	A	Virtus Bologna	77-70
26/04/14	A	Virtus Roma	87-75
19/04/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	85-66
06/04/14	A	Venezia	74-70
30/03/14	H	Brindisi	65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	79%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLL	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	79%	100%	59%
Points / game	81.3	82.8	79.8
Allowed / game	71.4	64.7	78.0
Point differential	+10.0	+18.1	+1.8
Avg total	152.7	147.5	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	88%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (1)	80% (5)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Pistoia

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	LWWWW	76%
Away	WWWLL	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	50%	76%	24%
Points / game	76.1	80.2	72.1
Allowed / game	77.5	76.1	79.0
Point differential	-1.4	+4.1	-6.9
Avg total	153.6	156.2	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	29%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	100% (7)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	34	27	7	79%	81.3	71.4	+10.0
2	Siena	34	22	12	65%	77.6	71.9	+5.6
3	Sassari	33	21	12	64%	85.9	79.1	+6.8
4	Cantu	33	20	13	61%	79.8	75.8	+4.0
5	Virtus Roma	33	20	13	61%	77.9	77.4	+0.5
6	Brindisi	33	18	15	55%	75.6	75.5	+0.2
7	Reggiana	34	17	17	50%	78.6	75.4	+3.2
8	Caserta	30	15	15	50%	73.0	72.5	+0.5
9	Pistoia	34	17	17	50%	76.1	77.5	-1.4
10	Varese	30	13	17	43%	79.6	81.9	-2.3
11	Venezia	30	12	18	40%	79.8	80.7	-0.9
12	Avellino	30	12	18	40%	76.4	80.6	-4.3
13	Virtus Bologna	30	11	19	37%	77.8	79.2	-1.4
14	Cremona	30	11	19	37%	76.2	82.1	-6.0
15	Pesaro	30	9	21	30%	78.7	87.4	-8.7
16	Sutor Montegranaro	30	9	21	30%	77.6	86.9	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olimpia Milano	17	22	24	25	88
Pistoia	15	25	13	25	78

← all games of the day

Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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