Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 84-82

19-18 7-24 36-17 22-23

Position#9

Record16-17

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game77.4

Pistoia 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#1

Record27-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game71.0

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Pistoia v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

73-84

-11

A23/03

Lega A

Brindisi

65-75

-10

H30/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

74-70

A06/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

85-66

+19

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

87-75

+12

A26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

77-70

A04/05

Lega A

Caserta

73-68

H11/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

59-73

-14

A19/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

67-87

-20

A21/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-71

+11

H23/05

Lega A

21-13

22-21

14-31

16-19

21-16

14-17

14-25

16-17

18-12

17-15

12-25

27-18

21-21

20-17

21-12

23-16

21-18

18-14

23-13

25-30

19-8

23-28

23-14

12-20

17-13

10-16

30-18

16-21

14-20

14-15

20-18

11-20

21-22

17-17

17-24

12-24

19-15

16-30

25-11

22-15

148.1Avg total

74.2Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	75.9	77.4	153.3	-1.5	48%
Season at home (16)	79.9	75.7	155.6	+4.2	75%
Season away (17)	72.1	79.0	151.1	-6.9	24%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	73.9	148.1	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	73.8	145.4	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	70.7	76.2	146.9	-5.5	45%
vs Similar (13)	75.3	74.4	149.7	+0.9	54%
vs Weaker (6)	84.7	79.8	164.5	+4.8	67%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

91-77

+14

H18/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

63-75

-12

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

66-86

-20

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

94-92 OT

A01/05

Lega A

Sassari

88-78

+10

H04/05

Lega A

Cremona

#14

81-68

+13

A07/05

Lega A

Siena

85-74

+11

A11/05

Lega A

Pistoia

73-59

+14

H19/05

Lega A

Pistoia

87-67

+20

H21/05

Lega A

Pistoia

71-82

-11

A23/05

Lega A

25-17

22-17

19-21

25-22

16-15

13-24

16-22

18-14

21-19

22-16

13-19

10-32

23-20

17-23

20-14

19-22

16-28

32-16

24-13

16-21

19-13

17-11

19-24

26-20

18-24

26-13

22-22

19-15

20-14

15-14

18-20

20-11

22-21

17-17

24-17

24-12

15-19

30-16

11-25

15-22

155.7Avg total

79.9Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	81.3	71.0	152.3	+10.3	82%
Season at home (17)	82.8	64.7	147.5	+18.1	100%
Season away (16)	79.7	77.6	157.3	+2.1	62%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	75.8	155.7	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	70.0	149.4	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.5	71.5	152.0	+9.0	50%
vs Similar (12)	81.4	78.7	160.1	+2.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	82.5	70.5	152.9	+12.0	93%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PistoiaOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.0	35.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	15.8	35.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.3	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	77%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	17%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.8	37.5	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.7	37.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.2	35.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.3	17.5	39.8	+4.9	80%	-

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

43-34

A23/03

Lega A

Brindisi

35-33

H30/03

Lega A

Venezia

#11

35-27

A06/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

41-38

H19/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

39-32

A26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

42-36

A04/05

Lega A

Caserta

27-29

-2

H11/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-35

-7

A19/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-39

-1

A21/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-45

-10

H23/05

Lega A

71.1Avg total

36.3Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	36.5	72.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.1	74.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	36.9	71.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	34.8	71.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	36.8	70.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.2	37.9	72.1	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.1	34.6	71.7	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.0	38.2	76.2	-0.2	33%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

47-34

+13

H18/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

29-39

-10

A21/04

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

43-35

A23/04

Euroleague

Avellino

#12

40-43

-3

A01/05

Lega A

Sassari

48-44

H04/05

Lega A

Cremona

#14

36-24

+12

A07/05

Lega A

Siena

44-37

A11/05

Lega A

Pistoia

35-28

H19/05

Lega A

Pistoia

39-38

H21/05

Lega A

Pistoia

45-35

+10

A23/05

Lega A

76.3Avg total

40.6Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	35.3	77.3	+6.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	33.4	75.1	+8.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.2	37.6	79.8	+4.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	35.7	76.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	32.4	72.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	34.5	74.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.0	37.0	80.0	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.6	34.5	76.1	+7.1	80%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.4	17.5	36.9	+1.8	55%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	14.5	36.7	+7.7	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	10.0	30.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.3	19.8	39.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.9	18.2	37.1	+0.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.9	38.7	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.0	34.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.9	16.9	37.9	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.3	76.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.5	75.4	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	40.1	76.5	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.0	74.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.4	37.5	72.9	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.7	36.5	77.2	+4.2	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	35.6	76.2	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	40.7	77.9	-3.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	37.6	77.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.5	37.0	77.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.9	35.1	75.0	+4.7	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pistoia wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
23/05/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	82-71
21/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	87-67
19/05/14	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	73-59
17/02/14	Pistoia v Olimpia Milano	79-88
04/11/13	Olimpia Milano v Pistoia	75-55

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	82-71
21/05/14	A	Olimpia Milano	67-87
19/05/14	A	Olimpia Milano	59-73
11/05/14	H	Caserta	73-68
04/05/14	A	Virtus Bologna	77-70
26/04/14	A	Virtus Roma	87-75
19/04/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	85-66
06/04/14	A	Venezia	74-70
30/03/14	H	Brindisi	65-75
23/03/14	A	Varese	73-84

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/05/14	A	Pistoia	71-82
21/05/14	H	Pistoia	87-67
19/05/14	H	Pistoia	73-59
11/05/14	A	Siena	85-74
07/05/14	A	Cremona	81-68
04/05/14	H	Sassari	88-78
01/05/14	A	Avellino	94-92 OT
23/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	66-86
21/04/14	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	63-75
18/04/14	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	48%
Home	WLWWW	75%
Away	WWWLL	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	48%	75%	24%
Points / game	75.9	79.9	72.1
Allowed / game	77.4	75.7	79.0
Point differential	-1.5	+4.2	-6.9
Avg total	153.3	155.6	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	31%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	100% (6)	25% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	82%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	82%	100%	62%
Points / game	81.3	82.8	79.7
Allowed / game	71.0	64.7	77.6
Point differential	+10.3	+18.1	+2.1
Avg total	152.3	147.5	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	88%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	33	27	6	82%	81.3	71.0	+10.3
2	Sassari	33	21	12	64%	85.9	79.1	+6.8
3	Siena	33	21	12	64%	77.3	71.7	+5.7
4	Cantu	33	20	13	61%	79.8	75.8	+4.0
5	Virtus Roma	33	20	13	61%	77.9	77.4	+0.5
6	Brindisi	33	18	15	55%	75.6	75.5	+0.2
7	Reggiana	33	17	16	52%	78.5	75.2	+3.4
8	Caserta	30	15	15	50%	73.0	72.5	+0.5
9	Pistoia	33	16	17	48%	75.9	77.4	-1.5
10	Varese	30	13	17	43%	79.6	81.9	-2.3
11	Venezia	30	12	18	40%	79.8	80.7	-0.9
12	Avellino	30	12	18	40%	76.4	80.6	-4.3
13	Virtus Bologna	30	11	19	37%	77.8	79.2	-1.4
14	Cremona	30	11	19	37%	76.2	82.1	-6.0
15	Pesaro	30	9	21	30%	78.7	87.4	-8.7
16	Sutor Montegranaro	30	9	21	30%	77.6	86.9	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pistoia	19	7	36	22	84
Olimpia Milano	18	24	17	23	82

← all games of the day

Pistoia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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