Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 87-78

20-26 20-26 24-11 23-15

Position#14

Record2-3

FormWLLLW

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game75.8

Virtus Roma 🏆

Varese

Position#12

Record2-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game93.2

Allowed / game92.2

Lega ARound 6

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#16

75-62

+13

H12/10

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

88-59

+29

A15/10

Eurocup

Venezia

57-74

-17

A19/10

Lega A

Nancy

#23

84-79

H22/10

Eurocup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

73-70

A26/10

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

84-82

H29/10

Eurocup

Sassari

75-84

-9

H02/11

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

87-89 OT

-2

A05/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#17

87-89

-2

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

83-81

H12/11

Eurocup

14-16

24-14

17-11

20-21

24-13

27-14

21-14

16-18

19-17

16-16

14-22

8-19

18-18

24-20

22-26

20-15

24-17

14-21

21-15

14-17

15-24

21-17

28-15

20-26

18-29

16-17

20-13

21-25

13-12

14-20

17-11

12-13

30-17

21-22

20-24

16-26

25-21

18-21

11-24

29-15

156.2Avg total

79.3Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	73.4	75.8	149.2	-2.4	40%
Season at home (2)	75.0	73.0	148.0	+2.0	50%
Season away (3)	72.3	77.7	150.0	-5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	76.9	156.2	+2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	85.0	168.2	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	70.8	78.5	149.4	-7.7	31%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	81.5	79.6	161.1	+1.9	75%
vs Weaker (8)	86.8	80.5	167.2	+6.2	75%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

72-67

H06/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

78-77

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#14

78-70

H27/04

Lega A

Siena

71-80 OT

-9

H04/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

90-99

-9

A11/05

Lega A

Cantu

93-84

H12/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

96-85

+11

A19/10

Lega A

Reggiana

112-118 OT

112

118

-6

H25/10

Lega A

Venezia

95-98

-3

A02/11

Lega A

Trento

70-76

-6

H09/11

Lega A

18-13

14-17

21-20

19-17

29-20

9-15

29-32

11-10

21-19

13-16

23-15

21-20

17-16

16-12

15-17

16-19

20-26

25-30

23-30

22-13

21-15

21-23

24-17

27-29

22-22

23-25

26-21

25-17

22-25

17-24

21-14

20-17

20-24

21-17

29-22

25-35

18-17

22-10

16-28

14-21

170.9Avg total

85.5Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	93.2	92.2	185.4	+1.0	40%
Season at home (3)	91.7	92.7	184.3	-1.0	33%
Season away (2)	95.5	91.5	187.0	+4.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	85.4	170.9	+0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	92.2	185.4	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	81.1	89.0	170.1	-7.9	18%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.1	81.9	162.9	-0.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	79.7	163.3	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.7	20.5	40.3	-0.8	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.6	20.4	42.1	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.6	19.8	35.5	-4.2	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.9	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	33%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#16

38-30

H12/10

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

51-27

+24

A15/10

Eurocup

Venezia

35-33

A19/10

Lega A

Nancy

#23

42-38

H22/10

Eurocup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

38-38

A26/10

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

36-41

-5

H29/10

Eurocup

Sassari

34-46

-12

H02/11

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

27-32

-5

A05/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#17

51-39

+12

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

43-42

H12/11

Eurocup

76.1Avg total

39.5Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.1	76.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	40.1	77.1	-3.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.6	76.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.0	78.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.2	39.0	73.2	-4.8	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.5	62%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

32-30

H06/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

38-35

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#14

34-35

-1

H27/04

Lega A

Siena

33-28

H04/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

45-56

-11

A11/05

Lega A

Cantu

42-38

H12/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

45-47

-2

A19/10

Lega A

Reggiana

39-49

-10

H25/10

Lega A

Venezia

41-41

A02/11

Lega A

Trento

40-27

+13

H09/11

Lega A

77.5Avg total

38.9Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.7	79.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	39.4	78.3	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	41.8	81.3	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	38.6	77.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.9	41.5	78.4	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.6	40.4	81.1	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	33%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.8	36.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	40.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.2	41.7	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.6	41.9	+0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	21.5	41.4	-1.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.8	77.2	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	36.8	71.9	-1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	37.0	73.7	-0.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.4	77.2	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.5	38.7	74.2	-3.2	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.1	39.1	80.2	+2.0	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.8	82.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	41.1	79.9	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	42.4	84.9	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	44.2	89.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.6	42.6	83.3	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.4	41.4	81.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	40.7	84.0	+2.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
11/05/14	Virtus Roma v Varese	99-90
12/01/14	Varese v Virtus Roma	78-86
01/04/13	Varese v Virtus Roma	81-58
09/02/13	Virtus Roma v Varese	71-81
02/12/12	Virtus Roma v Varese	91-87
12/02/12	Varese v Virtus Roma	76-78
30/10/11	Virtus Roma v Varese	74-76 OT
27/03/11	Varese v Virtus Roma	84-78
05/12/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	89-92
17/04/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	64-71

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/14	H	Oldenburg	83-81
08/11/14	A	Pesaro	87-89
05/11/14	A	Nymburk	87-89 OT
02/11/14	H	Sassari	75-84
29/10/14	H	Real Betis	84-82
26/10/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	73-70
22/10/14	H	Nancy	84-79
19/10/14	A	Venezia	57-74
15/10/14	A	Spirou Charleroi	88-59
12/10/14	H	Caserta	75-62

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/14	H	Trento	70-76
02/11/14	A	Venezia	95-98
25/10/14	H	Reggiana	112-118 OT
19/10/14	A	Pesaro	96-85
12/10/14	H	Cantu	93-84
11/05/14	A	Virtus Roma	90-99
04/05/14	H	Siena	71-80 OT
27/04/14	H	Cremona	78-70
19/04/14	A	Virtus Bologna	78-77
06/04/14	H	Caserta	72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	73.4	75.0	72.3
Allowed / game	75.8	73.0	77.7
Point differential	-2.4	+2.0	-5.3
Avg total	149.2	148.0	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	40%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Points / game	93.2	91.7	95.5
Allowed / game	92.2	92.7	91.5
Point differential	+1.0	-1.0	+4.0
Avg total	185.4	184.3	187.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Reggiana	6	5	1	83%	87.8	81.3	+6.5
2	Sassari	5	4	1	80%	83.8	77.8	+6.0
3	Venezia	5	4	1	80%	80.0	75.4	+4.6
4	Brindisi	5	3	2	60%	80.8	73.4	+7.4
5	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	60%	76.6	71.4	+5.2
6	Cantu	5	3	2	60%	79.4	76.6	+2.8
7	Cremona	5	3	2	60%	74.2	71.4	+2.8
8	Virtus Bologna	5	3	2	60%	73.8	78.4	-4.6
9	Avellino	6	3	3	50%	74.5	73.3	+1.2
10	Trento	6	3	3	50%	77.2	77.2	+0.0
11	Varese	5	2	3	40%	93.2	92.2	+1.0
12	Virtus Roma	5	2	3	40%	73.4	75.8	-2.4
13	Pistoia	6	2	4	33%	73.0	76.0	-3.0
14	Capo d'Orlando	5	1	4	20%	71.0	75.6	-4.6
15	Pesaro	5	1	4	20%	72.6	87.0	-14.4
16	Caserta	5	0	5	0%	65.8	75.2	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	20	20	24	23	87
Varese	26	26	11	15	78

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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