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Pittsburgh vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 59-100
22-53 37-47
Position#282
Record8-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#53
Record12-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pittsburgh v Louisville
17 Jan 2026
PITT59
LOUI100
11 Jan 2025
PITT78
LOUI82
17 Feb 2024
PITT86
LOUI59
07 Feb 2023
PITT91
LOUI57
15 Jan 2022
PITT65
LOUI53
22 Dec 2020
PITT54
LOUI64
14 Jan 2020
PITT68
LOUI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H07/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
103-63
103
63
+40
H18/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
80-46
80
46
+34
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A31/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
33-42
33-35
40-46
23-36
50-44
32-41
29-38
57-34
46-29
40-20
40-26
43-33
26-43
35-34
33-39
37-48
35-35
45-26
44-40
146.8Avg total
75.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.169.4143.5+4.847%
Season at home (11)76.869.5146.3+7.455%
Season away (6)69.269.2138.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)75.571.3146.8+4.240%
Last 5 (5)75.668.8144.4+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.772.8141.5-4.130%
vs Similar (9)72.273.6145.8-1.333%
vs Weaker (11)75.264.4139.5+10.855%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H20/12
NCAA
California
#79
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-47
51-42
41-27
46-51
57-37
42-36
27-34
35-49
42-20
52-34
48-34
42-36
34-35
42-45
47-38
26-46
30-34
45-28
28-33
42-46
155.8Avg total
80.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.270.2157.4+17.171%
Season at home (12)91.867.2159.0+24.583%
Season away (5)76.477.2153.6-0.840%
Last 10 (10)80.675.2155.8+5.450%
Last 5 (5)76.875.0151.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.578.5146.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)73.780.2153.8-6.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.566.2153.6+21.395%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +1.0+1.0
PittsburghLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H29/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A15/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
37.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.568.3+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.933.869.7+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)33.233.266.4-0.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.171.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.272.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.934.066.9-1.150%-
vs Similar (9)37.037.774.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker (11)34.529.764.3+4.845%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H20/12
NCAA
California
#79
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A31/12
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A03/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/01
NCAA
72.2Avg total
38.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.431.672.0+8.873%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.931.174.0+11.880%-
Last 30 away (10)35.532.768.2+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.972.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.535.578.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (6)31.737.369.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.629.772.3+12.982%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pittsburgh wins
5
Louisville wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AGeorgia Tech89-66
10/01/26HSyracuse72-83
03/01/26HClemson68-73
31/12/25AMiami (FL)69-76
21/12/25APenn State80-46
18/12/25HBinghamton103-63
13/12/25AVillanova61-79
07/12/25HHofstra73-80
03/12/25HTexas A&M73-81
29/11/25HOhio State67-66
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HVirginia70-79
10/01/26HBoston College75-62
07/01/26HDuke73-84
03/01/26AStanford76-80
31/12/25ACalifornia90-70
20/12/25HMontana94-54
17/12/25ATennessee62-83
13/12/25HMemphis99-73
06/12/25HIndiana87-78
04/12/25AArkansas80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %47%55%33%
Points / game74.176.869.2
Allowed / game69.469.569.2
Point differential+4.8+7.4+0.0
Avg total143.5146.3138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL71%
HomeWWLWL83%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %71%83%40%
Points / game87.291.876.4
Allowed / game70.267.277.2
Point differential+17.1+24.5-0.8
Avg total157.4159.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1817194%85.565.1+20.4
2 Virginia1916384%82.469.1+13.3
3 Clemson1916384%77.264.5+12.7
4 Miami (FL)1815383%86.269.2+17.0
5 North Carolina1814478%81.969.6+12.4
6 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
7 Virginia Tech1914574%82.374.1+8.3
8 Stanford1914574%76.572.2+4.3
9 SMU Mustangs1813572%87.376.7+10.6
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1812667%85.871.6+14.2
12 Syracuse1812667%75.767.7+8.1
13 Wake Forest1811761%81.175.0+6.1
14 Georgia Tech1911858%75.673.1+2.5
15 Notre Dame1810856%73.469.3+4.1
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Boston College1881044%68.668.5+0.1
18 Florida State1871139%82.381.3+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh223759
Louisville5347100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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