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Pittsburgh vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-68
41-39 42-29
Position#173
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game56.0
vs
Position#214
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game37.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A02/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H06/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H14/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A15/03
NCAA
Radford
#125
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
49-32
33-45
25-46
36-36
43-28
31-27
31-42
47-32
43-33
42-31
46-42
39-29
42-44
38-26
43-43
35-33
30-39
45-27
51-29
147.7Avg total
78.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.056.0152.0+40.0100%
Season at home (1)96.056.0152.0+40.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.669.1147.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)82.268.6150.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.575.5142.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.971.2141.1-1.340%
vs Weaker (18)76.565.7142.2+10.878%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
31-35
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
29-48
43-47
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
144.0Avg total
72.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)113.037.0150.0+76.0100%
Season at home (1)113.037.0150.0+76.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.571.5144.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)73.267.4140.6+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.278.2147.3-9.08%
vs Similar ◀ (15)66.564.1130.5+2.447%
vs Weaker (2)77.561.0138.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
PittsburghMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H24/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A02/03
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Radford
#125
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H05/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
38.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.367.0+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.931.765.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (12)35.933.269.1+2.883%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.369.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.829.269.0+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.541.071.5-10.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.831.964.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker (18)36.231.567.7+4.772%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
33.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.631.865.4+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)33.835.569.3-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)33.136.669.7-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.840.174.8-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.328.759.9+2.653%-
vs Weaker (2)35.537.573.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pittsburgh wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HRadford96-56
15/03/24ANorth Carolina65-72
14/03/24HWake Forest81-69
10/03/24HNC State81-73
06/03/24HFlorida State88-73
02/03/24ABoston College90-65
28/02/24AClemson62-69
24/02/24HVirginia Tech79-64
21/02/24AWake Forest58-91
17/02/24HLouisville86-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
18/02/24ADrake72-95
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70
08/02/24ABelmont64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game96.096.0-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+40.0+40.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game113.0113.0-
Allowed / game37.037.0-
Point differential+76.0+76.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville110100%93.045.0+48.0
2 Miami (FL)110100%113.072.0+41.0
3 Pittsburgh110100%96.056.0+40.0
4 Duke220100%98.060.0+38.0
5 SMU Mustangs220100%99.067.5+31.5
6 NC State110100%97.066.0+31.0
7 Notre Dame110100%89.060.0+29.0
8 Clemson110100%91.064.0+27.0
9 Stanford220100%82.557.5+25.0
10 Georgia Tech110100%85.062.0+23.0
11 Virginia Tech110100%83.060.0+23.0
12 California220100%88.573.0+15.5
13 Wake Forest220100%72.056.5+15.5
14 North Carolina110100%90.076.0+14.0
15 Florida State110100%74.062.0+12.0
16 Virginia110100%65.056.0+9.0
17 Syracuse110100%86.082.0+4.0
18 Boston College21150%62.070.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State110100%113.037.0+76.0
2 Drake110100%93.041.0+52.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)110100%91.043.0+48.0
4 Northern Iowa220100%91.561.0+30.5
5 Bradley110100%88.060.0+28.0
6 Belmont110100%93.070.0+23.0
7 Indiana State21150%78.572.5+6.0
8 Illinois State21150%71.067.5+3.5
9 Southern Illinois1010%80.090.0-10.0
10 Evansville1010%63.080.0-17.0
11 Valparaiso1010%63.083.0-20.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh414283
Murray State392968
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