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Poland vs Israel Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#67
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 5
Other2027
Meetings · Poland v Israel
25 Feb 2027
POLA v ISRA
upcoming
30 Aug 2025
POLA66
ISRA64
05 Sep 2022
POLA85
ISRA76
30 Jun 2022
POLA90
ISRA85
20 Feb 2020
POLA71
ISRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Israel win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
123-77
123
77
+46
A03/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H06/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
106-86
106
86
+20
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
H30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
22-28
15-25
21-17
27-13
21-23
21-25
24-14
18-20
23-16
31-20
16-18
22-18
24-16
29-12
28-29
42-20
18-16
28-28
27-21
19-19
23-15
32-27
25-18
26-26
15-28
16-13
27-29
25-13
174.4Avg total
92.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.882.2178.0+13.588%
Season at home (4)92.082.5174.5+9.575%
Season away (4)99.582.0181.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.382.1174.4+10.280%
Last 5 (5)101.483.0184.4+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.286.9161.1-12.629%
vs Similar (7)84.476.1160.6+8.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.778.6170.2+13.189%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A30/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
22-28
19-22
18-17
20-17
22-26
9-24
22-19
16-20
25-25
17-22
14-24
15-14
32-15
26-8
13-16
23-15
24-12
21-17
23-13
15-12
15-23
22-22
18-31
31-16
12-25
19-22
20-27
24-29
15-23
27-32
18-25
26-26
22-21
19-20
17-26
12-18
166.7Avg total
80.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.283.5162.8-4.225%
Season at home (4)84.284.2168.5+0.025%
Season away (4)74.282.8157.0-8.525%
Last 10 (10)80.985.8166.7-4.920%
Last 5 (5)80.088.0168.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.088.0165.0-11.09%
vs Similar (10)81.282.0163.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)83.772.9156.6+10.878%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
PolandIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A03/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/07
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/08
World Cup
85.4Avg total
43.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.379.8-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.076.7+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.242.382.6-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.185.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.286.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.941.076.9-5.121%-
vs Similar (7)39.939.179.0+0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.940.185.0+4.867%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A06/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H27/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/08
World Cup
85.4Avg total
41.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.779.5-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.880.9-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.440.778.1-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.385.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.482.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.946.484.3-8.59%-
vs Similar (10)38.938.377.2+0.650%-
vs Weaker (9)39.736.676.2+3.144%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
-17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
LWWWWWWWLW
Israel
LLLLWWLLLL
#7
League position
#67
-5.5
Net rating
+7.7
106.9
Offensive rating
111.7
112.3
Defensive rating
104.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.4%
3-point %
38.8%
61.7%
Assist %
67.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Poland   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poland wins
3
Israel wins
DateGameScore
27/08/26Israel v Poland86-106
30/08/25Poland v Israel66-64
05/09/22Poland v Israel85-76
30/06/22Poland v Israel90-85 OT
25/11/21Israel v Poland69-61
30/11/20Israel v Poland78-72
20/02/20Poland v Israel71-75
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26HGermany94-96 OT
27/08/26AIsrael106-86
06/07/26HNetherlands92-84
03/07/26AAustria123-77
01/03/26HLatvia92-72
27/02/26ALatvia84-82
01/12/25ANetherlands85-83
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/26ALatvia70-85
27/08/26HPoland86-106
06/07/26ACroatia75-103
03/07/26HGermany86-92
01/03/26ACyprus83-54
27/02/26HCyprus94-54
01/12/25HCroatia71-85
28/11/25AGermany69-89
07/09/25AGreece79-84
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game95.892.099.5
Allowed / game82.282.582.0
Point differential+13.5+9.5+17.5
Avg total178.0174.5181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Israel
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.284.274.2
Allowed / game83.584.282.8
Point differential-4.2+0.0-8.5
Avg total162.8168.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.
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