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Poland vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 66-64
19-14 18-12 11-25 18-13
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game95.0
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · Poland v Israel
25 Feb 2027
POLA v ISRA
upcoming
30 Aug 2025
POLA66
ISRA64
05 Sep 2022
POLA85
ISRA76
30 Jun 2022
POLA90
ISRA85
20 Feb 2020
POLA71
ISRA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 74
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 74
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 74
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 74
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 74
A28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
18-19
22-19
13-19
25-25
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
161.5Avg total
78.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)105.095.0200.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)105.095.0200.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.283.3161.5-5.150%
Last 5 (5)78.686.6165.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.386.4160.7-12.128%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.475.9159.3+7.678%
vs Weaker (3)72.070.7142.7+1.367%
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
87-79
87
79
+8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 87
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 87
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
90avg 87
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 87
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 87
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
24-20
8-16
20-18
28-13
18-22
24-25
13-23
22-16
20-22
13-25
32-16
19-19
19-17
18-17
16-17
20-8
17-32
16-25
26-23
16-19
20-18
29-18
21-18
11-16
18-24
27-17
32-18
18-18
29-14
18-21
19-25
11-15
25-16
25-28
23-15
23-19
13-13
24-20
23-19
160.2Avg total
82.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.677.6160.2+5.070%
Last 5 (5)85.074.2159.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.782.1159.9-4.414%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.979.8159.7+0.155%
vs Weaker (12)81.573.5155.0+8.083%
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
PolandIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
79.9Avg total
39.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.177.2-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.937.474.3-0.542%-
Last 30 away (18)37.141.979.1-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.779.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.681.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.340.676.9-4.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.138.377.4+0.844%-
vs Weaker (3)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Israel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
74.5Avg total
38.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.176.8-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.576.9-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.939.776.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.874.5+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.743.979.6-8.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.536.975.5+1.655%-
vs Weaker (12)38.038.476.4-0.450%-
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.0
51.4%
52.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.3
76.6%
73.1%18.3
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.5%
52.4%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.6%
73.1%16.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
WLLWLLLWWW
Israel
WWWWWLWWLL
#9
League position
#12
-8.1
Net rating
+9.5
105.5
Offensive rating
110.1
113.6
Defensive rating
100.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.0%
3-point %
36.4%
63.1%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 110.1Defence113.6 · 100.6Shooting50.5% · 54.5%3-point %33.0% · 36.4%Ball care19.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Poland   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poland wins
3
Israel wins
DateGameScore
05/09/22Poland v Israel85-76
30/06/22Poland v Israel90-85 OT
25/11/21Israel v Poland69-61
30/11/20Israel v Poland78-72
20/02/20Poland v Israel71-75
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
21/11/24HEstonia78-82
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/25HIceland83-71
24/02/25HSlovenia84-74
21/02/25HPortugal84-78
25/11/24HUkraine88-75
23/11/24AUkraine86-73
25/02/24ASlovenia79-88
22/02/24APortugal72-70
27/02/23ASlovenia87-79
24/02/23HFinland95-97 OT
14/11/22ASweden68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game105.0-105.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total200.0-200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Israel
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%91.064.0+27.0
2 Turkey330100%93.368.3+25.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 France220100%97.579.5+18.0
5 Greece220100%85.567.5+18.0
6 Finland330100%95.778.0+17.7
7 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
8 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
9 Poland110100%105.095.0+10.0
10 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Georgia21150%72.573.5-1.0
13 Belgium21150%67.578.0-10.5
14 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
15 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
16 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
17 Portugal31233%61.775.0-13.3
18 Slovenia2020%95.0104.0-9.0
19 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
20 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
21 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Montenegro3030%69.395.0-25.7
24 Cyprus2020%66.593.5-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1918111866
Israel1412251364
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