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Polzela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-67
25-10 13-24 21-17 15-16
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game67.8
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game74.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 5· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polzela v Gorica
24 Oct 2026
POLZ74
GORI67
23 Dec 2008
POLZ102
GORI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
98-103
98
103
-5
96avg 77
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 77
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
78avg 77
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-68
96
68
+28
92avg 77
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 77
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 77
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 77
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 77
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 77
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 77
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-24
26-27
25-27
20-15
28-20
19-22
20-10
19-28
27-15
14-29
27-31
22-18
29-21
24-19
21-10
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
162.4Avg total
83.2Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.567.8149.2+13.875%
Season at home (1)87.049.0136.0+38.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)83.279.2162.4+4.050%
Last 5 (5)81.271.4152.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.291.2169.4-13.013%
vs Similar (7)87.190.4177.6-3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.673.8163.4+15.988%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 76
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
103avg 76
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
65-94
65
94
-29
44avg 76
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 76
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-108
72
108
-36
56avg 76
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
103avg 76
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
59-86
59
86
-27
42avg 76
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
84avg 76
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 76
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 76
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
18-25
14-24
14-24
19-21
25-19
13-23
25-14
15-15
23-32
20-23
19-36
10-17
25-23
27-27
35-20
11-14
16-19
18-23
17-27
8-17
19-18
22-20
24-15
23-16
25-21
6-21
20-11
29-14
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
160.9Avg total
78.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.274.5148.8-0.250%
Season at home (2)79.072.5151.5+6.550%
Season away (2)69.576.5146.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)78.982.0160.9-3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.076.4155.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.582.7153.3-12.218%
vs Similar (13)86.278.8164.9+7.477%
vs Weaker (6)89.574.2163.7+15.383%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
PolzelaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
83.5Avg total
43.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.386.5-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.638.583.1+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.748.289.9-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.083.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.278.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.545.586.0-4.940%-
vs Similar (7)44.942.387.1+2.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)46.640.286.9+6.462%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A28/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H18/04
Prva Liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
83.7Avg total
39.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.881.1-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.839.583.3+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.441.979.2-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)39.044.783.7-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.480.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.241.778.9-4.518%-
vs Similar (13)42.140.983.0+1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)42.538.781.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.1
50.5%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.1
39.5%
30.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
70.0%12.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.8
50.6%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
30.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.811.9
63.3%
70.0%11.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
WLWWLLWLWL
Gorica
LWWLWLWLWL
#3
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
-3.5
96.0
Offensive rating
86.8
91.9
Defensive rating
90.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.5%
3-point %
32.3%
57.3%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 86.8Defence91.9 · 90.4Shooting53.9% · 49.7%3-point %39.5% · 32.3%Ball care14.8% · 18.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Polzela   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Polzela wins
0
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
23/12/08Polzela v Gorica102-84
11/10/08Gorica v Polzela69-82
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94
04/05/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-68
28/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija87-103
25/04/26HZlatorog Lasko87-67
18/04/26ASencur98-103
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HSencur70-76
10/10/26ARogaska80-67
03/10/26HHelios Domzale88-69
23/09/26APerspektiva Ilirija59-86
18/04/26HNovi Zagreb98-84
11/04/26ASkrljevo72-108
01/04/26HMladost78-71
28/03/26AOmis65-94
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game81.587.079.7
Allowed / game67.849.074.0
Point differential+13.8+38.0+5.7
Avg total149.2136.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.279.069.5
Allowed / game74.572.576.5
Point differential-0.2+6.5-7.0
Avg total148.8151.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto550100%87.265.6+21.6
2 Sencur440100%90.875.0+15.8
3 Perspektiva Ilirija54180%85.670.4+15.2
4 Polzela43175%81.567.8+13.8
5 Gorica42250%74.274.5-0.2
6 Zlatorog Lasko42250%72.078.0-6.0
7 KK Triglav Kranj41325%74.873.8+1.0
8 Rogaska51420%65.485.6-20.2
9 Helios Domzale4040%64.083.2-19.2
10 Tajfun Sentjur5050%66.286.8-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2513211574
Gorica1024171667
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