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Portimonense vs CD Povoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalLPBRound 17· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2026-27
Meetings · Portimonense v CD Povoa
06 Mar 2027
PORT v CD P
upcoming
09 May 2026
PORT90
CD P93
07 Mar 2026
PORT79
CD P75
06 Apr 2024
PORT72
CD P74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
155.8Avg total
74.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.089.2166.2-12.20%
Season at home (2)82.589.0171.5-6.50%
Season away (2)71.589.5161.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.781.1155.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)78.889.4168.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.881.4157.2-5.630%
vs Similar (8)75.577.0152.5-1.538%
vs Weaker (12)81.475.2156.7+6.267%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-27
18-20
23-18
22-20
15-17
14-13
8-9
23-19
21-26
18-16
21-22
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
154.9Avg total
78.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.272.8147.0+1.550%
Season at home (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season away (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.876.1154.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)81.370.7152.0+10.682%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
PortimonenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
79.9Avg total
37.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.376.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.277.8-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.539.475.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.979.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.049.488.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.743.280.9-5.530%-
vs Similar (8)37.140.177.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (12)37.535.573.0+2.050%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
78.3Avg total
39.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.177.4+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.236.479.6+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)36.538.074.5-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.678.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.540.072.5-7.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.836.977.7+3.957%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.8
51.7%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.3
28.3%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.013.9
60.4%
70.6%13.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.9
27.6%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.013.5
61.4%
70.6%13.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LLLLLWLLWL
CD Povoa
LLWWWWLWLW
#11
League position
#7
-9.6
Net rating
+2.2
78.7
Offensive rating
83.9
88.3
Defensive rating
81.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
45.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
21.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.3%
3-point %
27.6%
74.9%
Assist %
53.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence78.7 · 83.9Defence88.3 · 81.7Shooting47.8% · 45.6%3-point %28.3% · 27.6%Ball care21.3% · 13.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Portimonense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portimonense wins
5
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
17/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26Portimonense v CD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense71-66
07/03/26Portimonense v CD Povoa79-75 OT
06/04/24Portimonense v CD Povoa72-74
25/11/23CD Povoa v Portimonense81-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
17/05/26HPortimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26HPortimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26APortimonense93-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.082.571.5
Allowed / game89.289.089.5
Point differential-12.2-6.5-18.0
Avg total166.2171.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.272.076.5
Allowed / game72.874.571.0
Point differential+1.5-2.5+5.5
Avg total147.0146.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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