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Portimonense vs CD Povoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
3.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game75.3
PortugalLPBRound 17· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2026-27
Meetings · Portimonense v CD Povoa
06 Mar 2027
PORT v CD P
upcoming
09 May 2026
PORT90
CD P93
07 Mar 2026
PORT79
CD P75
06 Apr 2024
PORT72
CD P74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 71
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 71
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 71
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 71
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 71
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 71
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 71
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
68avg 71
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
19-16
19-27
16-14
18-29
15-19
14-19
15-23
30-23
41-21
13-25
15-14
18-27
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.789.0167.7-10.314%
Season at home (4)83.590.0173.5-6.525%
Season away (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.283.1159.3-6.825%
vs Similar (6)73.874.7148.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (12)82.177.9160.0+4.258%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 68
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 68
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 68
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 68
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 68
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
48avg 68
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 68
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 68
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
12-18
16-21
23-14
24-15
19-15
19-14
23-15
23-30
19-25
15-17
13-29
22-23
151.5Avg total
76.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.075.3150.3-0.357%
Season at home (3)76.074.3150.3+1.767%
Season away (4)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.575.0151.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)81.071.4152.3+9.681%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
PortimonenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/11
LPB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.577.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.440.680.0-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.476.1-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.343.080.3-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)36.538.575.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (12)38.138.977.0-0.842%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
LPB
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.477.0+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.279.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.874.6-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.337.377.6+3.054%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.914.1
61.6%
71.1%14.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.8
49.1%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.2
62.0%
71.1%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLWL
CD Povoa
LWWLLWWWWL
#11
League position
#7
-10.0
Net rating
+2.7
79.5
Offensive rating
82.9
89.5
Defensive rating
80.2
47.0%
Effective FG%
44.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
20.1%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.5%
3-point %
25.5%
76.6%
Assist %
50.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.5 · 82.9Defence89.5 · 80.2Shooting47.0% · 44.8%3-point %28.5% · 25.5%Ball care20.1% · 14.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Portimonense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portimonense wins
6
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26CD Povoa v Portimonense84-74
17/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26Portimonense v CD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense71-66
07/03/26Portimonense v CD Povoa79-75 OT
06/04/24Portimonense v CD Povoa72-74
25/11/23CD Povoa v Portimonense81-74 OT
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HEsgueira97-96 OT
07/11/26ACD Povoa74-84
31/10/26HBenfica72-86
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASporting CP69-94
07/11/26HPortimonense84-74
01/11/26AVitoria75-68
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game78.783.572.3
Allowed / game89.090.087.7
Point differential-10.3-6.5-15.3
Avg total167.7173.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.076.074.2
Allowed / game75.374.376.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-1.8
Avg total150.3150.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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