PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Portugal vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-76
17-24 19-13 13-19 19-20
Position#37
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#39
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Centro de Desportos e Congressos
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 57
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 57
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 57
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 57
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 57
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 57
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 57
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 57
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
14-21
25-11
25-11
19-19
144.6Avg total
67.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.677.0144.6-9.430%
Last 5 (5)65.077.0142.0-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.080.2143.2-17.218%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.380.2160.5+0.233%
vs Weaker (13)78.367.9146.2+10.477%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 75
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 75
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 75
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 75
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 75
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 75
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 75
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 75
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 75
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
161.0Avg total
85.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season at home (1)91.064.0155.0+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.475.6161.0+9.880%
Last 5 (5)84.480.4164.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.876.1159.8+7.775%
vs Weaker (12)85.273.5158.7+11.792%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
PortugalGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A27/11
World Cup
73.1Avg total
33.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.675.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.338.878.1+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.436.874.2+0.659%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.073.1-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.639.269.8-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.938.870.7-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (13)42.034.976.9+7.177%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
79.3Avg total
43.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.377.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.637.575.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)43.137.180.2+5.971%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.279.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.281.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.537.179.6+5.475%-
vs Weaker (12)41.536.377.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
WLWLLLWLLL
Greece
WWLWWWLWWW
#37
League position
#39
-15.3
Net rating
+11.6
89.8
Offensive rating
111.6
105.1
Defensive rating
100.0
41.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
25.3%
3-point %
37.2%
67.9%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Portugal   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portugal wins
0
Greece wins
No previous meetings.
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AMontenegro83-62
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total145.0-145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
4 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
5 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
6 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
7 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
10 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
13 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
14 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
15 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
16 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
17 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
18 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
19 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
20 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
21 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
22 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
23 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
24 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
25 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
26 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
27 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
28 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
29 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
30 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
31 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
32 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
33 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
40 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
41 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
42 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
43 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
46 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
47 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
48 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
49 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
50 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
51 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
52 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
53 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
54 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
55 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
56 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
57 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
58 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
59 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
60 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
61 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
62 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
63 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
64 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
65 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
66 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
67 Nigeria2020%66.578.5-12.0
68 Rwanda2020%68.080.5-12.5
69 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
70 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
71 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
72 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
73 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
74 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
75 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
76 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
77 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
78 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
79 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
80 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
81 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
82 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
83 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
84 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal1719131968
Greece2413192076
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.