PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Portugal vs Montenegro Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-72
13-23 8-13 20-13 27-23
Position#37
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#51
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Centro de Desportos e Congressos
Other2027
Meetings · Portugal v Montenegro
02 Jul 2026
PORT68
MONT72
04 Jul 2022
PORT62
MONT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 58
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 58
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 58
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 58
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 58
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 58
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
99-82
99
82
+17
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
14-21
25-11
25-11
19-19
17-24
19-13
13-19
19-20
25-12
29-34
21-15
24-21
22-27
31-23
20-26
23-25
149.3Avg total
71.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.580.2166.8+6.250%
Season at home (2)83.579.0162.5+4.550%
Season away (2)89.581.5171.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)71.977.4149.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)61.480.5141.9-19.110%
vs Similar (9)82.882.2165.0+0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.468.8146.2+8.573%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 73
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 73
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
23-23
14-24
15-20
13-18
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
19-17
21-21
15-14
12-13
18-22
17-22
18-13
12-22
157.8Avg total
73.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.575.5144.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)63.581.0144.5-17.50%
Season away (2)73.570.0143.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.584.3157.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)71.478.2149.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.283.5154.7-12.231%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (8)82.874.6157.4+8.162%
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
PortugalMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H27/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A02/03
World Cup
76.2Avg total
36.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.378.0-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.979.5-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.876.7-0.956%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.176.2-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.339.570.8-8.230%-
vs Similar (9)43.742.386.0+1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.336.778.0+4.573%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/03
World Cup
78.8Avg total
37.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.577.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.040.780.7-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)37.038.575.5-1.556%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.978.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.680.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.743.078.7-7.331%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (8)42.235.677.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
LWLWLWLLLW
Montenegro
LWWLLWLLLL
#37
League position
#51
-15.3
Net rating
-6.0
89.8
Offensive rating
106.5
105.1
Defensive rating
112.5
41.3%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.3%
3-point %
33.9%
67.9%
Assist %
58.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Portugal   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Portugal wins
2
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Montenegro v Portugal62-83
04/07/22Portugal v Montenegro62-77
29/11/21Montenegro v Portugal83-69
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26ARomania96-101
27/02/26HRomania99-82
30/11/25HGreece68-76
27/11/25AMontenegro83-62
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26HGreece65-79
27/02/26AGreece67-65
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81
30/08/25HFinland65-85
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.583.589.5
Allowed / game80.279.081.5
Point differential+6.2+4.5+8.0
Avg total166.8162.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game68.563.573.5
Allowed / game75.581.070.0
Point differential-7.0-17.5+3.5
Avg total144.0144.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
5 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
8 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
11 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
12 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
13 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
14 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
15 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
16 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
17 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
18 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
19 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
20 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
21 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
22 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
23 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
24 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
25 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
26 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
39 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
40 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
41 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
42 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
43 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
46 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
47 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
48 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
49 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
50 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
51 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
52 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
53 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
54 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
55 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
56 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
57 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
58 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
59 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
60 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
61 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
62 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
65 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
66 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
70 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal138202768
Montenegro2313132372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.