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Poznan vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-70
14-14 23-24 14-15 12-17
Position#15
Record7-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#3
Record12-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.6
Poland1 LigaRound 17· Cityzen hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Poznan v Starogard Gdanski
05 Dec 2026
POZN v STAR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
POZN63
STAR70
25 Jan 2025
POZN73
STAR85
28 Feb 2024
POZN85
STAR76
03 Dec 2022
POZN80
STAR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 71
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
67avg 71
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
64-82
64
82
-18
48avg 71
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 71
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 71
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
88avg 71
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 71
A07/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
60avg 71
A13/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
95avg 71
H21/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 71
A28/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
13-21
16-20
25-17
33-18
7-21
16-16
23-18
12-17
18-25
26-23
8-17
25-27
22-21
24-16
14-26
21-14
20-20
12-30
28-30
21-12
22-27
17-19
14-16
27-20
10-9
19-15
24-22
19-16
21-27
18-18
17-24
20-26
32-15
19-28
29-27
27-21
18-18
20-15
19-24
166.8Avg total
82.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.880.6162.4+1.247%
Season at home (7)86.383.3169.6+3.057%
Season away (8)77.978.2156.1-0.438%
Last 10 (10)82.684.2166.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.085.2171.2+0.860%
vs Similar (21)79.582.9162.4-3.433%
vs Weaker (4)85.582.8168.2+2.850%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
96avg 77
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 77
A26/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 77
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 77
A07/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
83-92
83
92
-9
73avg 77
A24/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
no box
H01/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
68-96
68
96
-28
52avg 77
A06/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 77
H15/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 77
A19/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
96-86
96
86
+10
98avg 77
H27/12
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
30-28
22-26
23-17
17-19
18-19
23-23
19-25
20-21
24-21
22-12
23-18
19-18
23-16
21-18
19-19
22-18
19-26
19-22
23-26
23-27
27-25
22-24
24-18
18-29
11-26
15-19
24-22
27-19
26-16
29-16
17-20
13-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
20-17
31-24
20-30
25-15
170.3Avg total
87.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.779.6166.3+7.180%
Season at home (8)93.281.5174.8+11.8100%
Season away (7)79.177.4156.6+1.757%
Last 10 (10)87.083.3170.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)87.683.6171.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.078.2151.2-5.250%
vs Similar (14)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.875.0164.8+14.892%
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
PoznanStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A07/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H21/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/12
1 Liga
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.681.2+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.040.981.9+0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.340.280.6+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.241.285.4+3.080%-
vs Similar (21)40.040.280.3-0.238%-
vs Weaker (4)39.241.580.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H18/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A26/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H31/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H01/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A06/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H15/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/12
1 Liga
86.5Avg total
43.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.981.4-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.142.487.5+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.676.1-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.286.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.687.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.540.074.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (14)38.943.382.1-4.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.638.382.9+6.275%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.6
48.7%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws26.720.2
75.7%
70.0%20.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.3
55.9%
52.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.3
29.9%
31.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.715.4
65.0%
70.0%15.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
WWLWWLLLWL
Starogard Gdanski
WWWLWLWWLW
#15
League position
#3
-2.3
Net rating
+6.2
104.8
Offensive rating
110.7
107.1
Defensive rating
104.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.4%
3-point %
29.9%
51.8%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 110.7Defence107.1 · 104.5Shooting47.6% · 51.8%3-point %30.4% · 29.9%Ball care16.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Poznan   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poznan wins
4
Starogard Gdanski wins
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AMiners Katowice84-78
21/12/25HR. Rzeszow100-96
13/12/25APelplin75-85
07/12/25AZubry Bialystok80-66
29/11/25HBydgoszcz102-97 OT
21/11/25APoli. Opolska81-94
15/11/25HLKS Lodz85-90
07/11/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg64-82
02/11/25HSpojnia Stargard79-73
19/10/25HWKK Wroclaw76-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HZubry Bialystok96-86
19/12/25ABydgoszcz79-71
15/12/25HPoli. Opolska99-71
06/12/25ALKS Lodz68-96
01/12/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg96-94
24/11/25ASpojnia Stargard83-92
07/11/25AWKK Wroclaw82-71
31/10/25HInowroclaw89-72
26/10/25APolonia Warszawa77-86
18/10/25HLeszno101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game81.886.377.9
Allowed / game80.683.378.2
Point differential+1.2+3.0-0.4
Avg total162.4169.6156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game86.793.279.1
Allowed / game79.681.577.4
Point differential+7.1+11.8+1.7
Avg total166.3174.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1613381%89.175.8+13.3
2 LKS Lodz1512380%87.377.4+9.9
3 Starogard Gdanski1512380%86.779.6+7.1
4 Pelplin1611569%87.882.5+5.3
5 Spojnia Stargard1610662%84.280.7+3.5
6 GKS Tychy169756%83.884.9-1.1
7 Lancut169756%84.887.2-2.4
8 Polonia Warszawa158753%81.184.7-3.6
9 Leszno168850%77.980.6-2.7
10 Poznan157847%81.880.6+1.2
11 R. Rzeszow167944%82.882.9-0.1
12 WKK Wroclaw167944%80.181.7-1.6
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1661038%78.378.4-0.1
14 Poli. Opolska1651131%82.284.2-2.0
15 Inowroclaw1651131%79.886.2-6.4
16 Miners Katowice1641225%80.687.2-6.6
17 Zubry Bialystok161156%76.889.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1423141263
Starogard Gdanski1424151770
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