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Prienai vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 86-97
25-25 23-19 17-22 21-31
Position#12
Record4-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.9
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record25-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game83.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Rytas
04 May 2023
PRI86
RYT97
01 Oct 2022
PRI66
RYT89
23 Oct 2021
PRI68
RYT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 64
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 64
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
66avg 64
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A23/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
75avg 64
H25/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 64
H28/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
87-114
87
114
-27
79avg 64
A01/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
25-20
22-12
21-28
22-17
27-28
13-22
18-16
27-25
22-21
16-27
14-23
6-23
27-24
19-21
7-21
22-15
18-26
32-24
16-22
18-22
15-18
25-18
15-19
14-17
18-23
21-31
26-35
22-25
171.5Avg total
80.0Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.089.9168.8-10.912%
Season at home (16)75.889.3165.1-13.66%
Season away (16)82.290.4172.6-8.219%
Last 10 (10)80.091.5171.5-11.520%
Last 5 (5)74.691.0165.6-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.690.8168.4-13.212%
vs Similar (5)80.685.8166.4-5.220%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
96-95
96
95
+1
90avg 84
H22/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
92-91
92
91
+1
90avg 84
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
118-73
118
73
+45
118avg 84
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
96avg 84
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 84
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
109-84
109
84
+25
112avg 84
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
106-81
106
81
+25
112avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
92avg 84
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
94avg 84
H01/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-30
30-18
22-25
13-25
27-15
30-28
22-23
27-19
33-21
35-17
23-16
27-31
24-25
23-22
29-23
25-18
26-29
19-19
20-20
25-20
22-20
13-20
15-21
23-21
31-19
29-20
26-24
23-17
31-23
21-21
31-20
27-24
18-15
31-21
23-33
18-27
26-28
29-16
29-27
187.3Avg total
99.0Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)93.083.2176.2+9.781%
Season at home (16)95.887.0182.8+8.875%
Season away (15)89.979.2169.1+10.787%
Last 10 (10)99.088.3187.3+10.790%
Last 5 (5)98.287.4185.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.890.2173.0-7.420%
vs Similar (6)87.888.8176.7-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)94.478.3172.7+16.189%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
PrienaiRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H25/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H28/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A01/05
LKL
87.0Avg total
42.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.146.085.1-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.445.684.1-7.214%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.486.0-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.887.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.646.689.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.646.685.2-8.016%-
vs Similar (5)41.443.084.4-1.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H22/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H01/05
LKL
93.9Avg total
49.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.141.786.8+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.743.389.0+2.350%-
Last 30 away (12)44.239.383.6+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)49.044.993.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.891.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.044.886.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (6)41.347.388.7-6.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.139.286.3+7.968%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.0
53.2%
54.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.9
30.5%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
74.2%14.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.223.9
64.2%
54.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.9
41.0%
35.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.418.4
75.4%
74.2%18.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLWLLW
Rytas
WWWWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-14.2
Net rating
+15.9
106.1
Offensive rating
131.2
120.3
Defensive rating
115.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
63.1%
60.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.5%
3-point %
41.0%
52.3%
Assist %
57.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 131.2Defence120.3 · 115.3Shooting50.2% · 63.1%3-point %30.5% · 41.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 40.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Prienai   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
5
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Rytas v Prienai98-77
01/10/22Prienai v Rytas66-89
20/04/22Rytas v Prienai86-70
09/01/22Rytas v Prienai106-77
23/10/21Prienai v Rytas68-82
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/23ASiauliai87-114
28/04/23HJonava69-72
25/04/23HNeptunas84-94
23/04/23ALietkabelis75-81
19/04/23ABC Wolves58-94
17/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes85-91
11/04/23HGargzdai90-77
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/23HBC Wolves102-98
26/04/23HNevezis99-93
23/04/23AJonava106-81
20/04/23HSiauliai109-84
17/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-81
10/04/23ANeptunas90-86
01/04/23HJuventus103-101
29/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes118-73
25/03/23HLietkabelis92-91
22/03/23HManresa96-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL6%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %12%6%19%
Points / game79.075.882.2
Allowed / game89.989.390.4
Point differential-10.9-13.6-8.2
Avg total168.8165.1172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWWLW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %81%75%87%
Points / game93.095.889.9
Allowed / game83.287.079.2
Point differential+9.7+8.8+10.7
Avg total176.2182.8169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%31%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)83% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%87.072.0+15.0
2 Rytas3125681%93.083.2+9.7
3 BC Wolves31211068%85.979.1+6.9
4 Lietkabelis31211068%85.581.1+4.5
5 Juventus32181456%86.986.3+0.6
6 Jonava32181456%80.580.4+0.0
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Siauliai31131842%83.586.4-2.8
9 Nevezis32131941%86.588.5-1.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3282425%79.489.6-10.2
11 Gargzdai3262619%76.184.2-8.1
12 Prienai3242812%79.089.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai2523172186
Rytas2519223197
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