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Prienai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 57-94
17-19 13-18 16-29 11-28
Position#12
Record3-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game90.0
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record20-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game73.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas
03 Apr 2023
PRI57
ZAL94
29 Sep 2022
PRI66
ZAL91
13 Jan 2022
PRI71
ZAL88
12 Dec 2021
PRI78
ZAL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 65
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 65
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 65
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 65
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 65
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 65
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 65
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
172.9Avg total
84.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.190.0170.0-9.912%
Season at home (11)75.291.0166.2-15.80%
Season away (13)84.289.1173.3-4.823%
Last 10 (10)84.788.2172.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)89.490.4179.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)78.791.5170.2-12.812%
vs Similar (4)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 76
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
66-63
66
63
+3
57avg 76
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
85-67
85
67
+18
75avg 76
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 76
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 76
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 76
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
95-74
95
74
+21
97avg 76
H31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
15-14
18-13
11-18
22-18
16-22
31-15
18-13
20-17
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
17-15
17-25
15-21
23-13
23-17
13-18
22-33
33-12
16-22
19-24
20-19
24-22
27-19
20-24
29-14
20-13
28-19
20-22
17-12
14-17
21-16
31-24
25-15
18-19
160.8Avg total
85.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.373.0160.3+14.383%
Season at home (12)89.373.7163.0+15.783%
Season away (12)85.372.3157.7+13.083%
Last 10 (10)85.475.4160.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)88.076.2164.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.2158.8-11.620%
vs Similar (11)76.572.7149.2+3.773%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.874.4161.2+12.479%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
PrienaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
86.9Avg total
41.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.746.584.2-8.910%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.446.281.6-10.80%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.886.4-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.686.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.090.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.246.683.8-9.58%-
vs Similar (4)41.046.087.0-5.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/03
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/03
LKL
Monaco
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H31/03
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
42.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.076.2+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.778.2+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)37.936.474.4+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.281.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.245.680.8-10.40%-
vs Similar (11)39.333.773.0+5.582%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.436.677.0+3.971%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
54.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
74.2%16.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.5
56.4%
54.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.711.2
43.6%
35.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
74.2%12.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LWLLWLLWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLLWWW
#12
League position
#1
-6.8
Net rating
+14.8
109.4
Offensive rating
124.1
116.1
Defensive rating
109.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
60.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
43.6%
45.6%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 124.1Defence116.1 · 109.3Shooting49.8% · 60.2%3-point %33.7% · 43.6%Ball care15.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 36.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Prienai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Prienai86-80
29/09/22Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas66-91
13/01/22Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-88
12/12/21Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas78-81
31/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Prienai103-77
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23HValencia95-74
29/03/23HMonaco79-70
26/03/23HGargzdai96-70
24/03/23AFenerbahce79-87
19/03/23ANeptunas91-80
16/03/23HOlympiacos72-74
12/03/23HRytas94-100
09/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
07/03/23AAlba Berlin66-63
04/03/23ANevezis97-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %12%0%23%
Points / game80.175.284.2
Allowed / game90.091.089.1
Point differential-9.9-15.8-4.8
Avg total170.0166.2173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %17%18%15%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLWLW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game87.389.385.3
Allowed / game73.073.772.3
Point differential+14.3+15.7+13.0
Avg total160.3163.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%58%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2420483%87.373.0+14.3
2 Rytas2520580%92.082.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves2517868%85.779.8+5.9
4 Lietkabelis2415962%86.182.8+3.3
5 Juventus25151060%85.884.1+1.7
6 Jonava25141156%80.779.4+1.3
7 Nevezis25121348%84.285.2-1.0
8 Neptunas24111346%78.280.5-2.2
9 Siauliai24101442%83.886.5-2.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2451921%77.490.1-12.8
11 Gargzdai2552020%77.385.4-8.1
12 Prienai2432112%80.190.0-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1713161157
Zalgiris Kaunas1918292894
← all games of the day
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