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Lietkabelis vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-75
24-27 21-19 21-7 15-22
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.9
Lietkabelis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record4-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Prienai
23 Apr 2023
LIE81
PRI75
28 Jan 2023
LIE74
PRI86
12 Mar 2022
LIE82
PRI73
22 Jan 2022
LIE87
PRI69
16 Jan 2021
LIE96
PRI90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 77
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
W
88-85
88
85
+3
no box
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 77
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
57avg 77
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 77
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 77
A08/04
LKL
Paris
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
85avg 77
H12/04
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 77
A19/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-12
14-19
22-17
18-16
26-23
22-24
24-14
23-24
12-19
31-22
22-20
25-13
15-27
28-30
23-22
9-22
19-15
14-27
18-17
31-19
22-17
14-17
19-20
18-22
21-20
14-14
12-14
24-19
21-27
29-25
23-27
23-14
18-24
23-15
21-19
12-28
36-16
23-24
22-23
163.3Avg total
82.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.681.9167.5+3.664%
Season at home (13)84.581.9166.5+2.662%
Season away (15)86.581.9168.4+4.567%
Last 10 (10)82.980.4163.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.280.8166.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.782.4159.1-5.729%
vs Similar (11)83.580.4163.9+3.273%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.883.4172.2+5.475%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 62
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 62
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 62
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 62
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 62
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
66avg 62
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A19/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
25-20
22-12
21-28
22-17
27-28
13-22
18-16
27-25
22-21
16-27
14-23
6-23
171.1Avg total
81.7Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.089.8168.8-10.814%
Season at home (14)75.690.2165.9-14.67%
Season away (14)82.489.4171.8-7.121%
Last 10 (10)81.789.4171.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)79.093.6172.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.792.1169.8-14.412%
vs Similar (6)85.590.7176.2-5.217%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
LietkabelisPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A15/03
Eurocup
Nevezis
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/03
LKL
Bursaspor
#15
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/03
LKL
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Neptunas
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A03/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/04
LKL
Paris
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H12/04
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H16/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A19/04
LKL
80.5Avg total
41.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.181.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.182.2+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.238.980.1+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.480.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.286.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%-
vs Similar (11)40.338.779.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.041.685.6+2.467%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/04
LKL
84.7Avg total
40.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.046.584.5-8.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.846.283.0-9.47%-
Last 30 away (16)39.146.785.8-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.584.7-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.047.084.0-10.08%-
vs Similar (6)41.844.386.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
54.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.6
37.4%
35.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
74.2%13.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.3
54.1%
54.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.0
31.0%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
74.2%14.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WWLLWLLWWW
Prienai
LLWLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#12
+2.6
Net rating
-11.7
111.7
Offensive rating
109.0
109.1
Defensive rating
120.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
31.0%
65.8%
Assist %
45.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 109.0Defence109.1 · 120.6Shooting56.0% · 51.0%3-point %37.4% · 31.0%Ball care20.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lietkabelis wins
1
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Lietkabelis v Prienai74-86
30/10/22Prienai v Lietkabelis77-96
12/03/22Lietkabelis v Prienai82-73
22/01/22Lietkabelis v Prienai87-69
12/10/21Prienai v Lietkabelis65-92
16/01/21Lietkabelis v Prienai96-90
23/12/20Prienai v Lietkabelis68-87
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23AJuventus93-91
16/04/23HJonava85-72
12/04/23HParis97-98
08/04/23ABC Wolves65-70
03/04/23ANeptunas86-73
29/03/23AJoventut Badalona60-81
25/03/23ARytas91-92
22/03/23HBursaspor88-85
19/03/23ANevezis90-77
15/03/23ABrescia74-65
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23ABC Wolves58-94
17/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes85-91
11/04/23HGargzdai90-77
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game85.684.586.5
Allowed / game81.981.981.9
Point differential+3.6+2.6+4.5
Avg total167.5166.5168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLWL7%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%7%21%
Points / game79.075.682.4
Allowed / game89.890.289.4
Point differential-10.8-14.6-7.1
Avg total168.8165.9171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%86.771.4+15.3
2 Rytas2923679%92.482.4+10.1
3 BC Wolves2920969%84.878.3+6.6
4 Lietkabelis28181064%85.681.9+3.6
5 Juventus29161355%87.385.9+1.4
6 Jonava29151452%79.880.3-0.5
7 Neptunas29141548%79.681.5-1.9
8 Nevezis29131645%86.587.9-1.3
9 Siauliai28111739%83.487.4-3.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2972224%78.489.9-11.4
11 Gargzdai2862221%76.884.6-7.8
12 Prienai2842414%79.089.8-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2421211581
Prienai271972275
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