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Prienai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-94
18-26 32-24 16-22 18-22
Position#12
Record4-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game89.5
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record14-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Neptunas
25 Apr 2023
PRI84
NEP94
24 Nov 2022
PRI72
NEP105
17 Oct 2022
PRI92
NEP99
07 Feb 2022
PRI63
NEP73
15 Nov 2021
PRI62
NEP87
28 Oct 2021
PRI70
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 62
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 62
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 62
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 62
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
66avg 62
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
58-94
58
94
-36
no box
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A23/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
25-20
22-12
21-28
22-17
27-28
13-22
18-16
27-25
22-21
16-27
14-23
6-23
27-24
19-21
7-21
22-15
170.1Avg total
81.2Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.989.5168.4-10.714%
Season at home (14)75.690.2165.9-14.67%
Season away (15)81.988.9170.7-7.020%
Last 10 (10)81.288.9170.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)73.087.4160.4-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)77.091.3168.3-14.312%
vs Similar (6)85.590.7176.2-5.217%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 72
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 72
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 72
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 72
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 72
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 72
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 72
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 72
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 72
A22/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
15-27
27-24
34-18
21-22
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
162.2Avg total
81.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.681.5161.1-1.948%
Season at home (15)84.883.5168.3+1.353%
Season away (14)74.179.3153.4-5.243%
Last 10 (10)81.780.5162.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)86.486.4172.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.782.0156.7-7.322%
vs Similar (10)81.380.7162.0+0.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.280.5168.6+7.764%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
PrienaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H17/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/04
LKL
86.4Avg total
41.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.346.684.9-8.417%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.746.783.4-10.08%-
Last 30 away (17)39.546.686.1-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.286.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.447.284.6-9.812%-
vs Similar (6)41.844.386.2-2.533%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
79.2Avg total
39.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.080.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.485.3-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.336.775.0+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.240.879.0-2.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.740.581.2+0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.139.080.1+2.155%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.7
54.3%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.4
29.6%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
74.2%14.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.8
55.5%
54.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
74.2%14.0
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLWLLWLLW
Neptunas
WWWLLWLWWL
#12
League position
#7
-11.4
Net rating
+2.2
107.3
Offensive rating
112.4
118.7
Defensive rating
110.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.6%
3-point %
33.1%
45.9%
Assist %
69.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 112.4Defence118.7 · 110.1Shooting50.4% · 53.1%3-point %29.6% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Prienai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22Neptunas v Prienai80-75
24/11/22Prienai v Neptunas72-105
03/11/22Neptunas v Prienai110-89
17/10/22Prienai v Neptunas92-99 OT
07/02/22Prienai v Neptunas63-73
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ALietkabelis75-81
19/04/23ABC Wolves58-94
17/04/23HPieno Zvaigzdes85-91
11/04/23HGargzdai90-77
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
18/04/23HNevezis97-91
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLWL7%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %14%7%20%
Points / game78.975.681.9
Allowed / game89.590.288.9
Point differential-10.7-14.6-7.0
Avg total168.4165.9170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %14%14%13%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeLWLLW53%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%53%43%
Points / game79.684.874.1
Allowed / game81.583.579.3
Point differential-1.9+1.3-5.2
Avg total161.1168.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%86.771.4+15.3
2 Rytas2923679%92.482.4+10.1
3 BC Wolves2920969%84.878.3+6.6
4 Lietkabelis29191066%85.481.7+3.7
5 Juventus29161355%87.385.9+1.4
6 Jonava29151452%79.880.3-0.5
7 Neptunas29141548%79.681.5-1.9
8 Nevezis29131645%86.587.9-1.3
9 Siauliai29121741%82.686.3-3.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2972224%78.489.9-11.4
11 Gargzdai2962321%76.183.7-7.6
12 Prienai2942514%78.989.5-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1832161884
Neptunas2624222294
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