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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 86-90
18-25 29-26 19-19 20-20
Position#7
Record11-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game82.3
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 70
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 70
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 70
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 70
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 70
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 70
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-54
73
54
+19
68avg 70
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 70
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 70
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 70
H03/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
10-17
21-19
19-10
23-8
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
158.9Avg total
77.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.080.7158.7-2.744%
Season at home (13)83.882.5166.2+1.354%
Season away (12)71.878.8150.5-7.033%
Last 10 (10)77.781.2158.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)79.076.0155.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.281.0154.2-7.825%
vs Similar (9)78.280.4158.7-2.256%
vs Weaker (13)89.380.7170.0+8.669%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
64avg 82
H05/03
LKL
Bonn
#1
L
72-99
72
99
-27
62avg 82
A08/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 82
A12/03
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 82
A15/03
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 82
A18/03
LKL
Manresa
#14
W
96-95
96
95
+1
90avg 82
H22/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
W
92-91
92
91
+1
90avg 82
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
118-73
118
73
+45
118avg 82
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
96avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
21-29
14-23
32-21
19-24
27-22
24-21
7-21
15-26
22-15
13-33
22-25
24-21
21-21
23-25
32-27
19-19
23-12
22-21
28-17
27-17
21-20
28-15
28-23
23-22
21-30
30-18
22-25
13-25
27-15
30-28
22-23
27-19
33-21
35-17
23-16
27-31
24-25
23-22
29-23
181.8Avg total
94.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.082.3174.3+9.880%
Season at home (13)94.185.9180.0+8.269%
Season away (12)89.878.3168.2+11.592%
Last 10 (10)94.287.6181.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)102.687.0189.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.889.6174.4-4.840%
vs Similar (6)82.585.5168.0-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.880.7174.5+13.184%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
77.1Avg total
36.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.984.3+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.175.2-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.577.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.474.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.139.576.6-2.438%-
vs Similar (9)39.141.880.9-2.756%-
vs Weaker (13)41.939.080.9+2.962%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/03
LKL
Bonn
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/03
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A15/03
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A18/03
LKL
Manresa
#14
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H22/03
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/04
LKL
88.7Avg total
45.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.886.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.343.789.0+1.553%-
Last 30 away (11)43.038.581.5+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)45.543.288.7+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.093.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.644.886.4-3.240%-
vs Similar (6)40.743.884.5-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.440.486.7+6.063%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
54.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.4
30.8%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.5
70.4%
74.2%14.5
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.7
57.2%
54.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.6
43.0%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.018.9
78.8%
74.2%18.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWWLWLLL
Rytas
WWWWWWWLLL
#7
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+13.8
106.5
Offensive rating
126.0
110.8
Defensive rating
112.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
60.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.8%
3-point %
43.0%
67.0%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 126.0Defence110.8 · 112.2Shooting49.8% · 60.3%3-point %30.8% · 43.0%Ball care17.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.9% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
9
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Neptunas v Rytas70-82
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
17/10/20Neptunas v Rytas60-98
18/01/20Rytas v Neptunas92-69
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
13/03/23AGargzdai73-54
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HJuventus103-101
29/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes118-73
25/03/23HLietkabelis92-91
22/03/23HManresa96-95
18/03/23APieno Zvaigzdes104-75
15/03/23ABahcesehir Kol.92-69
12/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas100-94
08/03/23ABonn72-99
05/03/23HJuventus77-88
19/02/23HLietkabelis88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game78.083.871.8
Allowed / game80.782.578.8
Point differential-2.7+1.3-7.0
Avg total158.7166.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%69%92%
Points / game92.094.189.8
Allowed / game82.385.978.3
Point differential+9.8+8.2+11.5
Avg total174.3180.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%31%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)80% (5)100% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2622485%87.571.9+15.6
2 Rytas2520580%92.082.3+9.8
3 BC Wolves2618869%85.179.2+5.9
4 Lietkabelis26161062%85.382.0+3.3
5 Juventus25151060%85.884.1+1.7
6 Jonava25141156%80.779.4+1.3
7 Nevezis26121446%84.485.7-1.3
8 Neptunas25111444%78.080.7-2.7
9 Siauliai26111542%83.386.5-3.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2662023%78.690.2-11.6
11 Gargzdai2552020%77.385.4-8.1
12 Prienai2532212%79.290.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1829192086
Rytas2526192090
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