PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2022
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 89-60
23-14 16-13 33-17 17-16
Position#2
Record28-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#5
Record16-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.9
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
70avg 77
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-74
90
74
+16
82avg 77
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
77-57
77
57
+20
74avg 77
A20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 77
A24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 77
A28/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 77
H02/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
68-70
68
70
-2
62avg 77
A04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
87-71
87
71
+16
79avg 77
H07/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 77
A09/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
21-9
21-24
21-30
19-16
15-13
20-14
18-21
20-19
29-24
19-16
22-15
21-19
17-13
19-14
20-11
16-24
16-32
22-17
13-12
21-19
14-17
24-18
25-22
22-17
26-23
28-14
16-34
19-15
19-23
10-11
20-21
20-11
31-22
23-19
13-19
17-21
14-20
15-12
32-34
158.4Avg total
81.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.475.4160.8+10.082%
Season at home (12)91.875.6167.4+16.292%
Season away (22)81.975.3157.1+6.677%
Last 10 (10)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.881.1158.9-3.340%
vs Similar (5)76.883.6160.4-6.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.673.8159.4+11.880%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
104avg 78
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 78
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
57-77
57
77
-20
42avg 78
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 78
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
97avg 78
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 78
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 78
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 78
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 78
H09/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-8
26-21
24-20
18-12
19-13
23-18
14-20
9-13
24-24
18-28
14-18
35-25
19-21
13-17
14-19
11-20
27-11
12-18
18-28
25-12
30-14
22-22
23-20
18-32
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
157.8Avg total
79.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.979.9157.7-2.047%
Season at home (18)77.981.6159.5-3.739%
Season away (16)77.977.9155.8+0.056%
Last 10 (10)79.977.9157.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)81.882.6164.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.083.0158.0-8.033%
vs Similar (13)77.878.0155.8-0.246%
vs Weaker (8)84.273.9158.1+10.475%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A28/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/05
LKL
78.2Avg total
40.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.478.8+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.937.380.2+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.439.677.1-2.243%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.178.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.678.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.539.176.6-1.620%-
vs Similar (5)37.244.882.0-7.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.335.879.1+7.580%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
79.5Avg total
41.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.880.1+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.978.8+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.781.4+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.379.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.741.880.4-3.122%-
vs Similar (13)40.739.380.0+1.446%-
vs Weaker (8)45.434.579.9+10.988%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.2
53.0%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.8
34.2%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
73.1%14.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.2
53.5%
53.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
33.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.614.9
69.0%
73.1%14.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWWLWWWL
Neptunas
WLWLWWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+2.6
Net rating
+3.1
111.3
Offensive rating
110.7
108.8
Defensive rating
107.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.2%
3-point %
36.8%
65.4%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.7Defence108.8 · 107.6Shooting52.4% · 54.1%3-point %34.2% · 36.8%Ball care17.5% · 20.2%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/22ANeptunas78-87
07/05/22HNeptunas87-71
04/05/22ANeptunas68-70
02/05/22HNeptunas92-88
28/04/22AJuventus84-76
24/04/22ALietkabelis67-85
20/04/22ANeptunas77-57
16/04/22HSiauliai90-74
14/04/22ANevezis72-64
10/04/22AJonava97-100 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
28/04/22HRytas93-88
24/04/22APieno Zvaigzdes82-69
20/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas57-77
12/04/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/04/22AAlytaus Dzukija65-64
03/04/22HNevezis95-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341222
Win %82%92%77%
Points / game85.491.881.9
Allowed / game75.475.675.3
Point differential+10.0+16.2+6.6
Avg total160.8167.4157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%75%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW47%
HomeLLWWW39%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %47%39%56%
Points / game77.977.977.9
Allowed / game79.981.677.9
Point differential-2.0-3.7+0.0
Avg total157.7159.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%6%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas3429585%88.674.3+14.4
2 Zalgiris Kaunas3428682%85.475.4+10.0
3 Lietkabelis3326779%85.275.6+9.6
4 Siauliai34181653%81.780.8+0.9
5 Jonava34171750%78.181.4-3.3
6 Neptunas34161847%77.979.9-2.0
7 Juventus33151845%84.584.1+0.4
8 Alytaus Dzukija34122235%75.381.0-5.8
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes3092130%80.887.2-6.4
10 Nevezis3072323%78.387.8-9.5
11 Prienai3032710%77.088.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2316331789
Neptunas1413171660
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.