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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 71-79
18-20 16-25 19-19 18-15
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Neptunas
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 77
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
57-77
57
77
-20
42avg 77
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 77
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
97avg 77
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 77
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
70-68
70
68
+2
66avg 77
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 77
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-78
87
78
+9
89avg 77
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
53avg 77
A11/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
23-18
14-20
9-13
24-24
18-28
14-18
35-25
19-21
13-17
14-19
11-20
27-11
12-18
18-28
25-12
30-14
22-22
23-20
18-32
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
15-19
23-19
11-10
21-20
11-20
22-31
19-23
19-13
21-17
20-14
12-15
34-32
14-23
13-16
17-33
16-17
157.1Avg total
76.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.480.7157.1-4.350%
Last 5 (5)75.282.8158.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.583.6157.1-10.130%
vs Similar (12)77.877.2154.9+0.650%
vs Weaker (8)84.273.9158.1+10.475%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 74
A09/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
89-60
89
60
+29
89avg 74
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
67avg 74
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
55-79
55
79
-24
50avg 74
A16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
56avg 74
H19/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
73avg 74
A21/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
98avg 74
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
92avg 74
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A03/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
14-20
15-12
32-34
23-14
16-13
33-17
17-16
16-19
18-17
21-20
16-14
16-20
11-28
16-14
12-17
21-18
22-14
10-16
16-25
17-15
15-28
25-24
18-19
28-18
29-21
14-19
21-17
26-17
17-18
17-27
20-18
24-15
27-20
14-18
20-17
23-26
21-14
23-15
22-21
155.4Avg total
79.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.376.1155.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)86.278.4164.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
vs Similar (9)72.780.7153.3-8.022%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.874.1158.9+10.781%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/05
LKL
77.9Avg total
38.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.7+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.478.9+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.839.680.4+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.377.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.541.579.0-4.020%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.980.2+2.350%-
vs Weaker (8)45.434.579.9+10.988%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A09/05
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H11/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H25/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/06
LKL
77.7Avg total
40.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.177.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.236.379.5+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)36.439.776.1-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.677.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.483.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.037.873.8-1.820%-
vs Similar (9)35.842.678.3-6.822%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.935.778.6+7.281%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.1
51.3%
54.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.9
34.5%
35.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.515.5
68.9%
74.2%15.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.2
49.6%
54.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.89.1
39.9%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.8
81.3%
74.2%14.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWLWWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLLWWL
#7
League position
#1
-6.3
Net rating
+6.6
106.2
Offensive rating
113.3
112.6
Defensive rating
106.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
39.9%
69.6%
Assist %
69.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 113.3Defence112.6 · 106.6Shooting51.5% · 53.5%3-point %34.5% · 39.9%Ball care20.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
11/05/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas89-60
09/05/22Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas87-71
04/05/22Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas92-88
20/04/22Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas57-77
30/01/22Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas60-77
10/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas98-79
18/04/21Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas72-88
28/02/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas85-72
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas60-89
09/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-78
07/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas71-87
04/05/22HZalgiris Kaunas70-68
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
28/04/22HRytas93-88
24/04/22APieno Zvaigzdes82-69
20/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas57-77
12/04/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/04/22AAlytaus Dzukija65-64
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/22ASiauliai89-76
30/05/22HSiauliai85-70
28/05/22ASiauliai90-85 OT
25/05/22HSiauliai92-75
21/05/22ALietkabelis75-86
19/05/22HLietkabelis69-73
16/05/22ALietkabelis55-79
14/05/22HLietkabelis71-70
11/05/22HNeptunas89-60
09/05/22ANeptunas78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lietkabelis110100%86.074.0+12.0
2 Jonava110100%80.074.0+6.0
3 BC Wolves110100%81.076.0+5.0
4 Rytas110100%90.088.0+2.0
5 Juventus1010%88.090.0-2.0
6 Nevezis1010%76.081.0-5.0
7 Prienai1010%74.080.0-6.0
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%74.086.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1816191871
Zalgiris Kaunas2025191579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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