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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 126-74
33-24 24-15 36-18 33-17
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game82.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
75avg 81
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 81
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 81
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 81
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 81
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 81
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 81
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
103-74
103
74
+29
107avg 81
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
104-69
104
69
+35
104avg 81
H19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
24-21
21-16
14-19
26-28
22-22
19-15
21-26
23-14
20-16
29-19
28-25
25-19
20-26
18-24
27-20
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
38-15
24-25
17-20
24-14
33-12
20-23
23-20
28-14
168.8Avg total
87.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.574.8165.3+15.7100%
Season at home (4)97.570.8168.2+26.8100%
Season away (6)85.877.5163.3+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.281.6168.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)88.877.4166.2+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)82.185.3167.4-3.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.175.6166.7+15.694%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
72-74
72
74
-2
53avg 64
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 64
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 64
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 64
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 64
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 64
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 64
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
62avg 64
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 64
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 64
H17/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-17
21-13
19-20
14-24
24-30
21-18
10-21
16-18
11-26
15-15
20-20
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
26-30
21-18
17-9
24-25
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
25-24
16-21
19-20
24-28
22-14
21-31
17-18
17-24
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
18-19
14-15
24-20
25-12
159.3Avg total
75.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.482.6158.0-7.240%
Season at home (6)75.278.0153.2-2.850%
Season away (4)75.889.5165.2-13.825%
Last 10 (10)75.583.8159.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.084.6161.6-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.180.6154.8-6.527%
vs Similar (8)75.982.9158.8-7.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H17/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
45.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.482.9+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.282.3+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.583.5+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.787.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.639.887.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)41.043.084.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.236.982.1+8.283%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/11
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
Eurocup
81.0Avg total
36.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.176.9-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.373.7-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)36.744.381.0-7.60%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.739.075.6-2.336%-
vs Similar (8)36.943.480.2-6.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.5
57.4%
53.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
34.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
73.3%16.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.4
26.9%
34.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.3
69.4%
73.3%14.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLWLWWLL
Aris
WLLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#7
+8.1
Net rating
-11.3
120.3
Offensive rating
99.4
112.2
Defensive rating
110.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
46.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
26.9%
67.3%
Assist %
48.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 99.4Defence112.2 · 110.8Shooting55.7% · 46.3%3-point %35.6% · 26.9%Ball care15.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Panathinaikos v Aris81-68
02/06/24Aris v Panathinaikos65-80
31/05/24Panathinaikos v Aris89-71
13/05/24Aris v Panathinaikos68-80
17/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris76-65
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HBaskonia104-69
17/12/24HOlimpia Milano103-74
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
03/12/24HBarcelona90-89
01/12/24HMaroussi100-74
29/11/24HMonaco88-91
22/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-84
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HLietkabelis81-66
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96
11/12/24ATurk Telekom77-87
07/12/24ALavrio84-93
04/12/24HVenezia74-81
01/12/24HPAOK88-82
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
16/11/24APanionios62-79
12/11/24AHamburg69-93
09/11/24HMaroussi72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.597.585.8
Allowed / game74.870.877.5
Point differential+15.7+26.8+8.3
Avg total165.3168.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game75.475.275.8
Allowed / game82.678.089.5
Point differential-7.2-2.8-13.8
Avg total158.0153.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos10100100%90.574.8+15.7
2 Olympiacos1110191%90.673.8+16.8
3 AS Karditsas116555%78.977.3+1.6
4 AEK Athens116555%81.680.6+1.0
5 PAOK116555%80.081.9-1.9
6 Promitheas116555%80.383.2-2.9
7 Panionios115645%76.374.4+1.9
8 Peristeri115645%77.281.1-3.9
9 Aris104640%75.482.6-7.2
10 Lavrio114736%81.585.1-3.6
11 Maroussi112918%76.384.3-8.0
12 Kolossos Rhodes111109%74.182.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos33243633126
Aris2415181774
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