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AEK Athens vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 102-89
23-18 31-24 22-28 26-19
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#7
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game86.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · AEK Athens v Aris
03 Apr 2027
AAT v ARI
upcoming
25 May 2026
AAT102
ARI99
14 May 2026
AAT87
ARI81
27 Dec 2025
AAT82
ARI76
28 Dec 2024
AAT102
ARI89
20 Jan 2024
AAT91
ARI93
29 Oct 2022
AAT63
ARI76
23 Oct 2021
AAT64
ARI63
20 Dec 2020
AAT84
ARI67
13 Dec 2019
AAT92
ARI79
30 Mar 2019
AAT81
ARI73
03 Feb 2018
AAT73
ARI64
03 Jun 2017
AAT71
ARI60
28 May 2017
AAT90
ARI74
07 Jan 2017
AAT81
ARI61
16 May 2015
AAT92
ARI54
29 Mar 2015
AAT93
ARI77
08 Jan 2011
AAT65
ARI74
19 Dec 2009
AAT77
ARI76
08 Mar 2009
AAT65
ARI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 76
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 76
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 76
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 76
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
67avg 76
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
60avg 76
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
84-95
84
95
-11
77avg 76
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 76
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 76
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 76
H21/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
25-19
15-19
21-32
26-21
21-17
17-16
22-21
19-23
24-13
19-20
18-14
14-20
23-15
18-32
21-17
15-17
14-16
20-15
15-16
26-16
18-25
21-27
17-21
26-26
18-18
25-23
15-28
26-18
17-26
19-19
21-18
24-12
26-7
20-19
26-27
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
164.8Avg total
83.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.680.6162.3+1.055%
Season at home (5)86.278.6164.8+7.680%
Season away (6)77.882.3160.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)83.681.2164.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)88.483.2171.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.096.3177.3-15.30%
vs Similar (6)86.385.7172.0+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.378.4162.6+5.965%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
69-93
69
93
-24
54avg 64
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 64
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
45avg 64
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
74avg 64
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 64
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 64
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
62avg 64
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 64
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 64
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-126
74
126
-52
59avg 64
A22/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
24-30
21-18
10-21
16-18
11-26
15-15
20-20
19-26
19-16
19-21
22-24
26-30
21-18
17-9
24-25
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
25-24
16-21
19-20
24-28
22-14
21-31
17-18
17-24
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
18-19
14-15
24-20
25-12
24-33
15-24
18-36
17-33
164.7Avg total
75.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.386.5161.8-11.336%
Season at home (6)75.278.0153.2-2.850%
Season away (5)75.496.8172.2-21.420%
Last 10 (10)75.789.0164.7-13.320%
Last 5 (5)77.093.6170.6-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.882.8157.5-8.027%
vs Similar (8)75.982.9158.8-7.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
AEK AthensAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/11
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
Basket League
Panionios
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/12
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/12
Basket League
Bonn
#8
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H17/12
Champions League
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
80.7Avg total
42.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.838.581.3+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.982.1-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.280.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.048.188.1-8.114%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.077.8+3.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.537.880.4+4.759%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/11
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A16/11
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/11
Eurocup
PAOK
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A22/12
Basket League
83.3Avg total
37.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.877.7-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.373.7-0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)37.344.381.6-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.445.983.3-8.50%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.881.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.939.976.7-3.036%-
vs Similar (8)36.943.480.2-6.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.7
56.2%
53.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.1
34.5%
34.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
73.3%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.6
49.6%
53.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.9
28.5%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.6
70.1%
73.3%13.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWLLWLWWL
Aris
LWLLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#7
+2.0
Net rating
-18.9
113.3
Offensive rating
99.1
111.3
Defensive rating
118.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
46.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
28.5%
66.6%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 99.1Defence111.3 · 118.0Shooting54.5% · 46.7%3-point %34.5% · 28.5%Ball care14.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Aris v AEK Athens59-70
20/01/24AEK Athens v Aris91-93
29/10/23Aris v AEK Athens75-64
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HLavrio97-86
17/12/24HBonn96-65
14/12/24AMaroussi83-81
10/12/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan84-95
07/12/24APeristeri82-89
30/11/24HPanionios75-71 OT
16/11/24APromitheas76-84
13/11/24HVEF Riga80-70
09/11/24HKolossos Rhodes86-75
03/11/24HOlympiacos77-96
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24APanathinaikos74-126
17/12/24HLietkabelis81-66
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96
11/12/24ATurk Telekom77-87
07/12/24ALavrio84-93
04/12/24HVenezia74-81
01/12/24HPAOK88-82
28/11/24ACluj-Napoca79-87
16/11/24APanionios62-79
12/11/24AHamburg69-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game81.686.277.8
Allowed / game80.678.682.3
Point differential+1.0+7.6-4.5
Avg total162.3164.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game75.375.275.4
Allowed / game86.578.096.8
Point differential-11.3-2.8-21.4
Avg total161.8153.2172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos11110100%93.774.7+19.0
2 Olympiacos1110191%90.673.8+16.8
3 AS Karditsas116555%78.977.3+1.6
4 AEK Athens116555%81.680.6+1.0
5 PAOK116555%80.081.9-1.9
6 Promitheas116555%80.383.2-2.9
7 Peristeri115645%77.281.1-3.9
8 Panionios125742%75.575.1+0.4
9 Lavrio114736%81.585.1-3.6
10 Aris114736%75.386.5-11.3
11 Maroussi112918%76.384.3-8.0
12 Kolossos Rhodes1221017%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens23312226102
Aris1824281989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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