Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 64-66

20-10 11-22 23-12 10-22

Position#20

Record1-4

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game87.4

Quilmes

Libertad 🏆

Position#14

Record4-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game78.4

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Quilmes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

59-83

-24

A14/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

76-72

H18/10

Torneo Super 20

Penarol

83-89

-6

H21/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

52-65

-13

H28/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

59-62

-3

A31/10

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

#13

84-86

-2

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

68-101

101

-33

A14/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

81-82

-1

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

87-105

105

-18

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

68-63

H22/12

Liga A

12-23

11-18

23-22

13-20

11-16

20-14

23-19

22-23

25-20

11-19

23-16

24-34

12-19

8-19

13-12

19-15

13-20

20-9

8-11

18-22

22-13

20-25

25-21

17-27

16-33

20-20

14-19

18-29

17-21

16-15

30-22

18-24

17-27

21-21

27-29

22-28

17-21

16-14

22-16

13-12

152.5Avg total

71.7Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.6	87.4	165.0	-9.8	20%
Season at home (2)	76.0	74.5	150.5	+1.5	50%
Season away (3)	78.7	96.0	174.7	-17.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	80.8	152.5	-9.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	87.4	165.0	-9.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	84.5	93.7	178.2	-9.2	15%
vs Similar (15)	80.0	80.3	160.3	-0.3	53%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	89.5	176.0	-3.0	50%

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Kings

84-86

-2

A13/11

South American League

Quimsa

78-73

A14/11

South American League

Franca

93-86

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

78-81

-3

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

56-79

-23

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

83-60

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

77-76

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

72-84

-12

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

85-73

+12

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

97-96

H07/01

Liga A

15-25

21-24

28-16

20-21

15-21

24-16

19-20

20-16

28-19

27-21

20-29

18-17

13-28

24-20

27-15

14-18

10-20

8-10

19-29

19-20

24-11

22-12

27-20

10-17

20-18

20-19

16-26

21-13

15-22

14-25

21-23

22-14

20-22

14-15

31-14

22-22

16-23

33-21

26-30

159.7Avg total

80.3Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	78.3	78.4	156.7	-0.1	57%
Season at home (5)	79.8	77.8	157.6	+2.0	60%
Season away (2)	74.5	80.0	154.5	-5.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	79.4	159.7	+0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	77.8	160.6	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.2	87.6	167.8	-7.3	22%
vs Similar (15)	78.1	77.9	156.0	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	81.5	73.0	154.5	+8.5	67%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	22.5	39.1	-5.9	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.0	40.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	46%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	19.2	35.7	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	20.9	38.4	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.5	18.7	37.1	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.8	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.4	33.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	20.4	38.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.8	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	67%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

23-41

-18

A14/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

31-30

H18/10

Torneo Super 20

Penarol

36-39

-3

H21/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

20-38

-18

H28/10

Torneo Super 20

Weber Bahia

#14

33-29

A31/10

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

#13

42-38

H08/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-53

-17

A14/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

33-36

-3

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

38-48

-10

A17/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

33-35

-2

H22/12

Liga A

71.2Avg total

32.5Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	37.1	75.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	42.4	78.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.5	38.7	71.2	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	42.0	78.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.5	41.0	78.5	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.0	39.3	76.3	-2.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	35.0	71.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Kings

36-49

-13

A13/11

South American League

Quimsa

39-37

A14/11

South American League

Franca

55-40

+15

H15/11

South American League

San Lorenzo

37-48

-11

H06/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

18-30

-12

H08/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-23

+23

H12/12

Liga A

Argentino

#17

40-37

A16/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

29-47

-18

A18/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#12

40-44

-4

H21/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

38-45

-7

H07/01

Liga A

77.8Avg total

37.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	38.5	75.7	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	37.6	77.4	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.1	39.6	73.7	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	40.8	76.9	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.5	36.9	73.4	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	40.5	39.2	79.7	+1.3	50%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.9	42.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.2	24.5	46.7	-2.2	46%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.7	17.9	38.7	+2.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.3	42.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	22.9	46.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.4	38.4	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.3	21.7	41.9	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.8	45.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	23.4	41.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.0	41.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.4	25.5	47.8	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	32.5	57.5	-7.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	23.7	44.4	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.3	16.3	36.7	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	44.8	88.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.8	44.9	90.7	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	44.7	85.5	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	45.4	86.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	44.6	49.9	94.5	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.2	39.1	80.3	+2.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	54.5	104.5	-4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.3	83.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	43.6	88.3	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	38.8	78.1	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	39.4	81.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.6	82.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	44.1	46.8	90.9	-2.7	56%	-
vs Similar (15)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.0	33.8	74.8	+7.2	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/17	Quilmes v Libertad	75-72
07/02/17	Libertad v Quilmes	78-73
19/04/16	Libertad v Quilmes	104-87
26/02/16	Quilmes v Libertad	101-89
25/04/15	Libertad v Quilmes	92-90
04/03/15	Quilmes v Libertad	99-89
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/18	H	Weber Bahia	68-63
17/12/18	A	San Lorenzo	87-105
16/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	81-82
14/12/18	A	Gimnasia	68-101
08/12/18	H	Quimsa	84-86
31/10/18	A	Weber Bahia	59-62
28/10/18	H	Weber Bahia	52-65
21/10/18	H	Penarol	83-89
18/10/18	H	Weber Bahia	76-72
14/10/18	A	Gimnasia	59-83

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	97-96
21/12/18	H	Olimpico	85-73
18/12/18	A	Weber Bahia	72-84
16/12/18	A	Argentino	77-76
12/12/18	H	San Martin	83-60
08/12/18	H	Boca Juniors	56-79
06/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	78-81
15/11/18	H	Franca	93-86
14/11/18	A	Quimsa	78-73
13/11/18	A	Olimpia Kings	84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Points / game	77.6	76.0	78.7
Allowed / game	87.4	74.5	96.0
Point differential	-9.8	+1.5	-17.3
Avg total	165.0	150.5	174.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	57%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	57%	60%	50%
Points / game	78.3	79.8	74.5
Allowed / game	78.4	77.8	80.0
Point differential	-0.1	+2.0	-5.5
Avg total	156.7	157.6	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	5	5	0	100%	94.8	73.2	+21.6
2	Boca Juniors	6	5	1	83%	77.2	68.7	+8.5
3	Quimsa	5	4	1	80%	94.6	84.2	+10.4
4	Gimnasia	7	5	2	71%	82.1	74.6	+7.6
5	Regatas	7	5	2	71%	87.0	79.6	+7.4
6	Ferro	6	4	2	67%	81.8	79.3	+2.5
7	Obras Sanitarias	6	4	2	67%	84.8	82.8	+2.0
8	La Union	5	3	2	60%	92.2	87.4	+4.8
9	Libertad	7	4	3	57%	78.3	78.4	-0.1
10	Olimpico	4	2	2	50%	80.0	75.2	+4.8
11	Instituto de Cordoba	4	2	2	50%	92.5	90.8	+1.8
12	San Martin	6	3	3	50%	78.0	85.8	-7.8
13	Comunicaciones Mercedes	5	2	3	40%	87.4	84.2	+3.2
14	Hispano Americano	6	2	4	33%	78.0	85.8	-7.8
15	Penarol	7	2	5	29%	82.6	87.1	-4.6
16	Estudiantes	7	2	5	29%	73.9	83.1	-9.3
17	Quilmes	5	1	4	20%	77.6	87.4	-9.8
18	Weber Bahia	5	1	4	20%	66.6	78.8	-12.2
19	Atenas	5	0	5	0%	74.6	84.4	-9.8
20	Argentino	4	0	4	0%	80.8	95.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	20	11	23	10	64
Libertad	10	22	12	22	66

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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