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Sao Paulo vs Mogi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 61-63
16-9 16-19 15-16 14-19
Position#11
Record8-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Mogi 🏆
Brazil
Position#14
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game81.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Mogi
17 Jan 2025
SAO 69
MOGI80
29 Dec 2023
SAO 61
MOGI63
16 Dec 2021
SAO 89
MOGI72
27 Jan 2021
SAO 96
MOGI72
22 Oct 2019
SAO 80
MOGI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 68
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 68
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 68
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 68
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 68
H09/12
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
65-112
65
112
-47
46avg 68
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
67avg 68
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-20
19-18
30-22
17-16
19-15
22-24
23-19
13-22
31-22
17-14
17-19
10-22
22-15
24-18
14-28
20-24
9-22
21-15
20-14
12-24
24-24
10-39
19-25
8-17
23-26
24-21
21-12
16-19
18-25
17-21
23-17
13-17
15-20
28-12
16-14
20-30
21-16
20-16
17-12
156.4Avg total
75.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.779.0155.7-2.347%
Season at home (8)78.078.9156.9-0.950%
Season away (9)75.679.1154.7-3.644%
Last 10 (10)75.680.8156.4-5.250%
Last 5 (5)74.684.0158.6-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.085.6165.6-5.643%
vs Similar (12)79.980.3160.2-0.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.873.2152.0+5.5100%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
85avg 67
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 67
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
62-70
62
70
-8
56avg 67
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 67
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
69-75
69
75
-6
62avg 67
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
72avg 67
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
no box
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
51avg 67
H21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
78-92
78
92
-14
74avg 67
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
30-26
15-29
19-20
18-29
17-18
28-23
16-25
15-21
20-17
13-13
14-19
19-24
20-20
18-14
23-23
27-23
17-14
18-20
15-16
23-19
17-22
17-14
12-20
17-25
20-17
25-20
11-22
20-22
16-18
21-20
20-17
14-23
22-16
16-17
12-19
15-27
7-24
27-22
29-19
158.3Avg total
75.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.881.0154.8-7.212%
Season at home (9)74.883.0157.8-8.211%
Season away (8)72.878.8151.5-6.012%
Last 10 (10)75.582.8158.3-7.310%
Last 5 (5)74.282.8157.0-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.784.5161.2-7.812%
vs Similar (12)75.274.7149.8+0.542%
vs Weaker (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
Sao PauloMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H09/12
NBB
Quimsa
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/12
NBB
76.1Avg total
34.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.479.6-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.442.481.7-3.036%-
Last 30 away (16)37.140.677.7-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.576.1-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.677.6-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.141.880.9-2.643%-
vs Similar (12)37.842.280.0-4.325%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.837.873.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H25/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A30/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A27/12
NBB
80.1Avg total
37.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.676.3-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.838.976.7-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.476.0-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.580.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.676.8-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.441.679.1-4.235%-
vs Similar (12)35.536.471.9-0.933%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.7
53.7%
51.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.7
73.4%
72.6%15.7
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.914.8
51.2%
51.8%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.713.7
77.4%
72.6%13.7
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WWLLLLLWWW
Mogi
LLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#14
-7.3
Net rating
-9.1
104.2
Offensive rating
105.2
111.4
Defensive rating
114.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
37.4%
60.3%
Assist %
70.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 105.2Defence111.4 · 114.4Shooting49.8% · 53.6%3-point %30.4% · 37.4%Ball care16.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sao Paulo wins
1
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
16/03/22Mogi v Sao Paulo73-90
16/12/21Sao Paulo v Mogi89-72
28/01/21Sao Paulo v Mogi96-72
17/11/20Mogi v Sao Paulo75-112
22/10/19Sao Paulo v Mogi80-83
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HSao Jose78-74
23/12/23ABrasilia72-63
21/12/23ACerrado74-82
17/12/23HNacional84-89 OT
16/12/23AQuimsa65-112
09/12/23HVasco70-75
07/12/23HFlamengo70-83
04/12/23HBotafogo78-77
30/11/23AUniao Corinthians81-74
28/11/23ACaxias do Sul84-79
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23APaulistano78-92
21/12/23HFranca64-75
18/12/23HBauru87-88 OT
12/12/23ASao Jose73-84
07/12/23APinheiros69-75
05/12/23ACorinthians Paulista77-73
30/11/23ABrasilia80-81
28/11/23ACerrado62-70
25/11/23HVasco79-95
23/11/23HFlamengo86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game76.778.075.6
Allowed / game79.078.979.1
Point differential-2.3-0.9-3.6
Avg total155.7156.9154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%11%12%
Points / game73.874.872.8
Allowed / game81.083.078.8
Point differential-7.2-8.2-6.0
Avg total154.8157.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1614288%84.873.1+11.7
2 Minas1815383%85.373.7+11.7
3 Franca1613381%86.174.0+12.1
4 Paulistano1813572%75.270.7+4.5
5 Vasco1813572%73.769.5+4.2
6 Unifacisa1711665%80.576.8+3.7
7 Cearense1710759%78.475.8+2.6
8 Bauru1810856%78.877.7+1.1
9 Sao Jose179853%79.574.8+4.6
10 Corinthians Paulista178947%80.681.6-1.0
11 Sao Paulo178947%76.779.0-2.3
12 Pinheiros1771041%75.978.5-2.6
13 Pato1871139%75.277.9-2.8
14 Caxias do Sul1761135%71.478.8-7.5
15 Botafogo1751229%77.884.7-6.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1751229%71.980.9-8.9
17 Cerrado1851328%73.775.4-1.7
18 Brasilia1831517%71.185.3-14.2
19 Mogi1721512%73.881.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1616151461
Mogi919161963
← all games of the day
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