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Sao Paulo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-71
31-12 16-16 26-24 17-19
Position#11
Record9-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#7
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game71.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Paulistano
30 Oct 2024
SAO 86
PAUL84
23 Jan 2024
SAO 90
PAUL71
05 Jan 2023
SAO 77
PAUL78
07 Mar 2022
SAO 80
PAUL71
15 Jan 2021
SAO 78
PAUL65
30 Dec 2020
SAO 78
PAUL64
31 Jan 2020
SAO 75
PAUL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
65-112
65
112
-47
46avg 68
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
67avg 68
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
61-63
61
63
-2
52avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
H06/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 68
H08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
84-107
84
107
-23
79avg 68
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 68
A13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
24-24
10-39
19-25
8-17
23-26
24-21
21-12
16-19
18-25
17-21
23-17
13-17
15-20
28-12
16-14
20-30
21-16
20-16
17-12
16-9
16-19
15-16
14-19
21-23
17-24
33-21
13-16
21-24
26-25
15-22
22-27
13-24
26-29
23-31
22-23
18-20
25-16
20-22
18-17
162.8Avg total
77.2Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.480.9158.3-3.541%
Season at home (11)78.080.5158.5-2.536%
Season away (11)76.881.3158.1-4.545%
Last 10 (10)77.285.6162.8-8.430%
Last 5 (5)79.887.2167.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.489.4168.9-10.029%
vs Similar (11)78.280.4158.5-2.236%
vs Weaker (5)75.271.2146.4+4.080%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 67
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 67
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 67
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
78avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
55-66
55
66
-11
44avg 67
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 67
A14/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
18-21
27-19
29-14
18-25
13-11
14-13
17-17
11-25
25-25
12-18
16-31
23-24
22-17
17-19
21-12
25-20
153.8Avg total
78.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.871.7146.4+3.167%
Season at home (12)75.873.8149.6+2.158%
Season away (9)73.368.9142.2+4.478%
Last 10 (10)78.675.2153.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.287.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar (11)72.972.1145.0+0.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.968.5151.4+14.593%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.9-3.9
Sao PauloPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H06/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H08/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A11/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A13/01
NBB
80.0Avg total
36.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.480.0-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.043.182.1-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.778.0-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.943.180.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.543.783.2-4.229%-
vs Similar (11)36.543.680.2-7.19%-
vs Weaker (5)35.035.870.8-0.840%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/01
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/01
NBB
73.7Avg total
38.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.672.1+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.134.173.2+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.535.270.7+0.454%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.073.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.072.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.044.276.2-12.20%-
vs Similar (11)35.635.270.8+0.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.431.571.9+8.987%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.7
53.6%
51.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
72.6%14.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.4
53.2%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.0
28.3%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
72.6%14.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WLLLLWWLLL
Paulistano
WLLWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#7
-10.6
Net rating
+5.2
102.3
Offensive rating
103.5
112.9
Defensive rating
98.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.0%
3-point %
28.3%
56.3%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 103.5Defence112.9 · 98.3Shooting49.7% · 49.2%3-point %30.0% · 28.3%Ball care16.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds22.4% · 34.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sao Paulo wins
3
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Paulistano v Sao Paulo71-52
11/04/23Paulistano v Sao Paulo99-57
05/01/23Sao Paulo v Paulistano77-78
07/03/22Sao Paulo v Paulistano80-71
23/12/21Paulistano v Sao Paulo60-75
13/02/21Paulistano v Sao Paulo63-71
15/01/21Sao Paulo v Paulistano78-65
30/12/20Sao Paulo v Paulistano78-64 OT
31/01/20Sao Paulo v Paulistano75-74
14/12/19Paulistano v Sao Paulo92-98 OT
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ACearense81-75
11/01/24AUnifacisa84-107
08/01/24HFranca84-98
06/01/24HBauru89-93 OT
29/12/23HMogi61-63
27/12/23HSao Jose78-74
23/12/23ABrasilia72-63
21/12/23ACerrado74-82
17/12/23HNacional84-89 OT
16/12/23AQuimsa65-112
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ABotafogo85-68
10/01/24HFranca76-98
08/01/24HBauru55-66
29/12/23HSao Jose92-79
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game77.478.076.8
Allowed / game80.980.581.3
Point differential-3.5-2.5-4.5
Avg total158.3158.5158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %67%58%78%
Points / game74.875.873.3
Allowed / game71.773.868.9
Point differential+3.1+2.1+4.4
Avg total146.4149.6142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2320387%86.472.0+14.4
2 Franca2218482%88.276.7+11.5
3 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
4 Vasco2316770%74.371.0+3.3
5 Paulistano2114767%74.871.7+3.1
6 Unifacisa2214864%83.779.9+3.8
7 Bauru2214864%80.078.2+1.9
8 Sao Jose21111052%79.975.8+4.1
9 Cearense22111150%79.278.0+1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista21101148%80.080.0+0.0
11 Pinheiros21101148%76.677.6-1.0
12 Pato22101245%76.277.7-1.5
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul2171433%72.779.0-6.2
15 Uniao Corinthians2171433%72.580.7-8.2
16 Botafogo2261627%76.584.5-7.9
17 Cerrado2151624%73.076.5-3.5
18 Mogi2131814%72.979.5-6.6
19 Brasilia2131814%70.386.2-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo3116261790
Paulistano1216241971
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