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Randers vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 105-72
28-20 28-18 31-18 18-16
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game82.2
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#9
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2024-25
Meetings · Randers v Herlev Wolfpack
30 Jan 2025
RAND105
HERL72
19 Nov 2023
RAND86
HERL76
05 Mar 2023
RAND88
HERL74
11 Feb 2023
RAND88
HERL52
23 Oct 2021
RAND88
HERL64
16 Jan 2021
RAND100
HERL78
02 Nov 2019
RAND99
HERL71
27 Oct 2018
RAND98
HERL91
14 Dec 2017
RAND98
HERL81
09 Nov 2017
RAND76
HERL62
16 Feb 2015
RAND89
HERL85
02 Mar 2014
RAND81
HERL84
09 Oct 2013
RAND85
HERL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 84
A04/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
69-94
69
94
-25
55avg 84
H12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
70avg 84
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
89avg 84
A18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
100-82
100
82
+18
104avg 84
H28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
75avg 84
A03/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
90avg 84
H09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
114-75
114
75
+39
111avg 84
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
63avg 84
H26/01
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
22-18
20-17
26-16
27-20
13-15
17-17
22-16
10-30
29-21
14-23
16-20
16-19
23-18
19-18
24-13
27-26
24-20
13-12
27-20
28-15
35-24
19-22
18-21
22-21
21-33
21-23
21-19
26-20
30-19
15-15
18-30
30-14
32-22
28-17
24-22
21-19
22-23
11-18
22-15
166.1Avg total
86.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.582.2173.6+9.365%
Season at home (8)93.979.2173.1+14.675%
Season away (9)89.384.8174.1+4.656%
Last 10 (10)86.979.2166.1+7.780%
Last 5 (5)92.882.4175.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.695.3179.9-10.714%
vs Similar (4)79.586.5166.0-7.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.479.1172.6+14.389%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
76avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
58-89
58
89
-31
49avg 71
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 71
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 71
A18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
80-105
80
105
-25
75avg 71
H27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 71
H17/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
29-26
14-28
24-19
29-25
25-26
26-27
23-15
17-18
23-26
25-28
8-30
21-25
9-23
12-23
16-18
19-19
21-16
23-29
12-15
14-22
19-23
23-24
29-20
15-30
25-27
15-20
16-22
24-30
21-21
18-22
17-32
21-17
15-29
19-18
28-29
23-27
17-17
22-20
14-26
173.7Avg total
80.6Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.988.2167.1-9.425%
Season at home (9)78.188.6166.7-10.422%
Season away (7)79.987.9167.7-8.029%
Last 10 (10)80.693.1173.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)79.095.2174.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.490.0164.4-15.612%
vs Similar (10)85.386.1171.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (2)91.087.0178.0+4.050%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.9-3.9
RandersHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A03/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H26/01
Denmark Cup
89.2Avg total
47.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.644.289.9+1.459%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.344.591.9+2.853%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.987.7-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.889.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.442.095.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.052.095.0-9.014%-
vs Similar (4)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.941.588.4+5.478%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A18/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/01
Basketligaen
88.8Avg total
42.2Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.483.7-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.142.083.1-0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)39.245.284.4-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)42.246.688.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.687.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.144.081.1-6.918%-
vs Similar (10)44.242.086.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.1
52.6%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
32.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.9
79.7%
70.2%16.9
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.1
48.4%
51.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.15.4
29.8%
32.6%16.2
🏀 Free throws22.716.7
73.6%
70.2%16.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWWLWWWLWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#9
+8.3
Net rating
-17.6
109.4
Offensive rating
93.5
101.0
Defensive rating
111.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
24.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.3%
3-point %
29.8%
59.2%
Assist %
52.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 93.5Defence101.0 · 111.1Shooting53.4% · 47.3%3-point %36.3% · 29.8%Ball care19.9% · 24.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Randers   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Randers wins
2
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HBakken Bears76-75
16/01/25AAmager114-75
09/01/25HHorsens89-84
03/01/25ABakken Bears85-96
28/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved100-82
18/12/24ABears Academy91-78
15/12/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-68
12/12/24HSvendborg69-94
04/12/24AVaerlose79-68
30/11/24HSvendborg84-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HCopenhagen76-90
11/01/25ABears Academy83-93
27/12/24HVaerlose80-105
18/12/24AHorsens71-99
12/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved85-89
07/12/24HAmager75-79
03/12/24ASvendborg58-89
30/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-102
17/11/24AAmager103-93
14/11/24AHolbaek-Stenhus102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game91.593.989.3
Allowed / game82.279.284.8
Point differential+9.3+14.6+4.6
Avg total173.6173.1174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %25%22%29%
Points / game78.978.179.9
Allowed / game88.288.687.9
Point differential-9.4-10.4-8.0
Avg total167.1166.7167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg1615194%89.272.6+16.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1816289%99.787.4+12.2
3 Bakken Bears1713476%95.680.5+15.2
4 Horsens1713476%89.379.8+9.5
5 Randers1711665%91.582.2+9.3
6 Copenhagen1651131%82.586.1-3.6
7 Herlev Wolfpack1641225%78.988.2-9.4
8 Amager1641225%86.296.4-10.2
9 Vaerlose1641225%77.889.8-12.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1741324%78.894.1-15.4
11 Bears Academy1831517%75.788.9-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers28283118105
Herlev Wolfpack2018181672
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