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Randers vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-76
14-24 29-21 21-14 22-17
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game85.6
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#9
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game83.1
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers (Randers)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Randers v Herlev Wolfpack
30 Jan 2025
RAND105
HERL72
19 Nov 2023
RAND86
HERL76
05 Mar 2023
RAND88
HERL74
11 Feb 2023
RAND88
HERL52
23 Oct 2021
RAND88
HERL64
16 Jan 2021
RAND100
HERL78
02 Nov 2019
RAND99
HERL71
27 Oct 2018
RAND98
HERL91
14 Dec 2017
RAND98
HERL81
09 Nov 2017
RAND76
HERL62
16 Feb 2015
RAND89
HERL85
02 Mar 2014
RAND81
HERL84
09 Oct 2013
RAND85
HERL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H11/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
104-53
104
53
+51
108avg 93
H17/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
84avg 93
A26/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
no box
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
81avg 93
H04/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
104-57
104
57
+47
114avg 93
H07/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
108-89
108
89
+19
105avg 93
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 93
H19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
105-98
105
98
+7
102avg 93
A26/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
74avg 93
A07/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
26-24
21-15
29-18
13-4
28-21
27-15
36-13
28-21
20-27
22-28
22-22
24-28
24-21
16-22
23-16
27-16
27-20
13-21
16-27
26-15
36-16
19-15
23-11
25-28
34-21
27-14
22-26
17-29
19-23
22-26
24-24
21-22
29-28
25-22
30-26
21-20
21-25
31-17
21-23
182.2Avg total
96.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.385.6181.9+10.856%
Season at home (4)93.274.0167.2+19.250%
Season away (5)98.894.8193.6+4.060%
Last 10 (10)96.785.5182.2+11.260%
Last 5 (5)98.686.2184.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.886.8167.5-6.025%
vs Similar (8)90.488.4178.8+2.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.171.1163.3+21.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-111
71
111
-40
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
75-68
75
68
+7
65avg 53
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
48-84
48
84
-36
34avg 53
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
51-108
51
108
-57
29avg 53
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 53
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 53
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 53
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 53
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 53
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
16-19
18-30
14-28
17-19
20-12
23-17
15-20
8-19
15-28
16-10
9-27
10-23
11-23
10-29
20-33
23-30
20-19
17-17
10-18
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
154.1Avg total
67.9Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.583.1148.6-17.625%
Season at home (5)63.484.2147.6-20.820%
Season away (3)69.081.3150.3-12.333%
Last 10 (10)67.986.2154.1-18.320%
Last 5 (5)72.881.4154.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.491.2159.6-22.84%
vs Similar (3)74.075.3149.3-1.367%
vs Weaker (2)82.064.5146.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.3-5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -5.3-5.3
RandersHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/05
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A26/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A29/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
62-31
62
31
+31
H07/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A13/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H19/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/11
Basketligaen
92.7Avg total
49.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.839.484.2+5.355%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.538.584.0+6.960%-
Last 30 away (14)44.140.484.5+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.792.7+5.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.845.495.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.940.080.9+0.943%-
vs Similar (8)44.242.586.8+1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.137.484.5+9.671%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A20/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A23/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
21-46
21
46
-25
H30/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H07/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
76.3Avg total
33.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.343.779.0-8.420%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.342.476.6-8.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.244.981.1-8.719%-
Last 10 (10)33.942.476.3-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.674.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.246.080.2-11.99%-
vs Similar (3)33.740.774.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.827.6
59.1%
51.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
31.7%25.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
67.0%15.1
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.0
46.9%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.56.4
24.1%
31.7%19.1
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
67.0%13.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
WWLWWLLLWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LWLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#9
+15.1
Net rating
-21.8
113.0
Offensive rating
83.9
97.9
Defensive rating
105.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
42.2%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
24.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
24.1%
63.5%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 83.9Defence97.9 · 105.7Shooting56.5% · 42.2%3-point %34.4% · 24.1%Ball care18.5% · 24.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Randers   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Randers wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AVaerlose94-85
26/10/23ASvendborg105-98
19/10/23HTeam FOG Naestved82-102
13/10/23ABears Academy108-89
07/10/23HAmager104-57
04/10/23HBakken Bears83-84
29/09/23ACopenhagen95-104 OT
26/09/23AHorsens92-98
17/09/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-53
11/05/23HHorsens100-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79
07/10/23HBakken Bears70-84
30/09/23HTeam FOG Naestved51-108
23/09/23AHorsens48-84
21/09/23HAmager75-68
20/04/23ABakken Bears71-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game96.393.298.8
Allowed / game85.674.094.8
Point differential+10.8+19.2+4.0
Avg total181.9167.2193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game65.563.469.0
Allowed / game83.184.281.3
Point differential-17.6-20.8-12.3
Avg total148.6147.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%97.978.5+19.4
2 Svendborg108280%90.179.1+11.0
3 Horsens97278%91.671.0+20.6
4 Team FOG Naestved96367%93.980.2+13.7
5 Randers95456%96.385.6+10.8
6 Copenhagen105550%83.977.6+6.3
7 Vaerlose105550%79.485.4-6.0
8 Herlev Wolfpack82625%65.583.1-17.6
9 Bears Academy92722%73.981.7-7.8
10 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%67.487.6-20.1
11 Amager9090%68.299.4-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers1429212286
Herlev Wolfpack2421141776
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