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Herlev Wolfpack vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-105
24-30 21-21 18-22 17-32
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#10
Record3-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game87.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Vaerlose
11 Mar 2026
HERL88
VAER95
19 Feb 2026
HERL79
VAER87
05 Apr 2025
HERL72
VAER70
27 Dec 2024
HERL80
VAER105
14 Oct 2023
HERL70
VAER79
03 Feb 2023
HERL62
VAER84
01 Apr 2022
HERL93
VAER95
13 Oct 2021
HERL89
VAER69
03 Mar 2021
HERL77
VAER100
14 Nov 2020
HERL64
VAER78
18 Mar 2020
HERL v VAER
upcoming
13 Feb 2019
HERL84
VAER74
06 Oct 2018
HERL95
VAER86
16 Jan 2015
HERL101
VAER66
29 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER76
18 Mar 2014
HERL77
VAER70
08 Mar 2014
HERL95
VAER90
12 Oct 2013
HERL88
VAER75
01 Mar 2012
HERL92
VAER85
12 Nov 2011
HERL62
VAER74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 69
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 69
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-98
65
98
-33
56avg 69
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
76avg 69
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
58-89
58
89
-31
49avg 69
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 69
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 69
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
71-99
71
99
-28
64avg 69
A18/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
28-27
24-11
17-23
16-23
21-20
18-18
22-21
20-24
18-18
10-26
17-30
35-19
29-26
14-28
24-19
29-25
25-26
26-27
23-15
17-18
23-26
25-28
8-30
21-25
9-23
12-23
16-18
19-19
21-16
23-29
12-15
14-22
19-23
23-24
29-20
15-30
25-27
15-20
16-22
170.0Avg total
80.0Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.786.5165.2-7.831%
Season at home (7)78.186.0164.1-7.929%
Season away (6)79.387.0166.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)80.090.0170.0-10.030%
Last 5 (5)72.491.6164.0-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.592.6168.1-17.110%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.781.9169.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (2)91.087.0178.0+4.050%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 71
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 71
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 71
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 71
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 71
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 71
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 71
A21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
20-27
15-13
17-17
16-22
18-21
26-25
26-22
18-22
17-17
24-22
24-17
14-18
13-11
27-25
14-11
26-23
165.7Avg total
77.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.287.3162.6-12.125%
Season at home (6)77.783.8161.5-6.233%
Season away (6)72.890.8163.7-18.017%
Last 10 (10)77.887.9165.7-10.130%
Last 5 (5)75.881.6157.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)76.792.3169.0-15.517%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.477.8158.2+2.660%
vs Weaker (1)99.080.0179.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
Herlev WolfpackVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A18/12
Basketligaen
87.9Avg total
42.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.984.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.382.2-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.346.586.8-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.387.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.645.882.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.145.283.3-7.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.939.985.7+6.071%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Randers
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H07/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/12
Basketligaen
79.7Avg total
37.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.981.6-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.743.084.7-1.327%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.5-3.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.879.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.278.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.243.381.5-5.226%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (1)55.037.092.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.122.0
49.9%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.5
33.2%
32.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
70.2%15.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.6
50.8%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.4
25.7%
32.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.214.3
67.5%
70.2%14.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLWWLLW
Vaerlose
WWLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-6.5
Net rating
-14.7
96.7
Offensive rating
92.4
103.2
Defensive rating
107.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
45.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
23.1%
Turnover %
22.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.2%
3-point %
25.7%
52.6%
Assist %
65.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 92.4Defence103.2 · 107.1Shooting49.8% · 45.4%3-point %33.2% · 25.7%Ball care23.1% · 22.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Herlev Wolfpack wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AHorsens71-99
12/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved85-89
07/12/24HAmager75-79
03/12/24ASvendborg58-89
30/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-102
17/11/24AAmager103-93
14/11/24AHolbaek-Stenhus102-92
09/11/24HBakken Bears65-98
25/10/24ACopenhagen77-82
19/10/24HBears Academy91-77
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABears Academy80-70
10/12/24HCopenhagen79-74
07/12/24HHolbaek-Stenhus88-90
04/12/24HRanders68-79
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game78.778.179.3
Allowed / game86.586.087.0
Point differential-7.8-7.9-7.7
Avg total165.2164.1166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%33%17%
Points / game75.277.772.8
Allowed / game87.383.890.8
Point differential-12.1-6.2-18.0
Avg total162.6161.5163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved13130100%97.086.7+10.3
2 Svendborg1312192%88.571.8+16.7
3 Horsens129375%88.878.9+9.9
4 Bakken Bears118373%92.681.0+11.6
5 Randers138562%89.881.5+8.2
6 Herlev Wolfpack134931%78.786.5-7.8
7 Holbaek-Stenhus113827%81.093.5-12.5
8 Copenhagen123925%82.285.2-3.0
9 Vaerlose123925%75.287.3-12.1
10 Amager1331023%84.894.3-9.5
11 Bears Academy1321115%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack2421181780
Vaerlose30212232105
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