PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Svendborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-58
25-21 23-9 23-12 18-16
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Svendborg v Herlev Wolfpack
02 Feb 2026
SVEN111
HERL61
03 Dec 2024
SVEN89
HERL58
07 Feb 2024
SVEN117
HERL87
11 Nov 2023
SVEN86
HERL84
08 Apr 2023
SVEN106
HERL83
15 Feb 2023
SVEN100
HERL71
19 Feb 2022
SVEN102
HERL72
17 Mar 2021
SVEN111
HERL68
09 Dec 2019
SVEN87
HERL70
15 Dec 2018
SVEN90
HERL76
26 Oct 2017
SVEN95
HERL69
04 Oct 2017
SVEN108
HERL85
03 Jan 2015
SVEN81
HERL78
11 Jan 2014
SVEN92
HERL65
25 Sep 2013
SVEN83
HERL79
08 Oct 2011
SVEN99
HERL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 77
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
92avg 77
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 77
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
78avg 77
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
98-66
98
66
+32
94avg 77
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
100-63
100
63
+37
no box
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 77
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
18-17
29-13
21-26
25-17
17-23
20-15
25-23
23-11
16-20
18-16
19-15
16-18
19-22
26-29
35-27
25-14
26-14
25-19
12-16
19-13
15-24
24-11
20-19
18-12
31-10
20-24
29-20
22-15
23-18
31-6
24-24
16-24
20-17
30-20
25-19
21-16
18-22
17-20
16-26
161.6Avg total
87.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.273.2160.4+14.090%
Season at home (6)81.569.3150.8+12.2100%
Season away (4)95.879.0174.8+16.875%
Last 10 (10)87.574.1161.6+13.480%
Last 5 (5)87.872.0159.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.293.8172.0-15.70%
vs Similar (5)86.282.6168.8+3.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.278.1172.3+16.292%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 70
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
73avg 70
H28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
81avg 70
A03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 70
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 70
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 70
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-98
65
98
-33
56avg 70
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
76avg 70
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
16-14
25-22
20-27
23-31
18-24
21-20
18-19
16-15
20-21
28-15
22-20
17-16
32-8
18-35
20-13
22-16
28-27
24-11
17-23
16-23
21-20
18-18
22-21
20-24
18-18
10-26
17-30
35-19
29-26
14-28
24-19
29-25
25-26
26-27
23-15
17-18
23-26
25-28
8-30
171.6Avg total
84.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.685.3166.9-3.844%
Season at home (5)77.486.8164.2-9.440%
Season away (4)86.883.5170.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)84.687.0171.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)84.093.4177.4-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.294.9171.1-18.711%
vs Similar (7)87.781.9169.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (3)92.790.7183.3+2.033%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
SvendborgHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A14/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Denmark Cup
74.1Avg total
40.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.782.6+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.180.0+1.929%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.284.8+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.034.174.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.346.385.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (5)41.243.684.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.334.678.9+9.867%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Denmark Cup
86.9Avg total
44.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.385.4-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.342.383.6-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.487.1-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.386.9+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.091.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.345.984.2-7.616%-
vs Similar (7)45.939.985.7+6.071%-
vs Weaker (3)42.742.785.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.1
51.3%
51.9%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.2
65.5%
70.2%15.2
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.0
50.7%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
32.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.0
69.3%
70.2%16.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
LWWWWWLWWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LWWLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#9
+18.3
Net rating
-6.0
108.4
Offensive rating
97.6
90.1
Defensive rating
103.7
50.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
22.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.6%
3-point %
31.6%
61.0%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 97.6Defence90.1 · 103.7Shooting50.4% · 49.5%3-point %32.6% · 31.6%Ball care16.7% · 22.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Svendborg   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Svendborg wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ARanders72-84
28/11/24HBakken Bears91-80
16/11/24HBears Academy100-63
14/11/24AAmager98-66
07/11/24HHorsens78-67
30/10/24HCopenhagen88-63
17/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved105-108 OT
10/10/24HVaerlose76-62
05/10/24ABears Academy87-78
28/09/24HHolbaek-Stenhus80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-102
17/11/24AAmager103-93
14/11/24AHolbaek-Stenhus102-92
09/11/24HBakken Bears65-98
25/10/24ACopenhagen77-82
19/10/24HBears Academy91-77
12/10/24HRanders87-72
03/10/24AVaerlose86-71
28/09/24HHorsens80-94
26/09/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game87.281.595.8
Allowed / game73.269.379.0
Point differential+14.0+12.2+16.8
Avg total160.4150.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game81.677.486.8
Allowed / game85.386.883.5
Point differential-3.8-9.4+3.2
Avg total166.9164.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved10100100%98.788.6+10.1
2 Svendborg109190%87.273.2+14.0
3 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
4 Horsens107370%85.078.2+6.8
5 Randers106460%92.882.0+10.8
6 Herlev Wolfpack94544%81.685.3-3.8
7 Amager92722%86.693.1-6.6
8 Bears Academy92722%76.786.1-9.4
9 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%80.793.8-13.1
10 Copenhagen81712%80.989.5-8.6
11 Vaerlose81712%73.591.9-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2523231889
Herlev Wolfpack219121658
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.