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Herlev Wolfpack vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 78-86
17-20 16-28 23-18 22-20
Position#9
Record3-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game93.0
Herlev Wolfpack
Denmark
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record10-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game86.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen (Herlev)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Randers
12 Oct 2024
HERL87
RAND72
15 Feb 2024
HERL78
RAND86
15 Apr 2023
HERL54
RAND85
03 Nov 2022
HERL77
RAND85
15 Jan 2022
HERL96
RAND107
31 Mar 2021
HERL109
RAND106
16 Oct 2019
HERL67
RAND88
12 Dec 2018
HERL78
RAND107
02 Nov 2017
HERL78
RAND77
18 Dec 2014
HERL99
RAND84
18 Oct 2014
HERL93
RAND87
04 Jan 2014
HERL73
RAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 62
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 62
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 62
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 62
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-137
77
137
-60
62avg 62
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 62
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 62
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 62
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
67avg 62
A07/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
16-39
29-30
19-31
13-37
21-32
21-15
19-20
15-14
17-11
27-29
23-21
20-26
25-19
16-29
20-18
10-27
27-22
21-19
20-10
17-28
9-28
26-30
21-29
31-30
182.7Avg total
81.1Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.393.0167.3-18.716%
Season at home (9)69.986.9156.8-17.022%
Season away (10)78.298.5176.7-20.310%
Last 10 (10)81.1101.6182.7-20.510%
Last 5 (5)82.494.8177.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.296.2167.3-25.00%
vs Similar (2)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 87
H14/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
94-88
94
88
+6
98avg 87
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 87
H07/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
97-100
97
100
-3
91avg 87
A11/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
105-81
105
81
+24
98avg 87
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
83-115
83
115
-32
71avg 87
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
66avg 87
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 87
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
84-109
84
109
-25
74avg 87
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 87
H11/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
25-29
16-16
14-23
28-20
34-20
18-22
14-26
17-17
32-18
27-30
21-10
35-26
20-23
20-31
22-20
28-21
22-19
27-26
28-15
18-18
23-27
22-39
20-31
20-19
12-18
24-19
23-18
16-19
22-30
23-20
23-19
20-24
25-21
16-35
23-29
18-23
19-16
23-18
19-23
178.0Avg total
87.9Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)93.986.6180.5+7.453%
Season at home (10)89.079.4168.4+9.650%
Season away (9)99.494.6194.0+4.956%
Last 10 (10)87.990.1178.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)81.893.2175.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.893.8177.6-10.022%
vs Similar (9)90.990.2181.1+0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.874.5171.2+22.292%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.4-7.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Herlev WolfpackRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A30/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A19/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H26/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H01/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A07/02
Basketligaen
91.2Avg total
41.1Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.246.583.7-9.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.444.279.6-8.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.848.687.3-9.825%-
Last 10 (10)41.150.191.2-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.888.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.348.184.4-11.812%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H14/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A11/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/01
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H29/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/02
Basketligaen
88.7Avg total
45.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.987.7+3.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.186.9+2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.788.4+5.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.188.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.744.287.9-0.633%-
vs Similar (9)45.443.789.1+1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.638.886.4+8.858%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.2
48.4%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.7
27.3%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.715.9
67.1%
67.0%15.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.1
52.6%
51.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
31.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.7
70.3%
67.0%13.7
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
LWLLLLLLLL
Randers
LLLWLWLWWL
#9
League position
#6
-25.0
Net rating
-1.7
95.1
Offensive rating
106.2
120.1
Defensive rating
107.9
45.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.3%
3-point %
35.0%
62.7%
Assist %
60.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 106.2Defence120.1 · 107.9Shooting45.8% · 52.6%3-point %27.3% · 35.0%Ball care20.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
9
Randers wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Randers v Herlev Wolfpack86-76
15/04/23Herlev Wolfpack v Randers54-85
05/03/23Randers v Herlev Wolfpack88-74
11/02/23Randers v Herlev Wolfpack88-52
03/11/22Herlev Wolfpack v Randers77-85
15/01/22Herlev Wolfpack v Randers96-107
23/10/21Randers v Herlev Wolfpack88-64
31/03/21Herlev Wolfpack v Randers109-106 OT
16/01/21Randers v Herlev Wolfpack100-78
02/11/19Randers v Herlev Wolfpack99-71
Herlev Wolfpacklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ASvendborg87-117
01/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus85-79
26/01/24HCopenhagen71-93
19/01/24ABears Academy93-104 OT
07/01/24AVaerlose76-81
30/12/23ABakken Bears77-137
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HVaerlose79-80
09/02/24ABakken Bears84-109
29/01/24HSvendborg84-88
21/01/24HHorsens79-74
20/01/24ABakken Bears83-115
15/01/24AAmager105-81
11/01/24ATeam FOG Naestved97-100
07/01/24HBears Academy97-75
30/12/23HCopenhagen94-88
14/12/23HHorsens77-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL16%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game74.369.978.2
Allowed / game93.086.998.5
Point differential-18.7-17.0-20.3
Avg total167.3156.8176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Randers
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game93.989.099.4
Allowed / game86.679.494.6
Point differential+7.4+9.6+4.9
Avg total180.5168.4194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1918195%102.474.9+27.5
2 Horsens1916384%90.472.1+18.4
3 Team FOG Naestved1915479%96.480.8+15.5
4 Svendborg1915479%90.580.2+10.3
5 Randers1910953%93.986.6+7.4
6 Copenhagen20101050%82.079.2+2.8
7 Vaerlose1881044%80.887.6-6.8
8 Bears Academy1851328%76.085.6-9.6
9 Herlev Wolfpack1931616%74.393.0-18.7
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1931616%69.690.5-20.9
11 Amager191185%72.899.6-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1716232278
Randers2028182086
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