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Vaerlose vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-79
20-27 15-13 17-17 16-22
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vaerlose v Randers
27 Sep 2026
VAER85
RAND89
18 Jan 2026
VAER73
RAND103
04 Dec 2024
VAER68
RAND79
04 Apr 2024
VAER87
RAND103
07 Nov 2023
VAER85
RAND94
20 Dec 2022
VAER71
RAND85
08 Oct 2021
VAER80
RAND109
08 Apr 2021
VAER106
RAND115
03 Dec 2020
VAER84
RAND103
08 Nov 2019
VAER91
RAND102
23 Nov 2018
VAER83
RAND86
27 Nov 2015
VAER78
RAND87
21 Feb 2015
VAER66
RAND84
03 Nov 2014
VAER66
RAND74
16 Jan 2014
VAER68
RAND94
31 Jan 2013
VAER97
RAND76
11 Nov 2012
VAER111
RAND105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 72
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 72
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 72
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 72
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 72
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 72
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 72
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A01/12
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
9-18
16-27
18-30
21-20
166.8Avg total
75.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.591.9165.4-18.412%
Season at home (3)77.086.7163.7-9.733%
Season away (5)71.495.0166.4-23.60%
Last 10 (10)75.291.6166.8-16.420%
Last 5 (5)76.494.0170.4-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.193.6171.7-15.513%
vs Similar (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (3)90.381.7172.0+8.7100%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
89avg 85
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
97avg 85
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
73avg 85
H08/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
52avg 85
A12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
79avg 85
A17/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
110-73
110
73
+37
114avg 85
H24/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
103-70
103
70
+33
103avg 85
H07/11
Basketligaen
Falcon
#13
W
100-59
100
59
+41
no box
A10/11
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 85
A14/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-19
33-12
16-19
21-23
25-18
32-33
23-27
19-21
20-23
23-19
19-30
16-17
8-32
35-18
13-20
17-15
23-23
23-20
27-24
23-21
27-26
31-14
29-12
27-14
32-21
28-19
16-16
–
–
–
–
28-22
15-24
23-23
24-18
16-21
22-18
20-17
26-16
174.2Avg total
93.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.882.0174.8+10.860%
Season at home (5)98.674.8173.4+23.880%
Season away (5)87.089.2176.2-2.240%
Last 10 (10)93.281.0174.2+12.270%
Last 5 (5)97.472.2169.6+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)87.697.9185.5-10.327%
vs Similar (4)83.285.0168.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.480.9175.3+13.479%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
VaerloseRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#3
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A01/12
Denmark Cup
79.0Avg total
37.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.5-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.587.5-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)37.641.979.5-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.141.979.0-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.081.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.644.783.3-6.022%-
vs Similar (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (3)49.342.391.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A12/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H07/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H30/11
Denmark Cup
84.9Avg total
42.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.344.688.9-0.248%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.044.488.4-0.436%-
Last 30 away (15)44.744.789.4-0.160%-
Last 10 (9)42.642.384.9+0.256%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.048.992.9-4.927%-
vs Similar (4)44.242.586.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.641.886.4+2.964%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.2
49.7%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.6
28.3%
32.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
70.2%12.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.5
56.9%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
32.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.216.4
81.2%
70.2%16.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LWLLLLLLWL
Randers
WWWWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#5
-25.6
Net rating
+14.1
92.3
Offensive rating
115.8
117.9
Defensive rating
101.6
46.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.3%
3-point %
35.1%
63.8%
Assist %
60.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 115.8Defence117.9 · 101.6Shooting46.7% · 55.2%3-point %28.3% · 35.1%Ball care22.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Randers wins
DateGameScore
21/09/24Randers v Vaerlose106-65
04/04/24Vaerlose v Randers87-103
14/03/24Randers v Vaerlose91-84
11/02/24Randers v Vaerlose79-80
07/11/23Vaerlose v Randers85-94
20/12/22Vaerlose v Randers71-85
08/10/22Randers v Vaerlose79-63
13/02/22Randers v Vaerlose109-92
08/10/21Vaerlose v Randers80-109
12/04/21Randers v Vaerlose99-91
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AHorsens64-95
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HSvendborg84-72
14/11/24ACopenhagen90-87
10/11/24AFalcon100-59
07/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus103-70
24/10/24HAmager110-73
17/10/24AHorsens90-82
12/10/24AHerlev Wolfpack72-87
08/10/24HBakken Bears81-93
03/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved109-114 OT
28/09/24HBears Academy93-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game73.577.071.4
Allowed / game91.986.795.0
Point differential-18.4-9.7-23.6
Avg total165.4163.7166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game92.898.687.0
Allowed / game82.074.889.2
Point differential+10.8+23.8-2.2
Avg total174.8173.4176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved10100100%98.788.6+10.1
2 Svendborg1110191%87.471.8+15.5
3 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
4 Horsens107370%85.078.2+6.8
5 Randers106460%92.882.0+10.8
6 Herlev Wolfpack104640%79.285.7-6.5
7 Amager92722%86.693.1-6.6
8 Bears Academy92722%76.786.1-9.4
9 Holbaek-Stenhus92722%80.793.8-13.1
10 Copenhagen81712%80.989.5-8.6
11 Vaerlose81712%73.591.9-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2015171668
Randers2713172279
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